Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $210.4000 (5.2%) ($202.0000 - $210.4000) on Tue. Jan. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.21% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $210.4000(5.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(41%)    SPY(36%)    XLY(35%)    XAR(34%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.605% (StdDev 3.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.2%

Resistance Level   $223.31
5 Day Moving Average   $208.76(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $214.39(-1.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $223.31(-5.78%)
To recent high   -12.9%
To recent low   20.2%
Market Cap   $6.035b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 5.28% (three month std-dev: 3.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.12%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.35%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.55%(17%) Average negative next three day return: -1.73%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.16%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.63%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2014	213.87	223.31	214.39	208.76	207.78	204.45	210.4(5.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-58	-130	-41	-107	0.54	63%	-0.06	-58.7	3.21%	0	-1.1	32	0
2	Jan_27_2014	213.99	224.52	215.32	210.48	209.89	205.49	200(-2.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-138	-160	-133	-151	0.84	61%	-0.07	-57.1	3.2%	0	-2.2	22	0
3	Jan_24_2014	214.15	226.58	218.47	213.84	213.67	211.11	205.6(-3.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-94	-90	-84	-125	0.64	61%	-0.03	-50.9	3.19%	0	-2.1	22	0
4	Jan_23_2014	214.22	228.22	220.85	216.64	216.41	214.3	212.8(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-65	-70	-51	-107	0.46	63%	0.03	-36.9	3.16%	0	-1.7	31	0
5	Jan_22_2014	214.15	229.45	223.09	218.24	218.06	216.23	215(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-78	-60	-68	-108	0.65	59%	0.05	-19.5	3.16%	0	-1.7	34	0

6	Jan_21_2014	214.04	230.45	225.32	220.88	220.61	218.53	219(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-70	-37	-75	0.47	59%	0.07	4.4	3.28%	0	-1.4	46	0
7	Jan_17_2014	213.88	231.2	227.16	221	222.36	219.89	216.8(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-68	-60	-63	-83	0.64	54%	0.05	20.8	3.25%	0	-2	39	0
8	Jan_16_2014	213.78	231.75	229.63	223.88	223.62	222.69	219.6(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-30	-58	-67	0.97	54%	0.09	52.5	3.36%	0	-1.9	37	0
9	Jan_15_2014	213.59	231.61	231.43	225.72	226.04	224.83	220.8(-3.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-30	-21	-45	0.76	54%	0.11	75.8	3.37%	0	-1.8	41	0
10	Jan_14_2014	213.35	231.12	232.98	228.68	228.06	224.55	228.2(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-68	-120	-72	-54	0.63	54%	0.11	89	3.35%	0	-0.4	45	0

11	Jan_13_2014	213.12	230.1	232.94	230.56	231.03	227.25	219.6(-5.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-99	-110	-109	-67	0.87	53%	0.11	89.1	3.32%	0	-1.2	41	0
12	Jan_10_2014	212.89	229.7	234.56	234.2	234.82	231.58	231.2(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-73	-90	-83	-41	0.52	59%	0.16	100	3.25%	0	0.1	50	0
13	Jan_9_2014	212.56	228.41	235.41	236.28	237.85	234.8	228.8(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-70	-62	-14	0.77	59%	0.16	105.8	3.41%	0	0	56	0
14	Jan_8_2014	212.22	227.14	236.27	237.92	238.98	238.06	235.6(-0.84%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-27	-10	-42	18	0.98	57%	0.22	106.7	3.4%	0	0.7	72	0
15	Jan_7_2014	211.75	225.11	236.36	237.86	239.08	240.89	237.6(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	45	70	36	70	1.66	57%	0.23	105.3	3.45%	0	0.9	77	0

16	Jan_6_2014	211.26	222.46	235.97	235.66	237.17	239.9	237.8(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	74	100	67	94	1.5	57%	0.22	91.9	3.48%	0	1	78	0
17	Jan_3_2014	210.79	219.77	235.5	234.94	233.98	237.28	241.6(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	58	90	44	101	1.21	55%	0.23	80.4	3.48%	0	1.2	77	0
18	Jan_2_2014	210.31	216.84	233.9	234.58	233.67	234.44	237(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	66	10	48	119	0.73	55%	0.18	75	3.51%	0	1.1	78	0
19	Dec_31_2013	209.94	214.14	231.7	234.54	234.3	230.69	235.3(3.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-8	-110	-42	96	0.61	56%	0.11	69.7	3.51%	0	1	78	0
20	Dec_30_2013	209.7	211.19	229.09	234.76	235.43	232.91	226.6(-3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-43	-70	-88	94	0.8	55%	0.07	66.2	3.52%	0	0.7	80	0

21	Dec_27_2013	209.55	208.97	227.17	236.16	237.01	237.91	234.2(-2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	47	40	8	162	0.7	53%	0.11	65.3	3.53%	0	1.1	90	0
22	Dec_26_2013	209.33	206.34	224.64	235.92	236.03	237.95	239.8(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	90	60	52	205	0.67	53%	0.49	66.1	3.55%	0	1.5	95	0
23	Dec_24_2013	208.31	203.45	220.95	233.04	233.75	236.1	236.8(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	112	80	74	224	0.4	53%	0.28	62.6	3.55%	0	1.6	95	0
24	Dec_23_2013	207.73	200.58	217.34	228.36	229.73	234.1	236.4(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	139	150	106	236	0.6	50%	0.3	52.8	3.55%	0	1.8	95	0
25	Dec_20_2013	207.1	197.76	212.94	222.52	223.43	231.4	233.6(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	177	260	154	244	1.47	50%		39.7	3.62%	0	2	95	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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