Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $157.4000 (0.9%) ($155.4000 - $159.2000) on Thu. Feb. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.5% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $157.4000(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(40%)    IVE(37%)    SPY(36%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.25% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $156.64(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $153.18(2.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $149.24(5.47%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $4.515b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 3.79% (three month std-dev: 2.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 3.32%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.34%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.49%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.36%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.13%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.79%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2015	144.85	149.24	153.18	156.64	157.79	157.55	157.4(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	10	-15	84	0.54	82%	0.19	52.8	2.5%	0	1.4	63	INF
2	Feb_18_2015	144.58	148.51	152.06	155.48	156.51	159.38	156(-3.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	150	59	116	0.72	82%	0.17	43.9	2.51%	0	1.4	69	INF
3	Feb_17_2015	144.34	147.95	151.28	153.96	154.51	158.03	161.2(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	139	170	136	146	1.04	89%	0.28	35.4	2.5%	0	2.6	70	INF
4	Feb_13_2015	143.94	147.16	149.54	151.56	151.55	153.65	159.4(6.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	90	100	85	106	2.86	80%	0.2	19.5	2.52%	0	2.9	65	INF
5	Feb_12_2015	143.65	146.42	147.86	151.56	149.9	151	149.2(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	50	60	44	67	1.88	79%	0.11	-10.6	2.42%	0	0.9	53	INF

6	Feb_11_2015	143.49	146.31	147.62	149.24	148.9	149.45	151.6(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	20	20	52	0.7	81%	0.13	-28.2	2.46%	0	1.8	51	INF
7	Feb_10_2015	143.31	146.16	146.39	149.24	148.85	148.8	148.4(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	10	14	33	0.59	81%	0.09	-54.7	2.53%	0	0.8	56	INF
8	Feb_9_2015	143.18	146.13	145.73	148.12	148.39	148.35	149.2(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	0	1	23	0.51	81%	0.07	-67.2	2.53%	0	1.1	54	INF
9	Feb_6_2015	143.08	146.35	145.18	147.16	147.83	148.9	147.8(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	60	27	21	0.43	81%	0.07	-71.9	2.53%	0	0.4	51	INF
10	Feb_5_2015	142.98	146.74	144.99	146.24	146.75	148.43	149.2(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	90	50	22	0.57	81%	0.07	-75.6	2.53%	0	0.6	53	INF

11	Feb_4_2015	142.88	147.15	144.97	145.76	145.56	146.75	146(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	50	55	24	0.37	84%	0.05	-71.8	2.54%	0	-0.2	48	INF
12	Feb_3_2015	142.81	147.71	144.7	144.36	144.34	145.08	148.4(2.77%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	27	40	37	-5	0.45	84%	0.07	-77.6	2.66%	0	0.1	48	INF
13	Feb_2_2015	142.71	148.04	144.35	143	142.9	144.38	144.4(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	70	21	-28	0.52	83%	0.01	-86.5	2.64%	0	-0.6	45	INF
14	Jan_30_2015	142.7	148.8	144.56	142.92	142.4	143.6	143.2(-2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	13	50	25	-23	0.6	89%	0.02	-78.8	3.83%	0	-0.9	37	INF
15	Jan_29_2015	142.67	149.85	144.85	143.56	142.5	141.43	146.8(5.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-20	-70	-11	-45	0.94	85%	0.04	-73.7	3.83%	0	-0.5	37	INF

16	Jan_28_2015	142.62	150.67	144.86	144.2	143.99	141.2	139(-1.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-51	-140	-46	-67	0.56	83%	0.04	-59.1	3.8%	0	-1.7	23	INF
17	Jan_27_2015	142.57	151.97	145.95	145.04	145.42	143.58	141.6(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-55	-80	-49	-72	0.54	83%	0.06	-51.9	3.79%	0	-1.5	27	INF
18	Jan_26_2015	142.49	153.04	146.66	145.8	145.99	146.78	144(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	40	-9	-59	0.52	83%	0.05	-44.4	3.8%	0	-1.2	34	INF
19	Jan_23_2015	142.42	153.76	147.69	146.36	146.05	147.27	146.4(-2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	12	50	31	-46	0.4	83%	0.04	-34.5	3.8%	0	-1	31	INF
20	Jan_22_2015	142.36	154.48	148.66	146.28	145.57	145.2	150(4.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-30	5	-65	0.65	83%	0.05	-20.9	3.79%	0	-0.6	30	INF

21	Jan_21_2015	142.29	154.94	149.44	145.76	145.78	144.83	143.2(-1.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-41	-50	-26	-87	0.63	82%	0.01	-11.6	3.75%	0	-1.6	19	INF
22	Jan_20_2015	142.27	155.75	150.94	147.04	146.62	145.95	145.4(-0.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-36	-40	-20	-85	0.53	82%	0.06	2.1	3.74%	0	-1.5	19	INF
23	Jan_16_2015	142.18	156.34	152	147.64	147.49	146.73	146.8(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-40	-24	-91	0.64	82%	0.11	13.1	3.72%	0	-1.6	26	INF
24	Jan_15_2015	142.03	156.31	153.35	149.24	148.85	147.29	146(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-80	-40	-87	0.67	84%	0.11	22.4	3.73%	0	-1.8	36	INF
25	Jan_14_2015	141.87	156.01	155.25	151.4	151.28	148.25	147.4(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-63	-140	-58	-79	0.49	84%		25.1	3.78%	0	-1.5	35	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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