Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $120.0000 (2.74%) ($116.2000 - $120.4000) on Fri. Aug. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.95% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $120.0000(2.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(39%)    SPY(36%)    VT(35%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.475% (StdDev 2.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $109.86(-8.45%)
Resistance Level   $124.6
5 Day Moving Average   $117.92(1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $122.87(-2.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.6(-3.69%)
To recent high   -15.1%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $3.442b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 5.26% (three month std-dev: 2.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.22%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.95%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.56%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140915

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2014	130.48	124.6	122.87	117.92	117.65	117.43	120(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-20	11	-81	0.67	62%	-0.3	-35.4	2.95%	0	-0.7	44	0
2	Aug_14_2014	130.87	124.92	123.77	117.76	117.96	116.65	116.8(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-70	-31	-94	0.4	62%	-0.32	-40.5	2.93%	0	-1.3	46	0
3	Aug_13_2014	131.29	125.32	125.07	118.22	118.63	117.88	115.2(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-30	-43	-86	0.86	62%	-0.36	-45	2.98%	0	-1.6	46	0
4	Aug_12_2014	131.76	125.92	126.41	119.86	119.65	119.28	117.2(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-30	-29	-63	0.88	62%	-0.35	-45.3	3%	0	-1.5	45	0
5	Aug_11_2014	132.22	126.5	127.43	124.7	119.75	119.39	120.4(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-72	-140	-82	-41	0.58	62%	-0.35	-22.6	2.98%	0	-1.1	49	0

6	Aug_8_2014	132.68	126.96	128.26	128.7	124.73	120.03	119.2(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-36	-360	-51	9	0.94	69%	-0.38	-2.6	3.1%	0	-1.4	47	0
7	Aug_7_2014	133.18	127.6	128.91	130.7	128.81	120.11	119.1(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-138	-520	-175	-26	1.09	54%	-0.34	6.5	3.19%	0	-1.7	46	0
8	Aug_6_2014	133.64	128.18	129.48	132.76	130.82	129.44	123.4(-12.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-89	-120	-119	0	3.1	56%	-0.34	19.3	4.09%	0	-1	53	0
9	Aug_5_2014	134.09	128.6	129.75	133.6	133.17	137.51	141.38(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	107	220	109	101	2.67	65%	-0.19	25.6	3.78%	0	2.7	73	0
10	Aug_4_2014	134.35	127.75	127.97	130.56	129.86	132.2	140.4(8.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	69	110	71	62	2.3	65%	-0.2	1.4	3.8%	0	3.4	67	0

11	Aug_1_2014	134.62	127.1	126.33	128.04	127.75	128.83	129.2(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	50	29	24	0.89	61%	-0.27	-34.2	3.64%	0	0.8	48	0
12	Jul_31_2014	134.98	127.26	125.96	127.04	126.98	127.53	129.4(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	30	27	9	1.15	61%	-0.32	-42.1	3.67%	0	0.8	43	0
13	Jul_30_2014	135.42	127.27	125.38	125.76	125.74	126.68	127.6(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	50	11	-14	0.73	61%	-0.29	-61.9	3.67%	0	0.1	44	0
14	Jul_29_2014	135.81	127.4	125.19	125.24	125.13	126.43	126.2(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	16	70	27	-18	0.46	61%	-0.31	-73.4	3.67%	0	-0.4	37	0
15	Jul_28_2014	136.23	127.69	125.33	124.92	124.68	124.8	127.8(2.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	0	17	-22	0.53	61%	-0.33	-69	3.66%	0	0	55	0

16	Jul_25_2014	136.68	127.95	125.4	124.4	124.5	123.83	124.2(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-40	-16	-40	0.33	61%	-0.34	-55.4	3.65%	0	-1.1	42	0
17	Jul_24_2014	137.15	128.45	126.09	124.74	125.08	124.55	123(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-20	-11	-38	0.89	61%	-0.36	-38.9	3.67%	0	-1.6	34	0
18	Jul_23_2014	137.64	129.05	126.8	124.9	125.32	125.18	125(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	0	-7	-36	0.48	61%	-0.36	-26.7	3.66%	0	-1.2	43	0
19	Jul_22_2014	138.14	129.57	127.43	125.1	125.31	125.6	124.6(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	20	-4	-32	0.64	61%	-0.32	-14	3.68%	0	-1.4	42	0
20	Jul_21_2014	138.59	129.86	127.59	125.78	125.73	125.46	125.2(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-20	-4	-35	0.55	61%	-0.3	-2.3	3.7%	0	-1.4	40	0

21	Jul_18_2014	139.01	129.82	127.99	126.58	126.54	125.01	125.9(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-90	-30	-46	0.47	61%	-0.33	1.8	3.7%	0	-1.1	39	0
22	Jul_17_2014	139.47	129.81	128.71	127.72	128.02	126	123.8(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-44	-100	-44	-45	0.52	63%	-0.3	16.7	3.72%	0	-1.6	35	0
23	Jul_16_2014	139.89	129.99	129.38	128.96	129.43	128.07	126(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-60	-34	-39	0.62	63%	-0.31	34	3.76%	0	-1.1	36	0
24	Jul_15_2014	140.32	130.08	129.87	130.08	129.81	130.05	128(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	10	-10	-27	0.5	63%	-0.2	51.1	3.75%	0	-0.6	37	0
25	Jul_14_2014	140.6	129.94	130.31	129.6	130.03	130.79	129.2(-1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	9	50	18	-17	0.65	63%		47.3	3.76%	0	-0.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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