Trading Signals: GOOGL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: GOOGL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Alphabet Inc. Class A)
GOOGL latest price $542.6900 (0.87%) ($540.2300 - $550.7600) on Wed. Oct. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $542.6900(0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GOOGL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GOOGL declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GOOGL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(55%)    SPY(50%)    XLK(49%)    VT(44%)    XLY(42%)
Factors Impacting GOOGL price   GOOGL will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    GDXJ(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

Resistance Level   $562.44
5 Day Moving Average   $534.6(1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $542.75(-0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $562.44(-3.51%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $369.689b

Alphabet, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the business of acquisition and operation of different companies. It operates through the Google and Other Bets segments. The Google segment includes its main Internet products such as Ads, Android, Chrome, Commerce, Google Cloud, Google Maps, Google Play, Hardware, Search, and YouTube. The Other Bets segment includes businesses such as Access, Calico, CapitalG, GV, Nest, Verily, Waymo, and X. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015 and is headquartered in Mountain View, CA.

$. GOOGL price fluctuates within 4.11% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 3.78%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.78%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 12.73%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.75%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 9.79%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.2%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2014	580.19	562.44	542.75	534.6	534.34	539.88	542.69(0.87%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	328	70	449	-36	2.97	34%	-0.02	-67.6	1.16%	0	-0.9	34	0
2	Oct_21_2014	580.31	565.17	546.46	534.21	531.53	531.18	538.03(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	12	-20	78	-186	2.46	34%	-0.05	-67.8	1.16%	0	-1.2	32	0
3	Oct_20_2014	580.58	567.86	549.92	536.34	532.21	528.8	532.38(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-309	-70	-298	-340	2.75	34%	-0.07	-66.2	1.16%	0	-1.5	27	0
4	Oct_17_2014	580.97	571.17	555.32	538.81	538.27	531.89	522.97(-2.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-294	-90	-288	-312	6	37%	-0.08	-62.6	1.25%	0	-2.1	21	0
5	Oct_16_2014	581.46	575.41	561.76	545.26	543.26	535.63	536.92(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-531	-110	-574	-403	3.81	39%	-0.06	-58.6	1.23%	0	-1.9	24	0

6	Oct_15_2014	581.79	578.55	566.29	552.03	550.95	544.64	540.73(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-467	-90	-506	-351	3.84	39%	-0.06	-54	1.23%	0	-2.1	27	0
7	Oct_14_2014	582.14	581.33	570.38	560.64	560.25	550.89	548.69(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-408	-120	-443	-303	2.61	43%	-0.06	-47.2	1.22%	0	-2.1	25	0
8	Oct_13_2014	582.48	583.49	574.46	565.72	567.06	557.26	544.75(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-627	-110	-706	-389	2.76	43%	-0.03	-45.7	1.22%	0	-2.8	29	0
9	Oct_10_2014	582.67	585.58	579	574.32	574.17	569.61	555.19(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-424	-60	-476	-266	2.98	45%	-0	-45.8	1.21%	0	-2.9	30	0
10	Oct_9_2014	582.68	587.25	582.48	580.54	580.58	576.86	570.81(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-141	-40	-147	-122	2.41	49%	0.04	-46.7	1.17%	0	-2.1	31	0

11	Oct_8_2014	582.46	588.34	584.05	582.55	582.97	578.73	583.74(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-230	-50	-251	-167	2.21	49%	0.08	-46.7	1.14%	0	-0.7	42	0
12	Oct_7_2014	582.02	588.83	585.38	581.73	583.3	584.31	574.1(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-151	20	-158	-130	1.55	46%	0.06	-48.7	1.15%	0	-2.1	40	0
13	Oct_6_2014	581.66	589.79	587.17	584.59	584.19	587.21	587.78(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	180	30	227	37	1.29	50%	0.1	-37.5	1.12%	0	-0.3	50	0
14	Oct_3_2014	581.05	590.44	588.02	584.6	583.93	582.29	586.25(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	34	-20	52	-22	1.21	50%	0.1	-24.6	1.12%	0	-0.6	55	0
15	Oct_2_2014	580.47	591	589.79	584.93	583.83	581.17	580.88(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-221	-40	-253	-126	1.54	50%	0.08	-12.4	1.12%	0	-1.5	49	0

16	Oct_1_2014	580	591.67	591.47	585.8	585.84	585.57	579.63(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-94	-0	-106	-58	1.45	50%	0.07	-1.9	1.12%	0	-1.9	44	0
17	Sep_30_2014	579.61	592.24	592.97	589.56	587.84	586.49	588.41(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-20	-34	-10	1.57	52%	0.09	17.5	1.11%	0	-0.7	47	0
18	Sep_29_2014	579.1	592.3	593.11	590.11	589.65	586.12	587.81(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-167	-40	-198	-75	1.14	52%	0.11	18.4	1.11%	0	-0.8	48	0
19	Sep_26_2014	578.47	592.1	592.67	592	591.68	589.18	587.9(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-232	-30	-272	-112	1.29	52%	0.12	19.4	1.11%	0	-0.7	41	0
20	Sep_25_2014	577.78	591.81	592.51	595.5	594.7	593.18	585.25(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-105	-20	-125	-46	1.68	56%	0.12	24.3	1.11%	0	-1	43	0

21	Sep_24_2014	577.1	591.78	593.19	597.91	597.39	594.18	598.42(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-75	-40	-93	-22	1.76	61%	0.14	26.5	1.11%	0	1	53	0
22	Sep_23_2014	576.32	591.24	592.62	596.88	597.54	596.22	591.18(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-153	-10	-184	-61	1.41	59%	0.1	16.2	1.11%	0	-0	52	0
23	Sep_22_2014	575.75	591.21	592.72	596.4	597.1	600.59	597.27(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	157	40	181	86	1.79	59%	0.11	13.5	1.11%	0	0.9	57	0
24	Sep_19_2014	575.1	590.93	593.01	593.28	593.61	598.87	605.4(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	341	60	397	173	4.19	62%	0.12	6.5	1.09%	0	2.3	67	0
25	Sep_18_2014	574.42	590.19	592.05	589.18	588.41	593.61	597.27(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	259	60	302	129	1.49	63%		-7.5	1.09%	0	1.3	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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