Trading Signals: GOOS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: GOOS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 16, 2017 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Canada Goose Holdings Inc.)
GOOS latest price $25.0600 (3.94%) ($24.2700 - $25.5300) on Thu. Nov. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.65% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $25.0600(3.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GOOS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GOOS advances 8.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GOOS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(57%)    IWO(57%)    IBUY(54%)    IWC(54%)    XLY(54%)
Factors Impacting GOOS price   GOOS will decline at least -1.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    TLT(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-3%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.325% (StdDev 2.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.9(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.65(5.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.31(12.33%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   46.1%
Market Cap   $2.769b

$. GOOS price fluctuates within 8.2% (three month std-dev: 2.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.36%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.97%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.08%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -5.27%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.55%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.9%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2017	19.92	22.31	23.65	24.9	24.65	24.43	25.06(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	-90	2	197	0.97	75%	0.2	65.6	2.65%	0	1.5	72	0
2	Nov_15_2017	19.88	22.07	23.22	24.84	24.83	24.32	24.11(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	54	-140	3	206	0.77	74%	0.15	68	2.62%	0	1.2	71	0
3	Nov_14_2017	19.85	21.89	22.96	24.37	24.88	24.88	24.33(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	61	60	14	200	0.81	74%	0.15	59.8	2.62%	0	1.4	74	0
4	Nov_13_2017	19.82	21.69	22.67	23.89	24.21	25.34	24.98(-3.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	81	370	42	198	1.38	74%	0.15	52.6	2.59%	0	2.1	73	0
5	Nov_10_2017	19.79	21.45	22.31	23.21	23.34	24.88	26(4.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	109	480	81	191	2.06	76%	0.2	45.2	2.56%	0	3.2	81	0

6	Nov_9_2017	19.75	21.17	21.76	22.23	22.32	23.09	24.79(14.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	81	250	65	127	4.35	74%	0.15	36.2	2.55%	0	3.8	72	0
7	Nov_8_2017	19.72	20.95	21.31	21.42	21.48	21.81	21.73(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	120	13	76	0.95	67%	0	27.2	1.9%	0	1.6	62	0
8	Nov_7_2017	19.72	20.92	21.16	21.36	21.26	21.55	21.93(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	80	16	67	0.68	67%	0.05	29.8	1.9%	0	2.1	63	0
9	Nov_6_2017	19.71	20.87	21.02	21.36	21.19	21.15	21.59(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-20	4	59	0.59	67%	0.05	30.1	1.92%	0	1.8	62	0
10	Nov_3_2017	19.7	20.87	20.9	21.27	21.23	20.98	21.12(1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-90	-4	53	0.57	66%	0	31.3	1.93%	0	0.8	56	0

11	Nov_2_2017	19.7	20.83	20.87	21.21	21.3	21.22	20.72(-3.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	10	-10	-4	50	0.64	64%	-0.05	33	1.92%	0	-0.3	50	0
12	Nov_1_2017	19.71	20.82	20.85	21.17	21.22	21.48	21.42(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	90	19	52	0.54	69%	-0.05	33.9	1.91%	0	1.6	55	0
13	Oct_31_2017	19.72	20.78	20.76	20.92	20.95	21.38	21.48(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	25	150	25	24	0.63	69%	0	22	1.92%	0	1.9	51	0
14	Oct_30_2017	19.72	20.75	20.65	20.74	20.66	20.96	21.6(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	21	90	27	1	0.83	69%	0	24	1.92%	0	2.7	54	0
15	Oct_27_2017	19.72	20.72	20.65	20.74	20.49	20.53	20.81(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-5	10	5	-34	0.36	66%	-0.05	33.8	1.87%	0	0.3	50	0

16	Oct_26_2017	19.73	20.7	20.53	20.49	20.48	20.36	20.56(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-40	-3	-41	0.42	66%	-0.15	52.6	1.88%	0	-0.5	43	0
17	Oct_25_2017	19.76	20.69	20.56	20.48	20.55	20.45	20.14(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-20	-9	-40	0.48	64%	-0.15	62.9	1.87%	0	-1.9	47	0
18	Oct_24_2017	19.79	20.7	20.67	20.57	20.58	20.59	20.6(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	0	1	-23	0.78	68%	-0.1	76.8	1.86%	0	-0.3	48	0
19	Oct_23_2017	19.81	20.67	20.71	20.53	20.56	20.65	20.33(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	40	0	-26	0.57	68%	-0.05	52.5	1.85%	0	-0.7	42	0
20	Oct_20_2017	19.82	20.62	20.77	20.58	20.54	20.56	20.83(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	0	3	-23	0.33	72%	0.1	44.4	1.82%	0	0.4	47	0

21	Oct_19_2017	19.8	20.56	20.78	20.57	20.53	20.47	20.51(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-30	-7	-21	0.28	72%	0.1	37.2	1.84%	0	-0.1	51	0
22	Oct_18_2017	19.78	20.51	20.79	20.65	20.61	20.52	20.57(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-40	-11	-12	0.33	72%	0.15	35	1.85%	0	0.1	57	0
23	Oct_17_2017	19.75	20.46	20.82	20.79	20.74	20.59	20.39(-0.97%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-8	-60	-13	6	0.44	72%	0	33.7	1.85%	0	-0.1	54	0
24	Oct_16_2017	19.75	20.44	20.88	20.93	20.91	20.7	20.59(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-70	-9	35	0.37	72%	0.15	40.6	1.85%	0	0.2	63	0
25	Oct_13_2017	19.72	20.39	20.92	20.97	21.05	20.89	20.79(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-40	-10	66	0.44	72%		46.4	1.85%	0	0.6	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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