Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 31, 2014

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $146.2000 (22.04%) ($129.0000 - $150.4000) on Fri. Oct. 31, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.99% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $146.2000(22.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 4.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(39%)    SPY(36%)    VT(35%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.995% (StdDev 3.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 12.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $124.08(17.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $123.78(18.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124(17.9%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   26.9%
Market Cap   $4.194b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 5.62% (three month std-dev: 3.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 17.39%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 15.86%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 9.23%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_31_2014	128.93	124	123.78	124.08	123.51	128.43	146.2(22.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.2	167	270	191	94	4.42	56%	0.21	-28.3	3.99%	0	3.2	76	0
2	Oct_30_2014	128.66	123.24	121.15	119.04	118.61	117.85	119.8(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-60	-27	-29	1.58	42%	-0.02	-61.5	2.93%	0	-0.6	53	0
3	Oct_29_2014	128.68	123.81	121.65	119.84	119.59	118.6	115.8(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-60	-36	-29	1.2	39%	-0.05	-56.8	2.9%	0	-1.5	37	0
4	Oct_28_2014	128.74	124.59	122.65	121.24	121.03	119.38	120(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-100	-40	-24	0.75	41%	-0.02	-52.5	2.87%	0	-0.8	38	0
5	Oct_27_2014	128.76	125.26	122.58	122.12	122.34	120.58	118.6(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-100	-55	-37	0.51	41%	0.02	-48	2.89%	0	-1.2	38	0

6	Oct_24_2014	128.74	125.99	122.38	123.22	123.56	122.68	121(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-40	-31	-43	0.56	41%	0.03	-45.7	2.88%	0	-0.9	36	0
7	Oct_23_2014	128.7	126.6	122.21	123.52	124.04	124.1	123.8(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	20	-11	-57	0.55	41%	0.08	-49.8	2.88%	0	-0.5	36	0
8	Oct_22_2014	128.6	126.98	122.52	123.76	124.38	124.45	122.8(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	20	10	-53	0.5	41%	0.09	-53	2.87%	0	-0.7	40	0
9	Oct_21_2014	128.49	127.51	123.12	124.28	123.95	123.99	124.4(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	-10	11	-52	0.38	41%	0.11	-54.9	2.87%	0	-0.6	42	0
10	Oct_20_2014	128.35	127.98	123.45	123.12	123.04	124.3	124.1(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	11	70	35	-61	0.42	41%	0.05	-62.9	2.87%	0	-0.7	39	0

11	Oct_17_2014	128.28	128.56	124.23	121.38	121.34	123.91	122.5(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	30	150	62	-68	0.38	41%	0.02	-69.5	2.87%	0	-1	37	0
12	Oct_16_2014	128.26	129.39	125.38	120.64	119.38	121.78	125(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	22	110	54	-76	0.45	41%	0.03	-75.2	2.87%	0	-0.7	40	0
13	Oct_15_2014	128.22	130.01	125.98	121.16	118.93	118.78	125.4(5.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-19	-60	6	-92	0.83	41%	0	-73.6	2.88%	0	-0.7	43	0
14	Oct_14_2014	128.22	130.69	126.54	122	120.91	116.98	118.6(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-92	-250	-80	-127	1.03	35%	-0.08	-71.5	2.79%	0	-1.9	29	0
15	Oct_13_2014	128.32	131.74	128.07	123.96	123.78	119.08	115.4(-2.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-157	-270	-161	-144	0.58	35%	-0.09	-65.7	2.77%	0	-2.7	22	0

16	Oct_10_2014	128.43	132.98	129.98	127.44	127.19	124.85	118.8(-6.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-115	-130	-119	-101	0.9	36%	-0.01	-56.5	2.76%	0	-2.8	23	0
17	Oct_9_2014	128.44	134.23	131.53	130.64	130.46	128.48	127.6(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-110	-39	-52	0.38	48%	0.09	-42.9	2.63%	0	-1.6	26	0
18	Oct_8_2014	128.33	134.9	131.97	131.44	131.71	129.54	129.6(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-64	-110	-64	-64	0.33	48%	0.08	-38.7	2.69%	0	-1.3	34	0
19	Oct_7_2014	128.23	135.51	132.39	131.78	132.42	132.44	128.4(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	20	-36	-58	0.4	48%	0.06	-40.6	2.71%	0	-1.8	28	0
20	Oct_6_2014	128.15	135.83	132.98	132.82	132.72	133.88	132.8(-1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	16	60	31	-30	0.3	51%	0.09	-46	2.7%	0	-0.9	35	0

21	Oct_3_2014	128.03	135.94	133.27	132.94	132.31	132.4	134.8(2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-10	20	-38	0.39	51%	0.11	-48.6	2.72%	0	-0.3	38	0
22	Oct_2_2014	127.89	136.03	133.66	132.94	132.09	131.56	131.6(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-40	-16	-62	1.11	51%	0.09	-45.3	2.72%	0	-1.2	21	0
23	Oct_1_2014	127.78	136.49	134.26	132.62	132.46	132.21	131.3(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-20	-11	-65	0.49	51%	0.04	-32.1	2.72%	0	-1.4	29	0
24	Sep_30_2014	127.73	137.1	135.06	133.08	132.54	132.63	133.6(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10	-6	-64	0.51	51%	0.09	-12.5	2.72%	0	-1	30	0
25	Sep_29_2014	127.62	137.48	135.58	133.16	132.89	132.7	133.4(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-20	-4	-56	0.64	51%		6.1	2.72%	0	-1.1	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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