Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $175.4000 (-0.9%) ($173.3000 - $180.0000) on Thu. Jul. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.27% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $175.4000(-0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    PEJ(41%)    SPY(36%)    XLY(35%)    XAR(34%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-3%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.635% (StdDev 3.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $171.6(2.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $173.75(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $170.88(2.65%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   62.7%
Market Cap   $5.031b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 4.67% (three month std-dev: 3.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.58%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.08%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.77%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2013	134.9	170.88	173.75	171.6	171.4	173.83	175.4(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	100	75	11	0.41	73%	0.42	63.2	3.27%	0	0.6	59	NAN
2	Jul_17_2013	134.33	169.9	174.38	171	170.04	169.89	177(6.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-20	5	-5	0.77	73%	0.51	65.9	3.32%	0	0.8	62	NAN
3	Jul_16_2013	133.65	168.77	174.51	170.8	171.11	168.98	166.2(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-80	-35	-8	0.53	70%	0.41	68.3	3.24%	0	-0.3	57	NAN
4	Jul_15_2013	133.1	168.24	175.35	171.96	172.4	170.2	168.8(-1.06%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-48	-80	-64	2	0.58	70%	0.42	74.5	3.23%	0	0.1	65	NAN
5	Jul_12_2013	132.54	167.52	175.69	173.81	173.48	173.25	170.6(-1.04%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-33	-10	-53	29	0.56	70%	0.42	84	3.28%	0	0.3	67	NAN

6	Jul_11_2013	131.99	165.98	175.55	176.17	176.15	174.6	172.4(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-60	-13	79	0.88	73%	0.47	79.4	3.28%	0	0.5	76	NAN
7	Jul_10_2013	131.37	164.41	175.1	178.24	178.26	173.7	176(2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-43	-180	-83	78	0.46	73%	0.45	79.3	3.31%	0	0.9	73	NAN
8	Jul_9_2013	130.78	162.77	173.92	178.84	180.53	177.69	172(-3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-42	-80	-87	94	1.16	73%	0.32	79.9	3.32%	0	0.7	72	NAN
9	Jul_8_2013	130.36	161.36	172.82	179.12	181.53	182.82	178.04(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	90	16	148	0.85	77%	0.47	79.3	3.29%	0	1.2	80	NAN
10	Jul_5_2013	129.75	159.41	170.98	177.71	179.36	183.37	182.4(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	115	180	93	182	0.68	79%	0.65	70.8	3.27%	0	1.6	87	NAN

11	Jul_3_2013	128.91	156.98	167.87	174.79	175.57	180.25	182.78(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	135	200	117	190	0.86	79%	0.61	59.1	3.32%	0	1.8	92	NAN
12	Jul_2_2013	128.13	154.6	164.99	171.56	172.07	175.35	179(3.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	128	140	108	187	0.8	73%	0.57	52.8	3.33%	0	1.8	88	NAN
13	Jul_1_2013	127.4	152.58	162.38	168.4	168.79	170.9	173.38(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	89	90	64	162	0.56	73%	0.52	47.5	3.41%	0	1.7	80	NAN
14	Jun_28_2013	126.74	150.97	160.36	165.6	166.11	168.8	171(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	87	120	63	158	1.99	73%	0.53	44.2	3.43%	0	1.8	78	NAN
15	Jun_27_2013	126.07	149.97	158.5	163.2	163.4	166.68	167.8(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	108	140	87	172	0.69	73%	0.49	47.4	3.43%	0	1.8	79	NAN

16	Jun_26_2013	125.46	148.95	155.53	159.8	160.31	163.43	166.6(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	102	150	84	156	0.63	73%	0.53	43.5	3.44%	0	1.9	81	NAN
17	Jun_25_2013	124.8	147.92	152.79	157.4	157.23	160.12	163.2(2.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	85	130	67	140	0.75	73%	0.48	43.7	3.44%	0	1.9	76	NAN
18	Jun_24_2013	124.21	147.06	150.68	155.48	155.24	157.2	159.38(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	73	80	55	127	1.01	73%	0.39	45.1	3.47%	0	1.6	68	NAN
19	Jun_21_2013	123.73	146.24	149	154.36	154.11	154.34	159(5.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	10	25	109	1.66	75%	0.41	47.7	3.53%	0	1.8	64	NAN
20	Jun_20_2013	123.23	145.37	146.95	153.16	153.46	153.29	150.8(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-0	3	80	0.62	73%	0.37	50.2	3.48%	0	0.8	47	NAN

21	Jun_19_2013	122.77	145.05	145.35	150.44	153.39	153.88	154.6(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	80	49	64	0.63	73%	0.41	45.1	3.46%	0	1.5	53	NAN
22	Jun_18_2013	122.27	144.42	143.48	147.32	149.58	153.63	153.6(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	240	45	28	0.52	73%	0.38	37.4	3.5%	0	1.5	54	NAN
23	Jun_17_2013	121.81	143.69	142.02	145.08	146.6	152.9	153.8(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	115	330	139	42	0.88	73%	0.41	38.7	3.5%	0	1.8	54	NAN
24	Jun_14_2013	121.31	142.94	140.77	142.92	143.73	145.53	153(11.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	82	100	105	13	3.12	75%	0.41	43.1	3.57%	0	1.9	57	NAN
25	Jun_13_2013	120.81	142.19	140.56	140.08	141.27	140.3	137.2(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-20	-17	-46	0.63	71%		44.7	3.34%	0	-1.1	46	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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