Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Sep. 21, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Green Plains Inc)
GPRE latest price $26.1000 (0.38%) ($25.4500 - $26.2500) on Wed. Oct. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $26.1000(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GPRE declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GPRE declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GPRE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(18%)    OIH(14%)    DIA(12%)    USO(12%)    KWEB(9%)
Factors Impacting GPRE price   GPRE will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-10%)    VCSH(-9%)    BNDX(-9%)    BND(-9%)    XLRE(-8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

Resistance Level   $26.68
5 Day Moving Average   $26.33(-0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.28(-0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.68(-2.17%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   22.8%
Market Cap   $931m

Green Plains, Inc. engages in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil; provision of grain handling; and storage commodity marketing and distribution services. It operates through the following segments: Ethanol Production; Agribusiness and Energy Services; Food and Ingredients; and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment produces ethanol, distillers grain, and corn oil at ethanol plants in Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Tennessee, and Texas. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment includes grain procurement and its commodity marketing business, which markets, sells, and distributes ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil produced at ethanol plants. The Food and Ingredients segment is involved in cattle food-grade corn oil operations. The Partnership segment provides fuel storage and transportation services by owning, operating, developing, and acquiring ethanol and fuel storage tanks, terminals, transportation assets, and other related assets and businesses. The company was founded in June 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. GPRE price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.22%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.82%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.12%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.73%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.36%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_26_2016	23.16		26.28	26.33	26.29	26.09	26.1(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-60	-14	-66	0.58	69%	0.26	35.9	2.01%	0	-0.9	27	0
2	Oct_25_2016	23.1	26.68	26.36	26.39	26.4	26.49	26(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	30	-1	-69	0.56	69%	0.26	39.8	2.01%	0	-0.9	26	0
3	Oct_24_2016	23.04	26.64	26.5	26.4	26.42	26.5	26.5(-0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	20	9	-64	0.45	69%	0.35	41.6	1.99%	0	-0.2	42	0
4	Oct_21_2016	22.96	26.57	26.61	26.33	26.31	26.32	26.75(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	0	5	-53	0.46	69%	0.35	37.3	2%	0	0.2	59	0
5	Oct_20_2016	22.88	26.49	26.67	26.21	26.25	26.34	26.3(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	30	-1	-52	0.3	63%	0.31	34.6	2%	0	-0.2	53	0

6	Oct_19_2016	22.81	26.45	26.83	26.24	26.29	26.3	26.4(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	10	-1	-34	0.66	63%	0.35	35	2.06%	0	-0.1	52	0
7	Oct_18_2016	22.73	26.37	26.97	26.33	26.34	26.16	26.05(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-50	-17	-16	0.49	63%	0.13	34.4	2.06%	0	-0.3	55	0
8	Oct_17_2016	22.7	26.3	27.1	26.62	26.57	26.28	26.15(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-80	-22	23	0.68	63%	0.4	39.9	2.07%	0	-0.1	64	0
9	Oct_14_2016	22.61	26.25	27.11	26.93	26.93	26.52	26.15(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-110	-23	52	0.54	63%	0.31	45.7	2.07%	0	-0.1	62	0
10	Oct_13_2016	22.54	26.18	27.13	27.19	27.28	26.87	26.45(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-100	-26	80	0.81	63%	0.36	50.8	2.06%	0	0.2	65	0

11	Oct_12_2016	22.46	26.11	27.14	27.49	27.55	27.34	26.85(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-50	-19	118	0.47	66%	0.4	55.3	2.05%	0	0.6	66	0
12	Oct_11_2016	22.37	26.01	27.06	27.71	27.75	27.69	27.5(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	37	-10	-1	152	0.7	70%	0.45	58.6	2.08%	0	1.2	75	0
13	Oct_10_2016	22.27	25.86	26.81	27.66	27.79	27.77	27.7(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	51	10	13	166	0.76	70%	0.45	57.9	2.08%	0	1.6	79	0
14	Oct_7_2016	22.17	25.73	26.55	27.31	27.7	27.81	27.43(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	70	15	148	0.42	70%	0.5	54.3	2.1%	0	1.5	69	0
15	Oct_6_2016	22.06	25.59	26.31	27.06	27.28	27.82	27.97(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	53	160	23	143	0.54	70%	0.55	54.2	2.11%	0	2.3	75	0

16	Oct_5_2016	21.94	25.45	26.03	26.74	26.87	27.59	27.93(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	64	200	40	136	0.87	70%	0.6	60	2.12%	0	2.8	72	0
17	Oct_4_2016	21.81	25.31	25.7	26.32	26.51	26.74	27.25(4.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	56	80	38	109	1.54	68%	0.6	66.9	2.16%	0	2.9	69	0
18	Oct_3_2016	21.68	25.19	25.4	25.85	25.98	26.15	25.96(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	60	8	67	0.62	64%	0.51	67.8	2.1%	0	1.4	65	0
19	Sep_30_2016	21.57	25.13	25.29	25.67	25.69	26.28	26.2(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	32	160	23	58	0.6	74%	0.56	68.5	2.23%	0	2.1	59	0
20	Sep_29_2016	21.45	25.04	25.13	25.43	25.38	25.82	26.38(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	31	120	27	43	1.14	74%	0.52	62.2	2.34%	0	2.9	63	0

21	Sep_28_2016	21.34	24.93	24.97	25.2	25.05	25.11	25.83(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	13	-0	11	18	0.66	75%	0.52	64.5	2.36%	0	2.4	51	0
22	Sep_27_2016	21.23	24.86	24.86	24.99	24.99	24.94	24.86(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	2	-10	3	-1	0.43	64%	0.47	51.9	2.35%	0	0	45	0
23	Sep_26_2016	21.13	24.84	24.86	24.87	24.98	25	25.07(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	20	1	-14	0.57	64%	0.43	51.1	2.53%	0	0.7	48	0
24	Sep_23_2016	21.04	24.79	24.84	24.85	24.87	25.05	25.03(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	50	4	-10	0.79	64%	0.48	52.9	2.6%	0	0.6	54	0
25	Sep_22_2016	20.94	24.75	24.82	24.78	24.9	24.96	25.2(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	30	8	-8	0.71	64%		58	2.76%	0	1.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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