Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 23, 2011

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $456.8000 (3.35%) ($438.0000 - $459.6000) on Fri. Dec. 23, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.9% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $456.8000(3.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(40%)    PEJ(39%)    SPY(34%)    XLY(33%)    XAR(32%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -2.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.95% (StdDev 5.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $450.6(1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $453.71(0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $421.4(8.4%)
To recent high   -12.8%
To recent low   49.9%
Market Cap   $13.103b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 12.27% (three month std-dev: 5.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2011	439.35	421.4	453.71	450.6	451.39	449.48	456.8(3.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-15	-20	-26	20	0.06	39%	0.12	20.6	5.9%	0	0.7	70	NAN
2	Dec_22_2011	438.84	415.53	454.8	451.4	451.58	452.38	442(-3.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-14	10	-31	39	0.06	39%	0.02	6.9	5.95%	0	0.5	69	NAN
3	Dec_21_2011	438.75	410.6	455.39	455.32	455.64	453.3	459.2(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-30	12	78	0.05	39%	0.15	-3.1	6.01%	0	0.9	73	NAN
4	Dec_20_2011	438.11	407.44	452.04	453.68	457.69	450.78	455(3.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-27	-80	-58	65	0.06	39%	0.13	-10.8	6.1%	0	0.9	77	NAN
5	Dec_19_2011	437.56	407.63	445.65	455.96	457.19	457.98	440(-4.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-35	20	-73	81	0.06	39%	0.02	-10.4	6.17%	0	0.6	80	NAN

6	Dec_16_2011	437.48	411	440.42	456.96	460.96	464.61	460.8(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	103	80	82	167	0.23	39%	0.18	-6.3	6.22%	0	0.8	87	NAN
7	Dec_15_2011	436.68	411.98	432.56	458.72	457.29	456.41	461.6(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	39	-20	1	153	0.06	39%	0.2	-4.9	6.33%	0	0.8	75	NAN
8	Dec_14_2011	435.79	412.27	424.44	455.48	456.03	457.3	451(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	56	20	18	170	0.12	39%	0.13	-6.4	6.43%	0	0.6	72	NAN
9	Dec_13_2011	435.22	413.21	414.71	449.88	451.44	458.18	466.4(4.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	125	110	104	187	0.12	39%	0.28	-9.9	6.53%	0	0.8	59	NAN
10	Dec_12_2011	434.02	413.3	400.35	433.56	436.98	454.75	445(-5.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	162	310	165	153	0.11	39%	0.1	-19.3	6.58%	0	0.5	46	NAN

11	Dec_9_2011	433.58	414.75	386.68	420.72	419.66	444.7	469.6(5.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	254	410	292	138	0.14	39%	0.35	-26.5	6.64%	0	0.8	43	NAN
12	Dec_8_2011	432.08	415	372.66	402.6	400.46	419.2	445.4(5.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	199	310	245	62	0.16	39%	0.13	0	6.67%	0	0.5	44	NAN
13	Dec_7_2011	431.5	416.26	361.44	389.32	389.2	394.63	423(9.93%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	111	100	155	-20	0.18	39%	-0.09	0	6.71%	0	0.1	43	NAN
14	Dec_6_2011	431.89	419.57	358.09	374.72	378.66	381.73	384.8(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	90	43	-102	0.08	31%	-0.52	0	6.44%	0	-0.5	38	NAN
15	Dec_5_2011	434.13	426.02	365.31	361.8	368.4	383.78	380.8(0.47%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	96	350	152	-72	0.09	31%	-0.61	0	6.58%	0	-0.6	37	NAN

16	Dec_2_2011	436.8	432.89	377.88	346.6	351.53	375.6	379(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	172	520	242	-40	0.18	31%	-0.69	0	6.73%	0	-0.7	36	NAN
17	Dec_1_2011	439.84	432.89	388.4	337.8	336.66	353.03	379(8.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	189	330	222	89	0.11	31%	-0.76	0	6.91%	0	5.1	36	NAN
18	Nov_30_2011	443.22	432.89	397.84	329.84	329.81	327.45	350(9.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-50	13	5	0.12	24%	-1.22	0	6.68%	0	4.7	32	NAN
19	Nov_29_2011	448.71	432.89	410.83	340.12	336.73	320.3	320.2(5.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-241	-370	-283	-113	0.17	13%	-1.76	0	6.22%	0	4.3	22	NAN
20	Nov_28_2011	456.74	432.89	427.44	370.4	370.18	332.18	304.8(-9.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-361	-720	-425	-170	0.3	13%	-2.17	0	6.07%	0	4.5	16	NAN

21	Nov_25_2011	466.87	432.89	446.46	414.2	414.21	353.15	335(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-581	-1030	-683	-273	0.11	15%	-1.98	0	6.09%	0	5.8	17	NAN
22	Nov_23_2011	476.29	432.89	462.79	446.28	456.31	408.18	339.2(-15.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-587	-670	-690	-276	0.39	15%	-2.17	0	6.3%	0	7.1	50	NAN
23	Nov_22_2011	486.83	432.89	478.27	474.56	485.38	475.28	401.4(-14.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-279	-80	-328	-131	0.26	21%	-1.44	0	5.39%	0	13.5	50	NAN
24	Nov_21_2011	493.95	432.89	488.68	490.56	493.5	504.45	471.6(-9.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	129	170	152	61	0.13	33%	-0.41	0	3.9%	0	27.1	50	NAN
25	Nov_18_2011	495.98	432.89	493.36	492.52	488.48	495.48	523.8(5.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	282	80	332	133	0.13	52%		0	2.75%	0	31.2	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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