Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $128.0000 (-0.93%) ($127.2000 - $131.0000) on Tue. Jul. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.75% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $128.0000(-0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(42%)    XRT(39%)    SPY(36%)    VT(35%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.875% (StdDev 3.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $130.08
5 Day Moving Average   $130.08(-1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $129.87(-1.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $130.08(-1.6%)
To recent high   -16.1%
To recent low   20.1%
Market Cap   $3.671b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 2.64% (three month std-dev: 3.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.07%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.71%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 5.2%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 13.4%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.88%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2014	140.32	130.08	129.87	130.08	129.81	130.05	128(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	10	-10	-27	0.5	63%	-0.2	51.1	3.75%	0	-0.6	37	INF
2	Jul_14_2014	140.6	129.94	130.31	129.6	130.03	130.79	129.2(-1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	9	50	18	-17	0.65	63%	-0.23	47.3	3.76%	0	-0.2	51	INF
3	Jul_11_2014	140.92	129.75	130.73	129.56	129.89	129.56	131.6(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10	1	-13	0.62	63%	-0.54	55.8	3.76%	0	0.5	64	INF
4	Jul_10_2014	141.68	129.21	130.96	129.56	130.04	129.28	130(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-40	-21	-9	0.69	59%	-0.5	56.3	3.76%	0	0.2	59	INF
5	Jul_9_2014	142.39	128.82	131.44	129.92	131.03	130.23	131.6(4.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-6	-20	-9	5	0.98	59%	-0.52	60.1	3.8%	0	0.6	59	INF

6	Jul_8_2014	143.14	128.35	131.8	129.72	131.29	130.8	125.6(-2.64%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-15	10	-23	8	2.27	57%	-0.13	66.9	3.75%	0	-0.6	51	INF
7	Jul_7_2014	143.33	128.24	132.31	131.08	131.78	131.83	129(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	20	-8	30	0.57	53%	-1.08	86.6	3.74%	0	0.2	60	INF
8	Jul_3_2014	144.89	127.67	131.85	132	132.34	131.78	133.4(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-20	-2	38	0.42	53%	-0.54	77.2	3.74%	0	1	66	INF
9	Jul_2_2014	145.67	126.85	131.04	132.2	132.61	131.73	130(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-40	-29	35	0.61	53%	-0.54	72.1	3.73%	0	0.5	69	INF
10	Jul_1_2014	146.46	126.12	130.71	133.2	133.78	132.9	130.6(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-30	-12	56	0.64	53%	-0.63	65.7	3.73%	0	0.7	67	INF

11	Jun_30_2014	147.39	125.23	130.39	134.2	133.83	133.5	132.4(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-30	-16	70	0.49	53%	-0.59	56.4	3.74%	0	1	69	INF
12	Jun_27_2014	148.26	124.14	129.62	133.68	134.18	134.65	133.6(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	40	27	88	0.59	53%	-0.5	45.6	3.74%	0	1.3	69	INF
13	Jun_26_2014	149.01	123.32	128.73	131.56	132.69	134.15	134.4(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	100	38	88	0.69	53%	-0.51	37.8	3.74%	0	1.6	77	INF
14	Jun_25_2014	149.78	122.54	127.32	129.64	129.73	133.7	135(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	220	55	87	0.97	53%	-0.5	34.3	3.75%	0	1.9	78	INF
15	Jun_24_2014	150.54	121.8	125.92	127.88	127.87	131.23	135.6(4.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	98	180	97	101	1.83	53%	-0.47	31.4	3.75%	0	2.4	81	INF

16	Jun_23_2014	151.25	121.19	124.45	126.16	125.8	125.76	129.8(5.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	-10	24	74	1.05	50%	-0.53	30.8	3.71%	0	1.7	80	INF
17	Jun_20_2014	152.06	120.92	123.69	125.08	125.54	124.5	123(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-50	-22	66	0.4	46%	-0.63	32.1	3.64%	0	0.4	78	INF
18	Jun_19_2014	153.02	120.74	123.12	125.44	125.74	125.85	124.8(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	10	-7	76	0.63	46%	-0.56	33.2	3.65%	0	0.9	61	INF
19	Jun_18_2014	153.88	120.37	122.33	124.5	125.84	126.58	126.2(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	70	29	80	0.64	46%	-0.56	24.9	3.66%	0	1.2	58	INF
20	Jun_17_2014	154.74	120	121.19	123.54	124.38	125.63	127(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	90	22	62	0.84	46%	-0.48	12.9	3.66%	0	1.6	55	INF

21	Jun_16_2014	155.48	119.65	119.7	122.5	123.09	125.1	124.4(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	130	33	43	0.55	46%	-0.53	4.9	3.65%	0	1.1	47	INF
22	Jun_13_2014	156.31	119.41	118.29	122.14	122.51	123.14	124.8(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	50	47	26	1.53	44%	-0.57	1.8	3.65%	0	1.3	47	INF
23	Jun_12_2014	157.21	119.18	117.49	120.5	121.17	121.09	120.1(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	10	1	-8	0.46	40%	-0.61	-0.9	3.64%	0	0.2	51	INF
24	Jun_11_2014	158.18	119.21	117.4	119.76	120.16	121.88	121.4(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	19	110	26	-1	0.48	40%	-0.62	10.1	3.68%	0	0.6	56	INF
25	Jun_10_2014	159.17	119.42	117.35	118.4	118.74	121.25	121.8(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	160	66	8	0.63	40%		-7.7	3.69%	0	0.6	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.