Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $52.8000 (2.72%) ($50.8000 - $53.6000) on Mon. Nov. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.59% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $52.8000(2.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -14.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    IWN(44%)    IWO(42%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(40%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    GLD(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.295% (StdDev 4.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $29.51(-44.11%)
Resistance Level   $64.41
5 Day Moving Average   $53.12(-0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.83(-7.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.41(-18.03%)
To recent high   -42.6%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $1.514b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 15.03% (three month std-dev: 4.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 4.7%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.6%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 7.81%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -9.35%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.55%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2015	82.25	64.41	56.83	53.12	53.1	52.3	52.8(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-110	-12	-195	0.37	42%	-0.63	-51.4	4.59%	0	-1.2	34	INF
2	Nov_13_2015	82.77	65.44	59.08	53.28	53.54	53.05	51.4(-3.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-50	-18	-184	0.51	42%	-0.66	-53.4	4.57%	0	-1.5	31	INF
3	Nov_12_2015	83.32	66.72	61.31	53.92	54.03	53.9	53.2(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-10	-13	-171	0.35	42%	-0.66	-55.6	4.57%	0	-1.5	30	INF
4	Nov_11_2015	83.87	67.8	63.16	54.92	54.58	54.03	54(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	-90	-18	-166	0.28	42%	-0.64	-58.5	4.57%	0	-1.6	30	INF
5	Nov_10_2015	84.41	68.79	64.98	56	55.86	54.15	54.2(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-84	-220	-55	-171	0.51	41%	-0.65	-62	4.57%	0	-1.8	31	INF

6	Nov_9_2015	84.96	69.81	66.52	61.28	56.84	55.14	53.6(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-110	-430	-97	-150	0.78	41%	-0.65	-48.9	4.57%	0	-2.2	28	INF
7	Nov_6_2015	85.52	70.96	68.26	65.88	62.96	57.56	54.6(-6.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-75	-730	-67	-99	1.1	39%	-0.65	-35.9	4.61%	0	-2.6	34	INF
8	Nov_5_2015	86.08	72.16	70.17	69.8	67.84	58.55	58.2(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-134	-1040	-146	-99	0.9	41%	-0.59	-16.6	4.56%	0	-2.7	34	INF
9	Nov_4_2015	86.59	73.17	71.82	72.48	71.26	68.35	59.4(-26.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-118	-340	-135	-68	4.2	41%	-0.61	10.2	4.56%	0	-3.3	39	INF
10	Nov_3_2015	87.12	74.08	73.3	74.96	74.9	77.13	80.6(5.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	77	210	86	50	0.68	49%	-0.38	58.4	3.24%	0	2.3	62	INF

11	Nov_2_2015	87.45	73.54	72.67	72.56	72.76	74.18	76.6(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	40	140	51	6	0.28	46%	-0.44	48.8	3.2%	0	1.3	55	INF
12	Oct_30_2015	87.84	73.3	72.24	71.16	71.13	72.68	74.2(3.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	15	150	29	-29	0.27	45%	-0.49	40.7	3.17%	0	0.4	48	INF
13	Oct_29_2015	88.27	73.03	72.4	70.8	70.58	71.35	71.6(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	70	22	-40	0.29	43%	-0.52	25.6	3.13%	0	-0.5	39	INF
14	Oct_28_2015	88.73	72.75	72.61	71.2	70.84	69.58	71.8(4.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	-140	-13	-57	0.27	43%	-0.5	14.5	3.13%	0	-0.3	40	INF
15	Oct_27_2015	89.18	72.46	72.71	71.4	71.65	69.8	68.6(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-68	-170	-62	-84	0.31	40%	-0.58	3.9	3.07%	0	-1	35	INF

16	Oct_26_2015	89.7	72.38	73.23	72.76	72.96	72.1	69.6(-3.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-70	-37	-49	0.31	40%	-0.59	-4.7	3.07%	0	-0.7	53	INF
17	Oct_23_2015	90.23	72.27	73.82	73.4	73.79	73.5	72.4(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10	-15	-24	0.36	44%	-0.53	-19.7	3.06%	0	0	53	INF
18	Oct_22_2015	90.71	72.24	74.29	74.2	74	73.83	73.6(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-20	-8	12	0.25	43%	-0.55	-29.9	3.19%	0	0.4	62	INF
19	Oct_21_2015	91.21	72.25	74.63	74.24	74.36	74.08	72.8(-3.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	-20	1	45	0.2	43%	-0.52	-42.5	3.21%	0	0.1	66	INF
20	Oct_20_2015	91.69	72.32	75	74.2	74.16	74.18	75.4(3.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	15	0	-3	70	0.33	44%	-0.55	-48.4	3.19%	0	0.7	69	INF

21	Oct_19_2015	92.2	72.56	74.52	73.8	74.04	74.65	72.8(-4.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	70	4	81	0.41	42%	-0.59	-47.6	3.15%	0	0	65	INF
22	Oct_16_2015	92.75	73.03	74.49	74.28	74.06	74.15	76.4(3.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-0	7	107	0.29	46%	-0.56	-39.5	3.11%	0	0.6	70	INF
23	Oct_15_2015	93.27	73.41	73.7	74.46	74.4	73.43	73.8(1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-90	-23	92	0.25	43%	-0.59	-34.8	3.11%	0	0.1	54	INF
24	Oct_14_2015	93.82	73.92	72.91	75.14	75.31	73.98	72.6(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-120	-33	80	0.22	43%	-0.6	-29.7	3.1%	0	-0.2	48	INF
25	Oct_13_2015	94.39	74.48	72.24	75.9	75.76	75.38	73.4(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-40	-13	78	0.3	46%		-25.3	3.1%	0	-0.2	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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