Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $118.6000 (2.77%) ($114.4000 - $119.0000) on Tue. Oct. 14, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.79% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $118.6000(2.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(39%)    SPY(36%)    VT(35%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.395% (StdDev 2.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

Resistance Level   $130.69
5 Day Moving Average   $122(-2.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $126.54(-6.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $130.69(-9.25%)
To recent high   -17.4%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $3.402b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 4.98% (three month std-dev: 2.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 3.45%(67%) Average negative next day return: -3.86%(33%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 5.46%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -7.15%(38%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 6%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.58%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2014	128.22	130.69	126.54	122	120.91	116.98	118.6(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-92	-250	-80	-127	1.03	35%	-0.08	-71.5	2.79%	0	-1.9	29	INF
2	Oct_13_2014	128.32	131.74	128.07	123.96	123.78	119.08	115.4(-2.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-157	-270	-161	-144	0.58	35%	-0.09	-65.7	2.77%	0	-2.7	22	INF
3	Oct_10_2014	128.43	132.98	129.98	127.44	127.19	124.85	118.8(-6.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-115	-130	-119	-101	0.9	36%	-0.01	-56.5	2.76%	0	-2.8	23	INF
4	Oct_9_2014	128.44	134.23	131.53	130.64	130.46	128.48	127.6(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-110	-39	-52	0.38	48%	0.09	-42.9	2.63%	0	-1.6	26	INF
5	Oct_8_2014	128.33	134.9	131.97	131.44	131.71	129.54	129.6(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-64	-110	-64	-64	0.33	48%	0.08	-38.7	2.69%	0	-1.3	34	INF

6	Oct_7_2014	128.23	135.51	132.39	131.78	132.42	132.44	128.4(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	20	-36	-58	0.4	48%	0.06	-40.6	2.71%	0	-1.8	28	INF
7	Oct_6_2014	128.15	135.83	132.98	132.82	132.72	133.88	132.8(-1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	16	60	31	-30	0.3	51%	0.09	-46	2.7%	0	-0.9	35	INF
8	Oct_3_2014	128.03	135.94	133.27	132.94	132.31	132.4	134.8(2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-10	20	-38	0.39	51%	0.11	-48.6	2.72%	0	-0.3	38	INF
9	Oct_2_2014	127.89	136.03	133.66	132.94	132.09	131.56	131.6(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-40	-16	-62	1.11	51%	0.09	-45.3	2.72%	0	-1.2	21	INF
10	Oct_1_2014	127.78	136.49	134.26	132.62	132.46	132.21	131.3(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-20	-11	-65	0.49	51%	0.04	-32.1	2.72%	0	-1.4	29	INF

11	Sep_30_2014	127.73	137.1	135.06	133.08	132.54	132.63	133.6(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10	-6	-64	0.51	51%	0.09	-12.5	2.72%	0	-1	30	INF
12	Sep_29_2014	127.62	137.48	135.58	133.16	132.89	132.7	133.4(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-20	-4	-56	0.64	51%	0.1	6.1	2.72%	0	-1.1	52	INF
13	Sep_26_2014	127.49	137.64	136.14	133.68	133.41	132.45	133.2(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-60	-31	-57	0.49	51%	0.16	24	2.72%	0	-1.3	51	INF
14	Sep_25_2014	127.29	137.67	137.1	134.92	134.59	133.08	131.6(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-48	-90	-49	-44	0.78	51%	0.2	44.9	2.72%	0	-1.7	45	INF
15	Sep_24_2014	127.03	137.7	138.05	136.16	136.26	134.38	133.6(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-90	-51	-34	0.77	56%	-0.01	61.2	2.71%	0	-1.1	40	INF

16	Sep_23_2014	127.04	137.55	138.91	137.32	137.43	136.1	134(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-48	-70	-54	-28	0.85	60%	-0.03	70.2	2.77%	0	-0.9	37	INF
17	Sep_22_2014	127.08	137.25	139	138.32	138.55	138.15	136(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-20	-17	-14	0.59	60%	-0.05	71.6	2.84%	0	-0.3	44	INF
18	Sep_19_2014	127.14	136.81	138.93	138.92	138.85	138.75	139.4(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10	-14	-10	0.98	60%	-0.02	72.6	2.83%	0	0.5	56	INF
19	Sep_18_2014	127.16	136.12	138.64	139.66	139.46	138.75	137.8(-1.15%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-10	-30	-13	1	0.44	60%	-0.02	76.4	2.83%	0	0.3	59	INF
20	Sep_17_2014	127.18	135.52	138.93	140.26	140.37	138.95	139.4(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-17	-70	-28	15	0.47	60%	-0.02	82.3	2.83%	0	0.6	63	INF

21	Sep_16_2014	127.21	134.81	139.3	140.78	141.02	139.98	139(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-50	-26	41	0.51	60%	-0.01	87	2.84%	0	0.6	65	INF
22	Sep_15_2014	127.22	134.05	139.5	139.74	140.94	141.8	139(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	70	18	71	0.64	60%	-0.04	80.6	2.84%	0	0.7	67	INF
23	Sep_12_2014	127.27	133.14	139.24	138.82	139.27	142.07	143.1(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	74	150	66	99	0.6	66%	-0.04	73	2.85%	0	1.3	74	INF
24	Sep_11_2014	127.32	131.85	138.23	138.82	136.94	140.08	140.8(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	80	150	72	103	0.61	66%	-0.06	63.7	2.85%	0	1.2	74	INF
25	Sep_10_2014	127.4	130.6	137.25	137.48	136.08	136.48	142(6.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	-10	36	99	0.89	66%		56.2	2.85%	0	1.4	75	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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