Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 14, 2012

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $188.6000 (-1.77%) ($182.6000 - $189.2000) on Thu. Jun. 14, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.09% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $188.6000(-1.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(41%)    PEJ(39%)    SPY(34%)    XLY(34%)    XAR(32%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.545% (StdDev 5.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

Resistance Level   $216.48
5 Day Moving Average   $200.32(-5.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $199.56(-5.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $216.48(-12.88%)
To recent high   -48.7%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $5.41b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 9.75% (three month std-dev: 5.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.14%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.61%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.56%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.98%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2012	304.56	216.48	199.56	200.32	199.01	190.08	188.6(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-133	-330	-134	-130	0.38	52%	-0.71	-32.9	5.09%	0	-1.3	33	0
2	Jun_13_2012	306.74	220.04	201.98	205.08	205.16	199.08	192(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-126	-210	-126	-127	0.51	52%	-0.72	-14.6	5.09%	0	-1.3	33	0
3	Jun_12_2012	308.98	222.66	204.9	209.2	210.48	207.95	199(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-70	-35	-87	0.49	52%	-0.71	-2.3	5.09%	0	-1.1	35	0
4	Jun_11_2012	311.19	224.53	208.35	208.54	211.09	211.25	206.8(-3.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	40	29	-70	0.29	52%	-0.68	2.3	5.07%	0	-0.9	35	0
5	Jun_8_2012	313.33	224.34	211.47	202.98	205.11	213	215.2(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	33	300	66	-67	0.32	52%	-0.68	-5.3	5.06%	0	-0.4	45	0

6	Jun_7_2012	315.46	223.66	213.44	198.7	198.93	210.93	212.4(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	113	430	165	-44	0.43	50%	-0.64	-12.2	5.06%	0	-0.5	39	0
7	Jun_6_2012	317.49	223.3	216.02	198.78	193.96	197.21	212.6(8.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	45	40	87	-83	0.67	50%	-0.57	-13.9	5.09%	0	-0.5	36	0
8	Jun_5_2012	319.3	223.15	218.5	200.66	195.69	186.94	195.7(9.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-124	-390	-111	-163	0.54	45%	-0.4	-13.7	4.96%	0	-1.2	37	0
9	Jun_4_2012	320.58	224.06	223.72	208.68	205.21	190.7	179(-7.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-233	-540	-246	-194	0.63	42%	-0.65	-5.2	4.82%	0	-2	34	0
10	Jun_1_2012	322.68	225.47	229.47	221.08	218.05	204.45	193.8(-8.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-224	-480	-249	-148	1.17	44%	-0.61	2.6	4.75%	0	-1.6	55	0

11	May_31_2012	324.65	226.37	235.17	229.88	229.44	219.73	212.8(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-149	-300	-176	-69	0.3	47%	-0.53	7.9	4.72%	0	-0.7	61	0
12	May_30_2012	326.38	226.46	240.02	235.44	235.76	231.65	222(-5.85%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-78	-120	-106	6	0.18	47%	-0.51	8.2	4.7%	0	-0.2	62	0
13	May_29_2012	328.04	226.29	242.35	238.84	238.98	239.15	235.8(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	10	-20	72	0.16	50%	-0.49	8.1	4.66%	0	0.5	64	0
14	May_25_2012	329.65	225.21	242.4	241.24	240.24	239.88	241(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	43	-20	19	114	0.11	50%	-0.36	6.4	4.59%	0	0.8	64	0
15	May_24_2012	330.84	224.96	238.56	239.36	239.6	238.8	237.8(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-20	-24	93	0.11	50%	-0.42	7.7	4.62%	0	0.7	67	0

16	May_23_2012	332.25	224.83	234.93	241.44	239.73	240.6	240.6(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	0	-25	99	0.18	50%	-0.44	11.4	4.63%	0	0.8	64	0
17	May_22_2012	333.73	224.87	231.26	245.52	242.74	240.4	239(-3.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	30	-100	-1	122	0.15	50%	-0.29	18.5	4.62%	0	0.7	61	0
18	May_21_2012	334.71	224.72	228.15	246.4	245.31	238.85	247.8(6.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-67	-200	-115	79	0.37	50%	-0.5	17.1	4.61%	0	1.2	61	0
19	May_18_2012	336.4	223.98	224.21	243.78	253.25	245.08	231.6(-6.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-110	-31	107	0.3	46%	-0.6	9.9	4.51%	0	0.4	58	0
20	May_17_2012	338.42	223.49	221.12	237.06	248.64	251.78	248.2(-4.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	230	1	73	0.33	49%	-0.62	-9.5	4.49%	0	1.3	52	0

21	May_16_2012	340.53	222.64	216.72	226.9	235.36	261.43	261(7.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	251	890	290	135	0.35	52%	-0.6	-33.1	4.45%	0	2.1	56	0
22	May_15_2012	342.59	221.31	211.27	214.98	222.5	245.51	243.4(3.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	451	830	543	175	1.23	48%	-0.3	-57.3	4.38%	0	1.2	48	0
23	May_14_2012	343.63	221.44	208.2	207.62	205.93	209.29	234.7(18.54%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	107	90	149	-21	0.82	48%	-0.67	-70	4.35%	0	0.7	47	0
24	May_11_2012	345.94	222.14	205.77	202.52	202.41	199.49	198(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-86	-100	-62	-158	0.07	32%	-0.73	-75.9	3.65%	0	-1.2	28	0
25	May_10_2012	348.48	225.3	209.69	202.8	204.78	202.56	197.4(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-70	-50	-46	-140	0.07	32%		-75.7	3.67%	0	-1.3	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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