Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: GPRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Sep. 21, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Green Plains Inc)
GPRE latest price $25.9600 (-0.92%) ($25.7600 - $26.1800) on Mon. Oct. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.1% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $25.9600(-0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GPRE advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GPRE advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GPRE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(18%)    OIH(14%)    DIA(12%)    USO(12%)    KWEB(9%)
Factors Impacting GPRE price   GPRE will decline at least -1.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLU(-10%)    VCSH(-9%)    BNDX(-9%)    BND(-9%)    XLRE(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.05% (StdDev 2.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.85(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.4(2.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.19(3.06%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   28.8%
Market Cap   $926m

Green Plains, Inc. engages in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil; provision of grain handling; and storage commodity marketing and distribution services. It operates through the following segments: Ethanol Production; Agribusiness and Energy Services; Food and Ingredients; and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment produces ethanol, distillers grain, and corn oil at ethanol plants in Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Tennessee, and Texas. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment includes grain procurement and its commodity marketing business, which markets, sells, and distributes ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil produced at ethanol plants. The Food and Ingredients segment is involved in cattle food-grade corn oil operations. The Partnership segment provides fuel storage and transportation services by owning, operating, developing, and acquiring ethanol and fuel storage tanks, terminals, transportation assets, and other related assets and businesses. The company was founded in June 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. GPRE price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 2.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.66%(36%) Average negative next day return: -0.78%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.1%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -0.58%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.71%(82%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.91%(18%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_3_2016	21.68	25.19	25.4	25.85	25.98	26.15	25.96(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	60	8	67	0.62	64%	0.51	67.8	2.1%	0	1.4	65	0
2	Sep_30_2016	21.57	25.13	25.29	25.67	25.69	26.28	26.2(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	32	160	23	58	0.6	74%	0.56	68.5	2.23%	0	2.1	59	0
3	Sep_29_2016	21.45	25.04	25.13	25.43	25.38	25.82	26.38(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	31	120	27	43	1.14	74%	0.52	62.2	2.34%	0	2.9	63	0
4	Sep_28_2016	21.34	24.93	24.97	25.2	25.05	25.11	25.83(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	13	-0	11	18	0.66	75%	0.52	64.5	2.36%	0	2.4	51	0
5	Sep_27_2016	21.23	24.86	24.86	24.99	24.99	24.94	24.86(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	2	-10	3	-1	0.43	64%	0.47	51.9	2.35%	0	0	45	0

6	Sep_26_2016	21.13	24.84	24.86	24.87	24.98	25	25.07(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	20	1	-14	0.57	64%	0.43	51.1	2.53%	0	0.7	48	0
7	Sep_23_2016	21.04	24.79	24.84	24.85	24.87	25.05	25.03(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	50	4	-10	0.79	64%	0.48	52.9	2.6%	0	0.6	54	0
8	Sep_22_2016	20.94	24.75	24.82	24.78	24.9	24.96	25.2(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	30	8	-8	0.71	64%	0.43	58	2.76%	0	1.1	59	0
9	Sep_21_2016	20.85	24.75	24.84	24.71	24.78	24.7	24.8(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-10	-3	-6	0.65	64%	0.39	60.6	2.77%	0	0.3	57	0
10	Sep_20_2016	20.77	24.69	24.89	24.73	24.8	24.84	24.27(-2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	20	-3	1	0.64	64%	0.29	84.7	2.76%	0	-1	50	0

11	Sep_19_2016	20.71	24.66	24.99	24.79	24.84	24.86	24.94(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	10	2	13	0.75	64%	0.34	78.9	2.74%	0	0.6	59	0
12	Sep_16_2016	20.64	24.59	24.97	24.83	24.73	24.76	24.69(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-0	-2	19	0.84	64%	0.34	79.9	2.74%	0	0.2	60	0
13	Sep_15_2016	20.57	24.52	24.95	24.86	24.76	24.82	24.86(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	0	-2	23	0.45	64%	0.29	79.1	2.74%	0	0.5	59	0
14	Sep_14_2016	20.51	24.44	24.9	25	24.79	24.7	24.87(1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-50	-4	32	0.6	64%	0.29	88.5	2.76%	0	0.6	63	0
15	Sep_13_2016	20.45	24.34	24.86	25.08	24.94	24.71	24.57(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-80	-8	32	0.48	61%	0.34	83	2.77%	0	0.3	47	0

16	Sep_12_2016	20.38	24.28	24.85	25.21	25.06	24.88	25.17(1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-70	-3	48	0.64	61%	0.34	88.3	2.79%	0	1.1	66	0
17	Sep_9_2016	20.31	24.16	24.74	25.12	25.12	25.17	24.85(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	10	2	51	0.43	58%	0.35	82.8	2.84%	0	0.8	64	0
18	Sep_8_2016	20.24	24.04	24.68	25.04	25.06	25.23	25.52(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	50	13	61	0.42	58%	0.4	80.3	2.83%	0	1.7	73	0
19	Sep_7_2016	20.16	23.85	24.52	24.79	24.77	25.08	25.28(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	90	10	55	0.4	60%	0.35	69.8	2.85%	0	1.5	73	0
20	Sep_6_2016	20.09	23.73	24.47	24.63	24.61	24.88	25.22(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	70	14	66	0.54	62%	0.55	76.3	2.88%	0	1.7	74	0

21	Sep_2_2016	19.98	23.6	24.29	24.44	24.44	24.47	24.74(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	10	7	57	0.23	62%	0.35	79.4	2.91%	0	1.3	65	0
22	Sep_1_2016	19.91	23.49	24.17	24.31	24.3	24.33	24.42(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	10	-1	55	0.54	62%	0.35	70.5	2.91%	0	1	68	0
23	Aug_31_2016	19.84	23.35	24.05	24.28	24.31	24.42	24.28(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	40	5	64	0.67	62%	0.35	58.8	2.91%	0	1	69	0
24	Aug_30_2016	19.77	23.21	23.94	24.21	24.23	24.27	24.47(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	17	10	-1	71	0.45	62%	0.41	47.8	2.91%	0	1.3	76	0
25	Aug_29_2016	19.69	23.06	23.78	24.29	24.21	24.21	24.31(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10	5	79	0.44	62%		47.3	2.94%	0	1.3	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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