Trading Signals: GOOGL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: GOOGL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Alphabet Inc. Class A)
GOOGL latest price $601.7800 (3.05%) ($587.9200 - $604.5000) on Thu. Jul. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $601.7800(3.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GOOGL advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GOOGL advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GOOGL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(55%)    SPY(50%)    XLK(49%)    VT(44%)    XLY(42%)
Factors Impacting GOOGL price   GOOGL will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-7%)    UUP(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $579.55(3.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $563.84(6.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $558.35(7.78%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $409.942b

Alphabet, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the business of acquisition and operation of different companies. It operates through the Google and Other Bets segments. The Google segment includes its main Internet products such as Ads, Android, Chrome, Commerce, Google Cloud, Google Maps, Google Play, Hardware, Search, and YouTube. The Other Bets segment includes businesses such as Access, Calico, CapitalG, GV, Nest, Verily, Waymo, and X. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015 and is headquartered in Mountain View, CA.

$. GOOGL price fluctuates within 2.87% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.86%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.32%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.35%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.64%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 2.65%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.32%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150816

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_16_2015	554.63	558.35	563.84	579.55	581.6	590.04	601.78(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	538	110	587	390	5.63	63%	0.1	56.1	1.24%	0	2.7	68	0
2	Jul_15_2015	554.07	555.4	557.71	568.13	571.44	582.39	583.96(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	579	150	654	355	2.07	60%	0.08	44.1	1.18%	0	2.3	62	0
3	Jul_14_2015	553.61	553.33	553.16	559.67	562.08	573.17	584.18(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	680	150	790	348	3.74	58%	0.09	30.5	1.18%	0	2.8	58	0
4	Jul_13_2015	553.11	551.15	548.6	552.84	552.97	560.49	571.73(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	456	100	542	198	2.09	55%	0.05	17	1.17%	0	2.4	55	0
5	Jul_10_2015	552.81	549.83	546.4	547.62	548.31	550.99	556.11(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	262	40	324	77	2.17	52%	0.02	-1.6	1.12%	0	0.9	47	0

6	Jul_9_2015	552.71	549.49	546.35	545.87	545.65	545.45	544.65(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-0	-3	-65	1.49	49%	0	-9.6	1.09%	0	-0.7	40	0
7	Jul_8_2015	552.69	549.9	547.64	545.6	545.46	545.64	541.7(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	0	-2	-56	1.38	49%	-0.01	-12.9	1.09%	0	-1.2	48	0
8	Jul_7_2015	552.72	550.01	549.73	545.27	545.19	545.86	550.03(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	44	10	64	-17	1.68	51%	-0.01	-22	1.08%	0	0	56	0
9	Jul_6_2015	552.75	549.72	550.6	543.51	544.08	545.27	545.62(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	20	29	-27	1.28	51%	0	-32.5	1.07%	0	-0.6	55	0
10	Jul_2_2015	552.74	549.94	551.79	545	544.12	544.52	547.34(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-8	0	-3	-23	1.41	49%	0.02	-25.4	1.07%	0	-0.4	51	0

11	Jul_1_2015	552.64	550.16	552.7	547.12	546.68	542.89	543.3(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-140	-50	-163	-69	1.54	49%	0.01	-17.9	1.08%	0	-1	45	0
12	Jun_30_2015	552.61	550.78	553.21	550.17	550.82	543.71	540.04(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-377	-90	-446	-171	1.73	49%	0.02	-5	1.09%	0	-1.6	40	0
13	Jun_29_2015	552.5	551.52	553.94	554.84	555.19	550.47	541.25(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-389	-60	-468	-150	1.89	49%	0.01	20.5	1.09%	0	-1.7	52	0
14	Jun_26_2015	552.42	551.99	554.37	558.53	559.32	557.93	553.06(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-95	-10	-129	8	2.18	52%	0.04	35.5	1.07%	0	0.2	61	0
15	Jun_25_2015	552.19	551.63	553.89	559.42	560.51	559.92	557.95(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-0	-11	60	1.34	49%	0.06	30.6	1.06%	0	1.1	57	0

16	Jun_24_2015	551.86	551.38	553.08	559.07	559.6	560.72	558.57(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	53	20	44	78	1.45	52%	0.05	31.4	1.09%	0	1.2	55	0
17	Jun_23_2015	551.6	551.11	552.42	556.67	557.65	561.11	563.39(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	211	50	235	138	1.57	52%	0.06	24.3	1.12%	0	2.2	55	0
18	Jun_22_2015	551.28	550.25	550.26	552.97	553.71	558.48	559.68(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	272	60	315	141	1.74	52%	0.04	7.7	1.11%	0	1.9	53	0
19	Jun_19_2015	551.06	549.91	548.58	549.63	549.59	554.2	557.52(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	284	60	336	126	2.96	52%	0.08	-3.5	1.11%	0	1.6	57	0
20	Jun_18_2015	550.61	549.8	547.66	547.62	546.14	548.95	556.18(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	181	30	217	71	2.06	54%	0.08	-8.4	1.11%	0	1.4	59	0

21	Jun_17_2015	550.16	549.56	547.07	546.4	544.87	544.98	546.6(0.32%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0	16	-10	26	-15	1.22	52%	0.05	-3.8	1.11%	0	-0.7	43	0
22	Jun_16_2015	549.9	549.72	547.86	547.6	546.51	543.33	544.87(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-87	-50	-97	-57	1.63	54%	0.01	15.2	1.11%	0	-1.1	41	0
23	Jun_15_2015	549.82	549.85	548.75	547.05	547.8	544.76	543(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-190	-30	-219	-103	1.36	54%	0	13	1.13%	0	-1.6	48	0
24	Jun_12_2015	549.81	550.09	549.44	547.15	547.82	549.7	547.47(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-44	30	-46	-38	1.27	54%	0.02	12.3	1.14%	0	-0.6	44	0
25	Jun_11_2015	549.7	550.19	549.29	547.56	547.62	550.84	550.04(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	184	40	225	62	1.29	54%		23.3	1.14%	0	-0	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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