Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $203.2000 (-2.12%) ($202.4000 - $210.0000) on Fri. Aug. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.93% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $203.2000(-2.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(41%)    SPY(36%)    XLY(35%)    XAR(34%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-3%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.965% (StdDev 3.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $203(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $199.02(2.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $197.74(2.76%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   51.6%
Market Cap   $5.828b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 6.11% (three month std-dev: 3.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.66%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.09%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.32%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.63%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.21%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130930

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_30_2013	159.12	197.74	199.02	203	203.11	205.8	203.2(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	90	39	23	0.57	75%	0.47	55.5	3.93%	0	0.5	42	0
2	Aug_29_2013	158.37	196.37	197.93	201.84	202.54	203.33	207.6(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	40	54	11	0.85	75%	0.55	46	3.92%	0	0.9	44	0
3	Aug_28_2013	157.5	194.87	196.63	200.24	200.89	200.43	200.8(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10	-9	-33	0.57	75%	0.53	42	3.9%	0	0.5	38	0
4	Aug_27_2013	156.67	193.74	196.84	199.16	200.27	201.75	197.8(-3.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	15	70	22	-6	0.82	75%	0.49	39.5	3.91%	0	0.3	68	0
5	Aug_26_2013	155.9	192.63	197.65	197.56	198.56	201.36	205.6(4.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	110	68	28	0.93	75%	0.55	34.7	3.9%	0	0.9	73	0

6	Aug_23_2013	155.05	191.27	198.01	194.44	195.07	198.79	197.4(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	140	59	34	0.38	74%	0.54	29.4	3.88%	0	0.5	65	0
7	Aug_22_2013	154.21	190.72	199.37	193.4	192.81	195.75	199.6(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	100	67	60	0.41	74%	0.58	30.5	3.88%	0	0.7	69	0
8	Aug_21_2013	153.32	189.59	200.49	192.6	191.78	191.35	195.4(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-30	12	61	0.86	74%	0.55	29.2	3.88%	0	0.4	65	0
9	Aug_20_2013	152.48	188.57	198.72	194.36	192.13	189.88	189.8(-0.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-44	-120	-71	37	0.44	74%	0.47	32	3.87%	0	0.1	63	0
10	Aug_19_2013	151.76	187.98	197.49	197.8	196.3	192.2	190(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-46	-170	-78	52	0.79	74%	0.26	43	3.87%	0	0.1	65	0

11	Aug_16_2013	151.37	187.42	196.7	202.12	201.33	194.38	192.2(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-78	-250	-124	59	0.69	74%	0.47	55.4	3.87%	0	0.3	62	0
12	Aug_15_2013	150.66	186.67	195.15	206.12	205.95	200.4	195.6(-4.21%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-91	-190	-143	65	1.28	74%	0.49	66.2	3.86%	0	0.6	57	0
13	Aug_14_2013	149.93	185.66	193.43	209.4	210.19	208.28	204.2(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	-50	-43	128	0.48	81%	0.56	75.7	3.81%	0	1.3	67	0
14	Aug_13_2013	149.09	184.23	190.73	203.44	212.23	211.5	207(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	97	110	79	149	0.69	81%	0.6	64.6	3.92%	0	1.6	70	0
15	Aug_12_2013	148.2	182.14	187.4	196.84	203.14	212.1	211.6(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	85	400	75	116	0.7	81%	0.67	52	3.9%	0	2.2	69	0

16	Aug_9_2013	147.21	179.9	183.86	190.4	194.2	212.96	212.2(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	294	740	329	189	1.15	83%	0.73	40.1	3.9%	0	2.8	69	0
17	Aug_8_2013	146.15	177.67	180.93	182.76	185.55	194.19	212(21.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.3	276	370	317	154	4.57	83%	0.73	21.5	4.11%	0	3.9	69	0
18	Aug_7_2013	145.09	175.52	177.07	175.72	176.02	175.44	174.4(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-20	-34	-18	1.44	78%	0.49	-13.4	3.22%	0	-0.3	50	0
19	Aug_6_2013	144.38	175.6	177.1	176.26	176.99	176.91	174(-3.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	4	10	6	-2	0.85	71%	0.45	-13.2	3.23%	0	-0.4	48	0
20	Aug_5_2013	143.73	175.53	177.45	176.3	176.84	176.61	179.4(3.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-5	0	-7	3	0.7	71%	0.51	-14.4	3.32%	0	0.9	64	0

21	Aug_2_2013	143	175.42	177.28	176.1	176.95	176.61	174(-1.58%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-15	20	-21	5	1.05	71%	0.52	-8.1	3.31%	0	-0.3	57	0
22	Aug_1_2013	142.26	175.82	177.61	176.1	178.33	177.06	176.8(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-60	-7	32	0.71	71%	0.52	23.1	3.32%	0	0.2	58	0
23	Jul_31_2013	141.53	176.07	177.61	178.66	179.42	176.84	177.1(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-23	-90	-38	23	0.47	71%	0.53	37.7	3.34%	0	0.2	56	0
24	Jul_30_2013	140.79	176.14	177.5	178.04	179.32	179.6	174.2(-2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-21	30	-35	22	0.68	71%	0.48	49.4	3.35%	0	-0.4	49	0
25	Jul_29_2013	140.12	176.13	176.85	178.64	179.02	182	178.4(-4.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	57	120	57	58	0.57	71%		67.3	3.36%	0	0.5	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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