Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $63.4000 (1.93%) ($61.0000 - $63.6000) on Wed. Dec. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.74% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $63.4000(1.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    IWN(44%)    IWO(42%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(40%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.37% (StdDev 4.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.8(2.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60.92(4.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.08(7.31%)
To recent high   -26.1%
To recent low   23.3%
Market Cap   $1.819b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 4.55% (three month std-dev: 4.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 1.95%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.43%(62%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 1.7%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -2.19%(54%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 2.15%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.21%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2015	73.61	59.08	60.92	61.8	61.59	62.4	63.4(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	80	13	41	0.33	43%	-0.49	81.1	4.74%	0	1.6	64	0
2	Dec_15_2015	73.97	58.66	60.7	61.2	61.28	61.73	62.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	24	60	17	44	0.28	43%	-0.5	79.9	4.74%	0	1.4	64	0
3	Dec_14_2015	74.34	58.2	60.24	60.76	60.65	60.78	62.2(4.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	10	12	40	0.5	43%	-0.5	70.5	4.74%	0	1.5	67	0
4	Dec_11_2015	74.71	57.67	59.8	59.76	59.78	60.83	59.6(-3.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	120	3	32	0.38	43%	-0.59	51.6	4.71%	0	0.7	66	0
5	Dec_10_2015	75.15	57.36	59.66	60.08	59.51	60.53	61.6(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	90	21	49	0.64	43%	-0.46	45.8	4.69%	0	1.4	66	0

6	Dec_9_2015	75.5	56.98	59.27	59.92	59.38	58.73	60.4(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-100	-3	47	0.31	43%	-0.54	37.7	4.68%	0	1.2	69	0
7	Dec_8_2015	75.91	56.66	58.97	60.16	59.89	58.5	60(4.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-180	-16	51	0.38	43%	-0.54	-1	4.68%	0	1.2	63	0
8	Dec_7_2015	76.32	56.33	58.59	59.64	60.34	60.03	57.2(-6.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-0	-11	55	0.44	41%	-0.6	-42.1	4.64%	0	0.3	64	0
9	Dec_4_2015	76.78	56.21	58.37	59.76	59.88	61.28	61.2(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	170	17	77	0.29	43%	-0.56	-70.8	4.61%	0	1.8	77	0
10	Dec_3_2015	77.21	56.01	57.81	59.12	59.09	60.65	60.8(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	180	34	83	0.43	43%	-0.5	-105	4.61%	0	1.8	69	0

11	Dec_2_2015	77.6	55.9	57.12	58.52	58.2	58.48	61.6(7.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	20	20	71	0.8	43%	-0.53	-137.1	4.61%	0	2.3	68	0
12	Dec_1_2015	78.01	56.68	56.44	57.68	57.69	57.53	57.4(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-20	-1	56	0.25	38%	-0.57	-54.4	4.51%	0	0.1	60	0
13	Nov_30_2015	78.46	57.54	56	57.4	57.5	57.93	57.8(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	60	9	56	0.19	38%	-0.49	-41.3	4.51%	0	0	63	0
14	Nov_27_2015	78.85	58.27	55.38	56.72	57.01	57.85	58(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	120	16	43	0.11	42%	-0.73	-38.7	4.62%	0	-0	59	0
15	Nov_25_2015	79.43	58.88	54.89	56.28	56.28	57.08	57.8(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	100	21	28	0.23	45%	-0.49	-38.3	4.66%	0	-0.1	47	0

16	Nov_24_2015	79.82	59.53	54.48	55.48	55.53	56.18	57.4(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	80	14	4	0.37	44%	-0.49	-40.6	4.66%	0	-0.2	43	0
17	Nov_23_2015	80.21	60.06	54.13	55.04	55.08	55.48	56(2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	50	15	-55	0.48	44%	-0.31	-44.3	4.66%	0	-0.4	21	0
18	Nov_20_2015	80.46	60.71	54.13	54.4	54.61	54.88	54.4(-2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	50	12	-109	0.23	43%	-0.53	-46.6	4.64%	0	-0.7	25	0
19	Nov_19_2015	80.89	61.6	53.87	53.8	53.88	54.68	55.8(3.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-30	110	11	-152	0.42	43%	-0.53	-49.3	4.65%	0	-0.6	30	0
20	Nov_18_2015	81.32	62.46	54.05	53.28	53.33	54.35	53.8(-2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-34	140	15	-181	0.96	42%	-0.57	-50.7	4.62%	0	-0.9	32	0

21	Nov_17_2015	81.79	63.41	54.56	53.32	53.06	53.08	55.2(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-44	-10	10	-204	0.93	42%	-0.56	-50.7	4.63%	0	-0.8	32	0
22	Nov_16_2015	82.25	64.41	56.83	53.12	53.1	52.3	52.8(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-110	-12	-195	0.37	42%	-0.63	-51.4	4.59%	0	-1.2	34	0
23	Nov_13_2015	82.77	65.44	59.08	53.28	53.54	53.05	51.4(-3.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-50	-18	-184	0.51	42%	-0.66	-53.4	4.57%	0	-1.5	31	0
24	Nov_12_2015	83.32	66.72	61.31	53.92	54.03	53.9	53.2(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-10	-13	-171	0.35	42%	-0.66	-55.6	4.57%	0	-1.5	30	0
25	Nov_11_2015	83.87	67.8	63.16	54.92	54.58	54.03	54(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	-90	-18	-166	0.28	42%		-58.5	4.57%	0	-1.6	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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