Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $123.0000 (-1.6%) ($121.8000 - $125.8000) on Thu. Jul. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.67% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $123.0000(-1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(39%)    SPY(36%)    VT(35%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.835% (StdDev 3.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Resistance Level   $128.45
5 Day Moving Average   $124.74(-1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $126.09(-2.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $128.45(-4.24%)
To recent high   -16.9%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $3.528b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 2.7% (three month std-dev: 3.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.87%(63%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.93%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -3.23%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.59%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.16%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140824

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2014	137.15	128.45	126.09	124.74	125.08	124.55	123(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-20	-11	-38	0.89	61%	-0.36	-38.9	3.67%	0	-1.6	34	INF
2	Jul_23_2014	137.64	129.05	126.8	124.9	125.32	125.18	125(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	0	-7	-36	0.48	61%	-0.36	-26.7	3.66%	0	-1.2	43	INF
3	Jul_22_2014	138.14	129.57	127.43	125.1	125.31	125.6	124.6(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	20	-4	-32	0.64	61%	-0.32	-14	3.68%	0	-1.4	42	INF
4	Jul_21_2014	138.59	129.86	127.59	125.78	125.73	125.46	125.2(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-20	-4	-35	0.55	61%	-0.3	-2.3	3.7%	0	-1.4	40	INF
5	Jul_18_2014	139.01	129.82	127.99	126.58	126.54	125.01	125.9(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-90	-30	-46	0.47	61%	-0.33	1.8	3.7%	0	-1.1	39	INF

6	Jul_17_2014	139.47	129.81	128.71	127.72	128.02	126	123.8(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-44	-100	-44	-45	0.52	63%	-0.3	16.7	3.72%	0	-1.6	35	INF
7	Jul_16_2014	139.89	129.99	129.38	128.96	129.43	128.07	126(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-60	-34	-39	0.62	63%	-0.31	34	3.76%	0	-1.1	36	INF
8	Jul_15_2014	140.32	130.08	129.87	130.08	129.81	130.05	128(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	10	-10	-27	0.5	63%	-0.2	51.1	3.75%	0	-0.6	37	INF
9	Jul_14_2014	140.6	129.94	130.31	129.6	130.03	130.79	129.2(-1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	9	50	18	-17	0.65	63%	-0.23	47.3	3.76%	0	-0.2	51	INF
10	Jul_11_2014	140.92	129.75	130.73	129.56	129.89	129.56	131.6(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10	1	-13	0.62	63%	-0.54	55.8	3.76%	0	0.5	64	INF

11	Jul_10_2014	141.68	129.21	130.96	129.56	130.04	129.28	130(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-40	-21	-9	0.69	59%	-0.5	56.3	3.76%	0	0.2	59	INF
12	Jul_9_2014	142.39	128.82	131.44	129.92	131.03	130.23	131.6(4.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-6	-20	-9	5	0.98	59%	-0.52	60.1	3.8%	0	0.6	59	INF
13	Jul_8_2014	143.14	128.35	131.8	129.72	131.29	130.8	125.6(-2.64%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-15	10	-23	8	2.27	57%	-0.13	66.9	3.75%	0	-0.6	51	INF
14	Jul_7_2014	143.33	128.24	132.31	131.08	131.78	131.83	129(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	20	-8	30	0.57	53%	-1.08	86.6	3.74%	0	0.2	60	INF
15	Jul_3_2014	144.89	127.67	131.85	132	132.34	131.78	133.4(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-20	-2	38	0.42	53%	-0.54	77.2	3.74%	0	1	66	INF

16	Jul_2_2014	145.67	126.85	131.04	132.2	132.61	131.73	130(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-40	-29	35	0.61	53%	-0.54	72.1	3.73%	0	0.5	69	INF
17	Jul_1_2014	146.46	126.12	130.71	133.2	133.78	132.9	130.6(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-30	-12	56	0.64	53%	-0.63	65.7	3.73%	0	0.7	67	INF
18	Jun_30_2014	147.39	125.23	130.39	134.2	133.83	133.5	132.4(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-30	-16	70	0.49	53%	-0.59	56.4	3.74%	0	1	69	INF
19	Jun_27_2014	148.26	124.14	129.62	133.68	134.18	134.65	133.6(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	40	27	88	0.59	53%	-0.5	45.6	3.74%	0	1.3	69	INF
20	Jun_26_2014	149.01	123.32	128.73	131.56	132.69	134.15	134.4(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	100	38	88	0.69	53%	-0.51	37.8	3.74%	0	1.6	77	INF

21	Jun_25_2014	149.78	122.54	127.32	129.64	129.73	133.7	135(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	220	55	87	0.97	53%	-0.5	34.3	3.75%	0	1.9	78	INF
22	Jun_24_2014	150.54	121.8	125.92	127.88	127.87	131.23	135.6(4.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	98	180	97	101	1.83	53%	-0.47	31.4	3.75%	0	2.4	81	INF
23	Jun_23_2014	151.25	121.19	124.45	126.16	125.8	125.76	129.8(5.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	-10	24	74	1.05	50%	-0.53	30.8	3.71%	0	1.7	80	INF
24	Jun_20_2014	152.06	120.92	123.69	125.08	125.54	124.5	123(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-50	-22	66	0.4	46%	-0.63	32.1	3.64%	0	0.4	78	INF
25	Jun_19_2014	153.02	120.74	123.12	125.44	125.74	125.85	124.8(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	10	-7	76	0.63	46%		33.2	3.65%	0	0.9	61	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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