Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $103.8000 (2.77%) ($98.4000 - $105.8000) on Thu. Jan. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.54% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $103.8000(2.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(42%)    PEJ(41%)    SPY(35%)    XLY(34%)    XAR(33%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -3.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.27% (StdDev 6.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.04(-0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.35(2.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.81(5.05%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   97.3%
Market Cap   $2.977b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 3.75% (three month std-dev: 6.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.01%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -14.76%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.05%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2013	89.48	98.81	101.35	104.04	104.19	102.95	103.8(2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-80	-10	36	0.7	48%	0.16	137.9	6.54%	0	1.3	60	NAN
2	Jan_9_2013	89.34	98.05	100.59	103.76	104.61	104.11	101(-2.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10	-7	33	0.42	48%	0.11	148.1	6.56%	0	0.8	51	NAN
3	Jan_8_2013	89.24	97.3	99.82	103.4	104.14	105.44	104(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	110	13	37	0.54	48%	0.13	131.9	6.56%	0	1.5	63	NAN
4	Jan_7_2013	89.12	96.76	99.04	102.04	102.86	105.1	106(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	180	34	37	0.84	48%	0.12	120.5	6.58%	0	1.9	59	NAN
5	Jan_4_2013	89.01	95.32	97.96	99.96	100.44	102.85	105.4(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	180	32	26	0.7	51%	0.07	104.6	6.68%	0	2.2	62	NAN

6	Jan_3_2013	88.95	93.95	97.09	98.32	98.13	100.61	102.4(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	170	28	21	0.66	51%	-0.04	64	6.68%	0	1.4	65	NAN
7	Jan_2_2013	88.99	92.63	96.77	97.04	97.02	98.04	99.2(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	70	27	24	0.6	51%	-0.85	47.9	6.67%	0	1	67	NAN
8	Dec_31_2012	89.75	91.8	96.41	95.72	95.84	95.65	97.2(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10	-1	16	0.35	51%	-0.6	40.6	6.67%	0	0.7	69	NAN
9	Dec_28_2012	90.29	91.09	96.52	95.56	95.49	96	95.6(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	40	1	20	0.25	51%	-0.43	42.3	6.67%	0	0.6	53	NAN
10	Dec_27_2012	90.68	90.82	96.58	95.6	95.2	96.03	97.2(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	50	6	41	0.4	51%	-0.47	51.7	6.66%	0	0.8	71	NAN

11	Dec_26_2012	91.11	90.35	96.06	95.68	95.46	94.98	96(3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-40	-3	52	0.4	51%	-1.16	67.3	6.67%	0	0.7	69	NAN
12	Dec_24_2012	92.18	89.54	95.36	96.52	96.61	94.38	92.6(-3.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-160	-17	66	0.25	49%	-0.43	77.7	6.67%	0	0.4	69	NAN
13	Dec_21_2012	92.58	88.76	94.74	97.16	97.44	95.95	96.4(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-100	-27	71	0.73	49%	-0.34	89.7	6.66%	0	0.9	63	NAN
14	Dec_20_2012	92.9	87.89	94.45	97.6	98.21	98.85	95.81(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	60	-2	98	0.51	49%	-0.38	106.5	6.66%	0	1	62	NAN
15	Dec_19_2012	93.25	86.99	92.65	97.64	98.45	98.93	97.6(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	60	19	95	0.6	53%	-0.4	122.8	6.67%	0	1.3	56	NAN

16	Dec_18_2012	93.62	85.51	90.7	96.44	97.2	97.58	100.21(4.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	50	13	75	0.64	53%	-0.41	121.1	6.89%	0	1.6	59	NAN
17	Dec_17_2012	94.01	83.64	88.22	94.04	95.26	97.98	95.8(-2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	240	26	65	0.75	50%	-0.6	111.2	6.87%	0	1.3	63	NAN
18	Dec_14_2012	94.58	81.88	86.82	91.88	92.81	96.83	98.6(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	51	330	46	67	0.92	53%	-0.37	98.8	6.97%	0	1.6	67	NAN
19	Dec_13_2012	94.93	79.87	85.14	90.9	89.98	92.55	96(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	170	49	67	1.1	53%	-0.52	82.8	7.09%	0	1.5	63	NAN
20	Dec_12_2012	95.43	77.84	84.42	86.94	87.69	88.8	91.6(3.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	110	35	51	1.16	53%	-0.57	58.2	7.07%	0	1.2	62	NAN

21	Dec_11_2012	95.98	75.93	83.98	84.06	84.12	87.4	88.2(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	280	26	52	0.49	55%	-0.63	36.3	7.06%	0	1	68	NAN
22	Dec_10_2012	96.59	74.25	83.07	81.46	81.53	86.59	85(-9.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	440	51	64	1.11	55%	-0.67	19.4	7.11%	0	0.9	70	NAN
23	Dec_7_2012	97.24	72.79	82.23	80.9	79.48	80.84	93.7(22.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	51	70	42	76	2.55	58%	-0.57	10	7.01%	0	1.6	77	NAN
24	Dec_6_2012	97.8	71.87	80.65	78.74	78.86	76.48	76.2(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-210	-33	64	0.37	52%	-0.69	4.8	6.39%	0	0.4	72	NAN
25	Dec_5_2012	98.48	71.77	80.88	81.66	80.86	78.11	77.2(2.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-270	-47	114	0.44	52%		9	6.39%	0	0.5	76	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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