Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 18, 2012

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $141.4000 (-1.94%) ($140.4000 - $146.0000) on Wed. Jul. 18, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.34% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $141.4000(-1.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -12.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(41%)    PEJ(39%)    SPY(34%)    XLY(34%)    XAR(33%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.67% (StdDev 5.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

Resistance Level   $179.02
5 Day Moving Average   $150.88(-6.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $159.01(-11.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $179.02(-21.01%)
To recent high   -45.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $4.056b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 13.19% (three month std-dev: 5.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 5.38%(63%) Average negative next day return: -4.27%(38%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 13.4%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -2.68%(44%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 15.04%(69%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.11%(31%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2012	250.11	179.02	159.01	150.88	151.71	145.95	141.4(-1.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-109	-250	-88	-172	0.57	49%	-1.03	-55.1	5.34%	0	-1.6	24	NAN
2	Jul_17_2012	252.72	182.91	162.51	153.68	154.61	152.9	144.2(-6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-94	-60	-69	-170	0.54	49%	-0.98	-50.5	5.36%	0	-1.7	25	NAN
3	Jul_16_2012	255.23	186.88	167.08	158.08	157.49	157.48	153.4(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-10	-20	-142	0.39	51%	-0.94	-44.5	5.31%	0	-1.5	32	NAN
4	Jul_13_2012	257.64	189.4	172.72	162.56	161.18	156.33	155.8(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	-240	-36	-131	0.37	51%	-0.91	-45.1	5.32%	0	-1.6	30	NAN
5	Jul_12_2012	260.01	191.26	176.83	165.16	164.5	157.5	159.6(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-123	-310	-111	-159	0.79	51%	-0.89	-50.6	5.33%	0	-1.6	30	NAN

6	Jul_11_2012	262.34	193.07	181.1	168.52	168.73	166.03	155.4(-6.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-96	-110	-81	-142	0.65	51%	-0.93	-55.1	5.34%	0	-2	27	NAN
7	Jul_10_2012	264.8	195.44	186.16	172.6	172.48	171.5	166.2(-5.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-40	-26	-115	0.38	53%	-0.38	-56.2	5.3%	0	-1.8	28	NAN
8	Jul_9_2012	265.82	197.59	189.47	177.4	175.46	171.43	175.8(4.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-89	-190	-74	-133	0.28	55%	-0.88	-46.1	5.27%	0	-1.5	29	NAN
9	Jul_6_2012	268.18	199.6	192.68	184.76	182.49	173.45	168.8(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-122	-380	-120	-129	0.37	55%	-0.91	-28.3	5.24%	0	-2.1	40	NAN
10	Jul_5_2012	270.63	201.9	196.94	190.4	191.46	179.5	176.4(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-146	-420	-156	-117	0.29	55%	-1.23	-20.5	5.26%	0	-2	49	NAN

11	Jul_3_2012	274	203.8	200.73	195.64	197.06	191.53	175.8(-7.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-137	-170	-153	-90	0.61	55%	-0.79	-14.2	5.23%	0	-2.5	48	NAN
12	Jul_2_2012	276.17	205.01	205.15	201.48	201.91	203.43	190.2(-10.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	1	60	1	-1	0.64	52%	-0.85	-16.3	5.16%	0	-1.4	49	NAN
13	Jun_29_2012	278.53	204.67	208.44	203	202.63	202.59	212.6(7.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10	30	23	0.33	56%	-0.77	-38.3	5.4%	0	0.7	53	NAN
14	Jun_28_2012	280.68	203.74	207.33	202.08	201.1	200.4	197(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-40	-43	-15	0.31	54%	-1.06	-58.6	5.29%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
15	Jun_27_2012	283.68	204.52	206.81	204.68	204.03	202.66	202.6(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-60	-9	-5	0.25	55%	-1	-60.8	5.29%	0	-0.2	46	NAN

16	Jun_26_2012	286.55	205.41	205.95	206.84	206.31	201.8	205(3.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-160	-59	-29	0.22	55%	-0.94	-54.5	5.34%	0	-0	47	NAN
17	Jun_25_2012	289.26	206.79	205.42	209.56	210.01	205.4	197.8(-4.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-70	-150	-83	-29	0.24	55%	-1.02	-52.3	5.33%	0	-0.7	54	NAN
18	Jun_22_2012	292.23	208.82	206.39	214.6	214.22	210.82	208(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-28	-120	-43	17	0.19	55%	-0.88	-35.2	5.31%	0	-0.1	66	NAN
19	Jun_21_2012	294.81	210.17	207	213.24	215.92	214.62	209.98(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-0	7	45	0.22	55%	-0.76	-37.7	5.31%	0	-0	58	NAN
20	Jun_20_2012	297.06	211.54	207.15	208.96	211.08	217.63	213.4(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	250	55	51	0.28	55%	-0.66	-46.7	5.31%	0	0.1	51	NAN

21	Jun_19_2012	299.04	212.68	206.94	204.68	203.34	217.23	218.6(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	140	460	161	76	0.63	55%	-0.59	-51.6	5.31%	0	0.3	49	NAN
22	Jun_18_2012	300.82	213.92	204.62	200.76	197.3	204.53	223(10.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	135	200	165	46	0.68	55%	-0.6	-50.8	5.31%	0	0.5	46	NAN
23	Jun_15_2012	302.63	214.22	200.25	197.52	194.26	189.45	201.2(6.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	-220	-40	-78	0.89	54%	-0.63	-47.9	5.11%	0	-0.6	37	NAN
24	Jun_14_2012	304.56	216.48	199.56	200.32	199.01	190.08	188.6(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-133	-330	-134	-130	0.38	52%	-0.71	-32.9	5.09%	0	-1.3	33	NAN
25	Jun_13_2012	306.74	220.04	201.98	205.08	205.16	199.08	192(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-126	-210	-126	-127	0.51	52%		-14.6	5.09%	0	-1.3	33	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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