Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 16, 2013

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $127.6000 (1.59%) ($124.2000 - $130.6000) on Tue. Apr. 16, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.97% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $127.6000(1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(42%)    PEJ(41%)    SPY(36%)    XLY(35%)    XAR(34%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-3%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.485% (StdDev 4.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $127(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $122.49(4.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $119.2(7.05%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   40.8%
Market Cap   $3.66b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 5.88% (three month std-dev: 4.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 3.94%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.64%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.3%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2013	105.27	119.2	122.49	127	127.52	127.68	127.6(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	20	11	45	0.45	56%	0.52	78.9	4.97%	0	1.2	56	NAN
2	Apr_15_2013	104.73	118.3	121	125.24	125.94	128.11	125.6(-4.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	140	23	33	0.69	56%	0.47	73.3	5%	0	1	56	NAN
3	Apr_12_2013	104.24	117.42	120.32	124.28	123.92	127.36	131(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	190	54	45	0.96	56%	0.27	67.5	4.94%	0	1.9	66	NAN
4	Apr_11_2013	103.96	115.95	119.3	122.36	121.98	123.78	128.6(5.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	55	90	57	49	1.17	56%	0.51	57	4.97%	0	1.8	70	NAN
5	Apr_10_2013	103.43	114.78	118.69	119.56	119.56	120.48	122.2(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	50	23	35	0.63	54%	0.56	48	4.95%	0	1.1	68	NAN

6	Apr_9_2013	102.85	113.92	118.53	117.32	117.49	120.18	118.8(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	160	33	41	0.36	54%	0.59	33.3	4.95%	0	0.7	68	NAN
7	Apr_8_2013	102.25	113.39	118.63	116.04	115.36	118.65	120.8(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	180	49	51	0.5	54%	0.63	28	4.96%	0	1.1	63	NAN
8	Apr_5_2013	101.61	112.81	118.04	115.72	113.81	114.8	121.4(5.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	10	21	46	0.71	54%	0.66	33.4	4.92%	0	1.3	65	NAN
9	Apr_4_2013	100.94	112.04	116.8	115.92	114.74	112.06	114.6(3.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-15	-190	-31	34	0.32	51%	0.63	47.4	4.91%	0	0.4	67	NAN
10	Apr_3_2013	100.31	111.62	116.22	117.84	117.48	112.81	111(-1.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-45	-290	-71	34	0.68	51%	0.62	45.8	4.91%	0	-0.1	58	NAN

11	Apr_2_2013	99.69	111.7	115.84	119.88	120.21	117.43	112.4(-5.7%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-33	-150	-62	53	0.98	51%	0.62	56.8	4.92%	0	0.1	61	NAN
12	Apr_1_2013	99.08	111.51	115.66	121.4	121.74	122.15	119.2(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	30	-1	93	0.59	54%	0.9	61.8	4.86%	0	1.2	62	NAN
13	Mar_28_2013	98.2	110.65	114.55	120.52	120.94	123	122.4(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	61	130	46	107	0.93	54%	0.51	42	4.85%	0	1.5	63	NAN
14	Mar_27_2013	97.7	109.1	112.49	117.72	117.91	121.32	124.18(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	210	59	91	0.96	54%	0.47	16.7	4.85%	0	2	68	NAN
15	Mar_26_2013	97.24	108.72	110.55	114.4	114.33	118.88	121.2(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	78	280	78	78	1.12	54%	0.46	10.1	4.84%	0	1.9	67	NAN

16	Mar_25_2013	96.79	108.13	108.85	111.28	110.96	114.5	120(4.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	64	210	70	47	1.04	54%	0.47	-8.7	4.86%	0	1.9	55	NAN
17	Mar_22_2013	96.34	107.63	107.54	109.2	108.68	109.78	114.8(5.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	60	35	20	0.85	54%	0.38	-25.1	4.86%	0	1.3	56	NAN
18	Mar_21_2013	95.98	107.53	106.92	107.8	107.76	107.43	108.4(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-20	4	7	0.37	51%	0.28	-35	4.85%	0	0.2	59	NAN
19	Mar_20_2013	95.71	107.86	106.71	106.44	107.64	107.58	107.6(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	30	2	14	0.31	51%	0.13	-38.1	4.85%	0	-0	69	NAN
20	Mar_19_2013	95.59	108.05	106.54	106.04	106.78	108.1	105.6(-3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	7	110	9	-0	0.73	51%	0.12	-33.6	4.86%	0	-0.4	45	NAN

21	Mar_18_2013	95.48	108.66	107.2	105.92	106.08	107.7	109.6(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	110	26	7	0.56	51%	0.22	-26.2	4.84%	0	0.1	52	NAN
22	Mar_15_2013	95.27	109.08	107.04	105.64	105.74	105.45	107.8(6.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-20	7	-6	1.12	51%	0.21	-19.3	4.85%	0	-0.2	51	NAN
23	Mar_14_2013	95.07	109.59	106.5	106.04	106.09	104.45	101.6(-3.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-110	-29	-30	0.58	47%	0.15	-8.7	4.83%	0	-1.1	46	NAN
24	Mar_13_2013	94.93	110.13	105.62	107	107.51	106.03	105.6(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-80	-20	-47	0.33	47%	0.18	-2.9	4.81%	0	-0.7	47	NAN
25	Mar_12_2013	94.76	110.19	106.88	107.06	107.83	107.73	105(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	20	-27	-42	0.56	47%		-0.5	4.85%	0	-0.8	49	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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