Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 16, 2019

Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Sep. 21, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Green Plains Inc)
GPRE latest price $11.1000 (2.87%) ($10.6000 - $11.1200) on Mon. Sep. 16, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.83% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $11.1000(2.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GPRE advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GPRE advances 19% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GPRE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(10%)    GDX(7%)    USO(7%)    OIH(6%)    IGOV(5%)
Factors Impacting GPRE price   GPRE will decline at least -1.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
INDA(-16%)    XLU(-12%)    XLRE(-12%)    SPLV(-11%)    XLP(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.915% (StdDev 3.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $10.85(2.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10(11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $8.89(24.86%)
To recent high   -11%
To recent low   55.2%
Market Cap   $396m

Green Plains, Inc. engages in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil; provision of grain handling; and storage commodity marketing and distribution services. It operates through the following segments: Ethanol Production; Agribusiness and Energy Services; Food and Ingredients; and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment produces ethanol, distillers grain, and corn oil at ethanol plants in Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Tennessee, and Texas. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment includes grain procurement and its commodity marketing business, which markets, sells, and distributes ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil produced at ethanol plants. The Food and Ingredients segment is involved in cattle food-grade corn oil operations. The Partnership segment provides fuel storage and transportation services by owning, operating, developing, and acquiring ethanol and fuel storage tanks, terminals, transportation assets, and other related assets and businesses. The company was founded in June 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. GPRE price fluctuates within 15.3% (three month std-dev: 3.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.13%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.68%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.98%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.06%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.84%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20191016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2019	11.4	8.89	10	10.85	10.82	10.86	11.1(2.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	85	20	12	302	1.31	44%	-0.52	67.1	3.83%	0	1.6	91	1.5
2	Sep_13_2019	11.46	8.71	9.71	10.65	10.67	10.8	10.79(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	93	90	18	316	1.17	47%	-0.52	63	3.81%	0	1.6	91	1.8
3	Sep_12_2019	11.52	8.52	9.43	10.34	10.4	10.78	10.89(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	91	270	25	288	0.99	45%	-0.52	52.1	3.91%	0	2	76	1.8
4	Sep_11_2019	11.58	8.34	9.1	9.98	9.99	10.54	10.9(2.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	90	390	35	253	1.38	45%	-0.6	42.8	3.99%	0	2.3	77	1.7
5	Sep_10_2019	11.65	8.21	8.73	9.5	9.52	10.03	10.59(5.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	80	380	38	207	1.8	45%	-0.6	33.6	3.97%	0	2.6	78	1.6

6	Sep_9_2019	11.72	8.06	8.4	9.02	9.03	9.43	10.07(8.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	61	310	30	154	1.37	43%	-0.09	18.9	3.92%	0	2.8	73	1.7
7	Sep_6_2019	11.73	7.97	8.12	8.65	8.63	9.01	9.27(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	47	300	24	114	1.28	38%	-0.68	-0.6	3.78%	0	2.3	71	1.9
8	Sep_5_2019	11.81	7.93	7.98	8.38	8.36	8.63	9.05(5.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	45	220	26	103	1.23	38%	-0.76	-21.9	3.76%	0	2.2	73	1.6
9	Sep_4_2019	11.9	7.9	7.85	8.09	8.11	8.26	8.54(4.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	140	22	76	0.94	36%	-0.75	-52.1	3.68%	0	1.3	61	1
10	Sep_3_2019	11.99	7.91	7.75	7.83	7.88	8.1	8.17(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	210	13	25	0.93	34%	-1.15	-75.8	3.64%	0	0.5	47	-0.2

11	Aug_30_2019	12.13	7.93	7.69	7.69	7.69	7.97	8.21(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	250	19	4	1.12	33%	-0.82	-80.7	3.61%	0	0.5	51	0.1
12	Aug_29_2019	12.23	7.97	7.62	7.51	7.53	7.65	7.91(3.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	120	2	-42	0.84	31%	-0.81	-85.6	3.6%	0	-0.1	45	0.1
13	Aug_28_2019	12.33	8.04	7.62	7.53	7.47	7.4	7.61(4.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-90	-5	-75	0.55	29%	-0.72	-74.9	3.55%	0	-0.5	39	-0.4
14	Aug_27_2019	12.42	8.16	7.54	7.58	7.6	7.42	7.25(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-160	-7	-93	1.11	26%	-0.88	-67.5	3.48%	0	-1	36	-0.8
15	Aug_26_2019	12.53	8.31	7.65	7.64	7.69	7.54	7.45(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-120	-8	-95	0.56	26%	-0.79	-65.9	3.5%	0	-0.9	35	-0.6

16	Aug_23_2019	12.63	8.43	7.71	7.69	7.73	7.79	7.34(-8.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	70	-3	-100	1.12	25%	-0.79	-62.6	3.49%	0	-1.1	37	-1.1
17	Aug_22_2019	12.73	8.58	7.82	7.72	7.74	7.85	8.01(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	110	17	-106	1.06	26%	-0.7	-61.3	3.4%	0	-0.6	37	-0
18	Aug_21_2019	12.82	8.68	7.88	7.55	7.59	7.67	7.87(4.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-32	90	5	-144	0.68	26%	-0.7	-62.4	3.39%	0	-0.8	33	0.2
19	Aug_20_2019	12.91	8.82	7.96	7.5	7.49	7.64	7.55(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-55	140	-12	-184	1.16	24%	-0.77	-61.1	3.34%	0	-1.2	25	-0.3
20	Aug_19_2019	13.01	8.96	8.08	7.67	7.56	7.5	7.69(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-51	-100	-5	-188	0.81	24%	-0.69	-58.3	3.34%	0	-1.2	25	-0.2

21	Aug_16_2019	13.1	9.1	8.18	7.75	7.71	7.34	7.5(4.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-67	-350	-20	-209	2.4	24%	-0.68	-58.3	3.31%	0	-1.5	29	-1
22	Aug_15_2019	13.19	9.25	8.35	7.93	7.91	7.63	7.15(-5.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-81	-260	-34	-223	1.36	21%	-0.75	-58.5	3.22%	0	-2	21	-1.7
23	Aug_14_2019	13.29	9.41	8.59	8.25	8.22	8.07	7.6(-9.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-65	-140	-21	-198	2.01	24%	-0.67	-59.7	3.17%	0	-2	27	-2.1
24	Aug_13_2019	13.38	9.54	8.84	8.47	8.44	8.2	8.43(4.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-55	-210	-10	-190	0.93	25%	-0.67	-63.4	3%	0	-1.3	28	-1
25	Aug_12_2019	13.47	9.65	9.02	8.56	8.52	8.36	8.05(-4.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-59	-150	-15	-189	0.73	22%		-65.1	2.94%	0	-2	25	-1.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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