Trading Signals: GOOGL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: GOOGL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Alphabet Inc. Class A)
GOOGL latest price $806.9300 (1.21%) ($797.8100 - $807.2200) on Fri. Aug. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $806.9300(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GOOGL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GOOGL advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GOOGL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(53%)    QQQ(53%)    IWF(52%)    SPY(49%)    VUG(48%)
Factors Impacting GOOGL price   GOOGL will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    IPO(-4%)    IBUY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $800.83(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $784.97(2.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $765.39(5.43%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.5%
Market Cap   $549.693b

Alphabet, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the business of acquisition and operation of different companies. It operates through the Google and Other Bets segments. The Google segment includes its main Internet products such as Ads, Android, Chrome, Commerce, Google Cloud, Google Maps, Google Play, Hardware, Search, and YouTube. The Other Bets segment includes businesses such as Access, Calico, CapitalG, GV, Nest, Verily, Waymo, and X. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015 and is headquartered in Mountain View, CA.

$. GOOGL price fluctuates within 3.52% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 1.25%(39%) Average negative next day return: -1.16%(61%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 1.67%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.78%(48%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 1.87%(61%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.58%(39%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2016	741.25	765.39	784.97	800.83	799	800.21	806.93(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	205	0	193	240	1.81	67%	0.07	87.5	1.13%	0	1.5	88	INF
2	Aug_4_2016	740.76	760.93	780.17	797.71	797	797.2	797.25(-0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	42	-0	-1	171	1.08	65%	0.06	86.6	1.12%	0	1.3	90	INF
3	Aug_3_2016	740.35	756.48	775.91	791.43	796.59	797.78	798.92(-0.15%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.3	270	30	270	270	1.46	65%	0.07	82.1	1.12%	0	1.5	92	INF
4	Aug_2_2016	739.86	751.97	771.61	784.04	788.76	796.81	800.12(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	324	90	336	288	2	65%	0.07	78.8	1.13%	0	1.8	93	INF
5	Aug_1_2016	739.35	747.16	766.75	775.55	779.2	795.39	800.94(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	819	160	923	506	3.03	65%	0.08	80.5	1.13%	0	2.1	90	INF

6	Jul_29_2016	738.78	742.49	761.68	766.86	769.64	780.72	791.34(3.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	927	110	1054	544	5.09	64%	0.08	83.5	1.13%	0	2.1	90	INF
7	Jul_28_2016	738.17	738	756	760.45	760.02	763.01	765.84(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	264	30	276	229	3.67	53%	0.06	79.9	1.06%	0	1.3	88	INF
8	Jul_27_2016	737.76	734.52	753.06	758.17	757.89	758.56	761.97(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	122	10	106	170	1.61	53%	0.07	72	1.1%	0	1.2	90	INF
9	Jul_26_2016	737.27	731.03	749.93	757.19	756.63	757.03	757.65(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	32	0	-4	139	1.19	49%	0.06	65.7	1.1%	0	1.2	87	INF
10	Jul_25_2016	736.81	727.3	747.48	756.34	756.54	757.22	757.52(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	107	10	80	187	1.07	49%	0.04	56.9	1.14%	0	1.3	88	INF

11	Jul_22_2016	736.53	723.71	744.51	755.48	755.25	756.22	759.28(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	129	10	102	208	1.05	41%	0.04	51.9	1.14%	0	1.4	82	INF
12	Jul_21_2016	736.25	721.32	740.44	750.75	752.38	755.86	754.41(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	174	40	164	204	0.95	41%	0.02	47.8	1.33%	0	1.4	83	INF
13	Jul_20_2016	736.1	718.97	735.86	747.02	748.08	754.27	757.08(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	322	60	339	271	1.13	41%	0.02	42.1	1.33%	0	1.8	87	INF
14	Jul_19_2016	735.94	716.38	731.04	741.5	742.49	748.89	753.41(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	358	60	383	283	1.52	41%	0.05	32.9	1.33%	0	1.9	87	INF
15	Jul_18_2016	735.57	713.84	726.16	737.32	737.56	741.88	753.2(2.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	291	40	304	253	1.93	41%	0.04	23.6	1.34%	0	2.2	89	INF

16	Jul_15_2016	735.29	711.21	721.67	732.12	734.11	736.09	735.63(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	203	30	199	213	1.62	36%	0.01	9.7	1.31%	0	1.6	82	INF
17	Jul_14_2016	735.22	710.42	718.46	728.55	730.5	733.25	735.8(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	176	30	173	186	1.07	36%	0.02	-2.4	1.31%	0	1.7	57	INF
18	Jul_13_2016	735.07	709.97	714.4	722.85	725.36	732.13	729.48(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	295	80	321	218	1.02	36%	0.02	-16.8	1.31%	0	1.4	57	INF
19	Jul_12_2016	734.94	709.92	710.61	718.74	719.03	727.74	732.51(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	449	90	509	269	1.33	36%	0	-23.8	1.32%	0	1.5	59	INF
20	Jul_11_2016	734.91	709.65	705.48	713.22	712.36	718.6	727.2(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	375	60	431	205	1.44	36%	0.01	-34.1	1.32%	0	1.2	59	INF

21	Jul_8_2016	734.86	709.72	701.21	709.83	707.53	710.32	717.78(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	172	20	199	89	1.5	36%	0	-40.8	1.31%	0	0.5	56	INF
22	Jul_7_2016	734.85	710.75	700.57	706.98	706.11	706.13	707.26(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	83	-0	100	33	1.06	33%	-0.03	-42.7	1.29%	0	-0.2	41	INF
23	Jul_6_2016	735.1	712.39	700.7	704.57	704.34	704.75	708.97(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	0	12	-24	1.45	33%	-0.01	-44.8	1.3%	0	-0.2	38	INF
24	Jul_5_2016	735.19	713.43	700.51	701.02	701.89	706.1	704.89(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	135	50	175	14	1.42	33%	-0	-54.1	1.31%	0	-0.5	36	INF
25	Jul_1_2016	735.21	714.66	700.53	696.27	698.33	703.93	710.25(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	329	70	413	76	1.55	33%		-65.1	1.3%	0	-0.2	38	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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