Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 26, 2013

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $121.2000 (1%) ($117.2000 - $123.8000) on Tue. Mar. 26, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.84% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $121.2000(1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(42%)    PEJ(41%)    SPY(35%)    XLY(35%)    XAR(34%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-3%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.42% (StdDev 4.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $114.4(5.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $110.55(9.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.72(11.48%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   33.8%
Market Cap   $3.476b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 6.14% (three month std-dev: 4.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130426

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_26_2013	97.24	108.72	110.55	114.4	114.33	118.88	121.2(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	78	280	78	78	1.12	54%	0.46	10.1	4.84%	0	1.9	67	NAN
2	Mar_25_2013	96.79	108.13	108.85	111.28	110.96	114.5	120(4.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	64	210	70	47	1.04	54%	0.47	-8.7	4.86%	0	1.9	55	NAN
3	Mar_22_2013	96.34	107.63	107.54	109.2	108.68	109.78	114.8(5.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	60	35	20	0.85	54%	0.38	-25.1	4.86%	0	1.3	56	NAN
4	Mar_21_2013	95.98	107.53	106.92	107.8	107.76	107.43	108.4(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-20	4	7	0.37	51%	0.28	-35	4.85%	0	0.2	59	NAN
5	Mar_20_2013	95.71	107.86	106.71	106.44	107.64	107.58	107.6(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	30	2	14	0.31	51%	0.13	-38.1	4.85%	0	-0	69	NAN

6	Mar_19_2013	95.59	108.05	106.54	106.04	106.78	108.1	105.6(-3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	7	110	9	-0	0.73	51%	0.12	-33.6	4.86%	0	-0.4	45	NAN
7	Mar_18_2013	95.48	108.66	107.2	105.92	106.08	107.7	109.6(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	110	26	7	0.56	51%	0.22	-26.2	4.84%	0	0.1	52	NAN
8	Mar_15_2013	95.27	109.08	107.04	105.64	105.74	105.45	107.8(6.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-20	7	-6	1.12	51%	0.21	-19.3	4.85%	0	-0.2	51	NAN
9	Mar_14_2013	95.07	109.59	106.5	106.04	106.09	104.45	101.6(-3.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-110	-29	-30	0.58	47%	0.15	-8.7	4.83%	0	-1.1	46	NAN
10	Mar_13_2013	94.93	110.13	105.62	107	107.51	106.03	105.6(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-80	-20	-47	0.33	47%	0.18	-2.9	4.81%	0	-0.7	47	NAN

11	Mar_12_2013	94.76	110.19	106.88	107.06	107.83	107.73	105(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	20	-27	-42	0.56	47%	0.16	-0.5	4.85%	0	-0.8	49	NAN
12	Mar_11_2013	94.61	110.35	107.47	108.6	109.07	109	108.2(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	10	6	-27	0.6	47%	0.16	7.7	4.85%	0	-0.3	47	NAN
13	Mar_8_2013	94.46	110.39	107.77	108.64	109.81	107.93	109.8(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-90	1	-36	0.82	42%	0.13	5.1	4.98%	0	-0.1	47	NAN
14	Mar_7_2013	94.34	110.21	108.15	107.08	108.56	109.14	106.4(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	80	0	-50	0.73	54%	0.05	-4.4	5.01%	0	-0.6	45	NAN
15	Mar_6_2013	94.29	110.33	109.05	103.92	106.27	111.7	105.9(-6.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	30	430	51	-35	2.1	54%	0.05	-15.7	5.78%	0	-0.7	51	NAN

16	Mar_5_2013	94.24	110.22	109.66	106.67	100.84	107.99	112.7(3.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	40	330	58	-16	1.7	57%	0.11	-6.5	5.72%	0	0.4	58	NAN
17	Mar_4_2013	94.14	109.83	110.12	106.33	101.91	100.84	108.4(6.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	35	-200	50	-12	2.18	53%	0.03	-9.9	5.71%	0	-0.2	55	NAN
18	Mar_1_2013	94.11	110.05	111.13	107.01	103.83	93.69	102(12.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-99	-770	-110	-65	3.11	50%	-0.04	-2.5	5.74%	0	-1.2	50	NAN
19	Feb_28_2013	94.15	110.51	112.87	109.49	107.93	102.98	90.6(-24.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-126	-360	-149	-57	5.17	46%	-0.12	12.1	5.61%	0	-2.9	44	NAN
20	Feb_27_2013	94.26	111.39	115.25	114.57	114.52	113.97	119.65(7.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-30	17	45	1.95	58%	0.16	47.7	4.86%	0	1.6	63	NAN

21	Feb_26_2013	94.11	110.67	113.9	113	114.53	112.88	111(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-21	-60	-34	20	0.69	54%	0.02	49.7	4.79%	0	0.1	63	NAN
22	Feb_25_2013	94.09	110.53	113.62	114.5	115.51	115.06	111.8(-2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-0	-26	37	0.48	54%	0.07	67.6	4.82%	0	0.3	60	NAN
23	Feb_22_2013	94.02	110.23	113.37	115.96	116.98	116.18	114.4(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-20	-6	51	0.52	54%	0.21	79	4.81%	0	0.8	52	NAN
24	Feb_21_2013	93.82	109.7	112.55	116.88	117.74	115.95	116(3.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-80	-16	50	1.05	61%	0.26	86.9	4.84%	0	1.2	56	NAN
25	Feb_20_2013	93.58	108.99	111.75	115.98	117.7	117.79	111.8(-5.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	50	-8	48	0.74	64%		79.5	5.16%	0	0.5	58	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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