Trading Signals: GOOGL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: GOOGL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Alphabet Inc. Class A)
GOOGL latest price $750.5700 (0.04%) ($742.8400 - $753.0100) on Tue. Mar. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $750.5700(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GOOGL advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GOOGL advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GOOGL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(54%)    IVW(53%)    IWF(53%)    SPY(49%)    VUG(49%)
Factors Impacting GOOGL price   GOOGL will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IPO(-3%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $740.65(1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $733.5(2.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $729.5(2.89%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $511.3b

Alphabet, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the business of acquisition and operation of different companies. It operates through the Google and Other Bets segments. The Google segment includes its main Internet products such as Ads, Android, Chrome, Commerce, Google Cloud, Google Maps, Google Play, Hardware, Search, and YouTube. The Other Bets segment includes businesses such as Access, Calico, CapitalG, GV, Nest, Verily, Waymo, and X. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015 and is headquartered in Mountain View, CA.

$. GOOGL price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 35 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(54%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(46%) Sample size 35 Average positive next three day return: 0.95%(49%) Average negative next three day return: -1.01%(51%) Sample size 35 Average positive next weekly return: 1.7%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.69%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2016	746.51	729.5	733.5	740.65	741.99	748.2	750.57(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	205	60	230	128	1.49	43%	0.03	74	1.72%	0	1.9	63	0
2	Mar_14_2016	746.31	727.79	732.36	733.24	734.93	744.94	750.24(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	378	100	436	202	1.64	45%	0.04	66.9	1.72%	0	2.2	64	0
3	Mar_11_2016	745.99	725.6	728.99	725.76	725.87	735.78	744.87(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	360	100	423	172	1.77	45%	0.09	50.4	1.73%	0	1.9	55	0
4	Mar_10_2016	745.32	723.66	726.83	722.83	719.86	724.91	732.17(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	215	40	254	97	2.23	43%	0.08	32.8	1.72%	0	0.9	55	0
5	Mar_9_2016	744.69	722.43	726.44	722.71	720.22	715.96	725.41(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-33	-50	-39	-15	1.98	42%	0.06	12.1	1.72%	0	0.3	54	0

6	Mar_8_2016	744.22	721.31	726.06	725.52	724.11	714.81	713.53(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-350	-100	-413	-162	2.63	42%	0.02	-13.7	1.71%	0	-0.7	43	0
7	Mar_7_2016	744.08	720.97	726.68	731.25	731.02	724.49	712.8(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-269	-60	-322	-110	3.09	42%	0.02	-25.6	1.71%	0	-0.7	50	0
8	Mar_4_2016	743.9	720.65	728.45	732.14	734.41	733.42	730.22(-0.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-57	-0	-76	2	2.43	44%	0.05	-43.7	1.69%	0	0.8	61	0
9	Mar_3_2016	743.51	720.53	727.67	731.06	731.91	737.55	731.59(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	88	60	92	74	2.03	44%	0.07	-53.6	1.7%	0	0.9	62	0
10	Mar_2_2016	742.98	721.2	726.31	730.57	730.34	735.4	739.48(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	304	50	345	179	1.81	44%	0.08	-39.2	1.7%	0	1.4	65	0

11	Mar_1_2016	742.39	722.84	725.34	726.85	726.34	726.26	742.17(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	107	-0	113	90	3.01	46%	0.09	-23.2	1.71%	0	1.1	68	0
12	Feb_29_2016	741.7	723.91	722.76	721.88	721.98	725.28	717.22(-1.05%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-27	30	-43	22	2.25	43%	0.06	-19.5	1.67%	0	-0.3	58	0
13	Feb_26_2016	741.23	725.97	721.95	724.24	722.25	726.42	724.86(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	209	30	232	141	2.12	43%	0.08	-12.4	1.67%	0	-0.1	63	0
14	Feb_25_2016	740.62	727.03	720.21	723.69	722.27	718.69	729.12(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-40	43	54	1.81	43%	0.08	-8.7	1.68%	0	0.1	48	0
15	Feb_24_2016	740.01	726.5	718	721.37	721.05	718.09	720.9(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-242	-30	-288	-103	1.85	43%	0.07	-11.8	1.68%	0	-0.2	37	0

16	Feb_23_2016	739.49	727.15	716.14	723.59	724.06	725.85	717.29(-1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	24	20	33	-4	2.07	43%	0.06	-6.4	1.68%	0	-0.4	27	0
17	Feb_22_2016	739.02	728	714.92	723.66	725.27	724	729.05(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	84	-10	113	-2	1.88	43%	0.1	-1.9	1.67%	0	0	34	0
18	Feb_19_2016	738.27	728.73	712.32	719.22	722.3	722.27	722.11(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-89	10	-79	-117	1.75	45%	0.11	-4.4	1.69%	0	-0.3	36	0
19	Feb_18_2016	737.43	729.01	712.81	716.07	719.9	726.55	717.51(-1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	176	80	237	-9	2.36	45%	0.11	-7	1.68%	0	-0.5	41	0
20	Feb_17_2016	736.61	729.19	715.57	713.94	713.85	722.34	731.97(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	273	80	350	42	2.46	47%	0.16	-14.6	1.68%	0	0.1	55	0

21	Feb_16_2016	735.47	728.59	719.62	707.75	709.97	713.25	717.64(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	244	40	315	30	2.17	45%	0.27	-25	1.67%	0	-0.5	47	0
22	Feb_12_2016	733.52	728.4	724.48	705.06	705.85	705.36	706.89(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-0	27	-78	2.33	43%	0.07	-32	1.67%	0	-0.9	44	0
23	Feb_11_2016	732.99	729.74	729.81	704.43	702.2	706.68	706.36(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-67	40	-54	-106	3.25	43%	0.08	-35.7	1.68%	0	-1	40	0
24	Feb_10_2016	732.44	730.59	734.14	709.16	705.32	706.34	706.85(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	100	-10	136	-10	3.02	43%	0.08	-38.8	1.68%	0	-1.1	47	0
25	Feb_9_2016	731.89	732.57	735.74	717.67	711.27	697.73	701.02(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-446	-160	-512	-248	4.21	43%		-32.8	1.68%	0	-1.5	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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