Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 19, 2013

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $251.7000 (8.96%) ($238.2000 - $255.2000) on Thu. Sep. 19, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.71% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $251.7000(8.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 6.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(41%)    SPY(36%)    XLY(35%)    XAR(34%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-3%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.855% (StdDev 3.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $233.7(7.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $229.97(9.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $217.41(15.77%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   66.9%
Market Cap   $7.22b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 6.87% (three month std-dev: 3.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 12.69%(38%) Average negative next day return: -3.2%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 6.21%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -6.5%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 15.46%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.92%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131019

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2013	172.5	217.41	229.97	233.7	231.69	237.69	251.7(8.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	172	160	173	168	2.36	77%	0.79	73.1	3.71%	0	2.3	80	0
2	Sep_18_2013	171.15	214.5	226.02	230.38	228.6	227.25	231(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	31	-60	7	104	0.99	73%	0.65	72.5	3.57%	0	1.2	77	0
3	Sep_17_2013	170.04	212.47	223.64	230.3	230.32	225.7	227.2(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-23	-140	-60	87	0.8	73%	0.62	65.1	3.56%	0	1.1	77	0
4	Sep_16_2013	169	210.63	221.46	229.64	230.5	229.95	224.8(-3.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-27	-10	-64	84	1.35	73%	0.59	55.5	3.56%	0	1	65	0
5	Sep_13_2013	168.01	209.01	219.43	229.08	229.88	234.95	233.78(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	101	160	86	144	0.91	82%	0.64	47.8	3.76%	0	1.8	77	0

6	Sep_12_2013	166.94	207.01	216.74	225.4	226.75	231.04	235.1(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	140	150	135	156	1.59	82%	0.66	37.9	3.77%	0	2.2	75	0
7	Sep_11_2013	165.85	205.31	213.23	221.02	221.43	224.81	230.6(2.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	77	110	64	114	1.12	82%	0.64	45.6	3.79%	0	2.3	76	0
8	Sep_10_2013	164.79	203.97	209.88	216.08	218.81	222.46	223.9(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	110	150	107	118	0.97	82%	0.61	55.6	3.78%	0	2.1	77	0
9	Sep_9_2013	163.79	203.19	207.91	212.1	213.96	218.05	222(3.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	87	160	81	103	1.24	82%	0.59	67.2	3.79%	0	2.3	76	0
10	Sep_6_2013	162.83	202.55	205.38	208.34	209.71	215.15	215.4(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	92	200	91	96	0.99	83%	0.59	85.3	3.8%	0	1.7	70	0

11	Sep_5_2013	161.88	202.25	203.73	206.78	207.56	209.86	213.2(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	99	90	100	97	1.52	83%	0.54	106.5	3.81%	0	1.5	64	0
12	Sep_4_2013	161.01	200.39	201.91	204.3	205.03	204.26	205.9(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-20	-3	39	0.56	83%	0.5	76.6	3.82%	0	0.6	50	0
13	Sep_3_2013	160.21	198.9	200.37	202.68	204.29	205.25	204(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	60	1	22	0.56	75%	0.69	61.5	3.83%	0	0.5	46	0
14	Aug_30_2013	159.12	197.74	199.02	203	203.11	205.8	203.2(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	90	39	23	0.57	75%	0.47	55.5	3.93%	0	0.5	42	0
15	Aug_29_2013	158.37	196.37	197.93	201.84	202.54	203.33	207.6(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	40	54	11	0.85	75%	0.55	46	3.92%	0	0.9	44	0

16	Aug_28_2013	157.5	194.87	196.63	200.24	200.89	200.43	200.8(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10	-9	-33	0.57	75%	0.53	42	3.9%	0	0.5	38	0
17	Aug_27_2013	156.67	193.74	196.84	199.16	200.27	201.75	197.8(-3.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	15	70	22	-6	0.82	75%	0.49	39.5	3.91%	0	0.3	68	0
18	Aug_26_2013	155.9	192.63	197.65	197.56	198.56	201.36	205.6(4.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	110	68	28	0.93	75%	0.55	34.7	3.9%	0	0.9	73	0
19	Aug_23_2013	155.05	191.27	198.01	194.44	195.07	198.79	197.4(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	140	59	34	0.38	74%	0.54	29.4	3.88%	0	0.5	65	0
20	Aug_22_2013	154.21	190.72	199.37	193.4	192.81	195.75	199.6(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	100	67	60	0.41	74%	0.58	30.5	3.88%	0	0.7	69	0

21	Aug_21_2013	153.32	189.59	200.49	192.6	191.78	191.35	195.4(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-30	12	61	0.86	74%	0.55	29.2	3.88%	0	0.4	65	0
22	Aug_20_2013	152.48	188.57	198.72	194.36	192.13	189.88	189.8(-0.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-44	-120	-71	37	0.44	74%	0.47	32	3.87%	0	0.1	63	0
23	Aug_19_2013	151.76	187.98	197.49	197.8	196.3	192.2	190(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-46	-170	-78	52	0.79	74%	0.26	43	3.87%	0	0.1	65	0
24	Aug_16_2013	151.37	187.42	196.7	202.12	201.33	194.38	192.2(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-78	-250	-124	59	0.69	74%	0.47	55.4	3.87%	0	0.3	62	0
25	Aug_15_2013	150.66	186.67	195.15	206.12	205.95	200.4	195.6(-4.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-91	-190	-143	65	1.28	74%		66.2	3.86%	0	0.6	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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