Trading Signals: GOOG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: GOOG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 27, 2014 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(Alphabet Inc. Class C)
GOOG latest price $771.6100 (-0.2%) ($768.7950 - $774.0700) on Thu. Aug. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $771.6100(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GOOG advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GOOG advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GOOG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(53%)    IVW(52%)    IWF(52%)    SPY(49%)    VUG(48%)
Factors Impacting GOOG price   GOOG will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-6%)    UUP(-4%)    IPO(-4%)    XHB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $771.51(0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $757.46(1.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $742.05(3.98%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $525.632b

Alphabet, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the business of acquisition and operation of different companies. It operates through the Google and Other Bets segments. The Google segment includes its main Internet products such as Ads, Android, Chrome, Commerce, Google Cloud, Google Maps, Google Play, Hardware, Search, and YouTube. The Other Bets segment includes businesses such as Access, Calico, CapitalG, GV, Nest, Verily, Waymo, and X. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015 and is headquartered in Mountain View, CA.

$. GOOG price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.81%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.22%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.9%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.54%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2016	724.29	742.05	757.46	771.51		770.89	771.61(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	63	0	31	157	1.14	63%	0.05	87.7	1.08%	0	1.3	86	0
2	Aug_3_2016	723.92	738.3	754.16	766.37	770.38	770.48	773.18(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	218	20	216	225	1.29	63%	0.06	83.1	1.08%	0	1.5	86	0
3	Aug_2_2016	723.47	734.52	750.84	760.08	764.17	769.87	771.07(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	208	70	206	213	1.78	63%	0.06	79.5	1.09%	0	1.6	87	0
4	Aug_1_2016	723.05	730.68	747.31	753.55	756.55	770.29	772.88(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	683	140	769	425	2.7	63%	0.07	82.2	1.09%	0	2	83	0
5	Jul_29_2016	722.58	726.9	743.21	746.93	748.92	758.47	768.79(3.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	825	100	940	480	3.84	63%	0.08	85.7	1.1%	0	2.1	84	0

6	Jul_28_2016	722.01	722.99	738.23	741.72	741.02	742.8	745.91(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	193	10	198	179	3.53	54%	0.06	82	1.04%	0	1.2	82	0
7	Jul_27_2016	721.6	719.96	735.8	740.27	739.99	739.37	741.77(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10	15	118	1.51	54%	0.07	73.9	1.07%	0	1.1	85	0
8	Jul_26_2016	721.11	716.94	733.43	740.15	739.68	739.25	738.42(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-29	-10	-71	99	1.19	50%	0.06	67.5	1.07%	0	1.1	81	0
9	Jul_25_2016	720.67	713.55	731.71	739.86	739.95	740.62	739.77(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	98	10	73	172	1.03	50%	0.04	57	1.11%	0	1.2	83	0
10	Jul_22_2016	720.37	710.36	729.29	738.66	738.22	740.11	742.74(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	152	20	134	207	1.26	42%	0.04	51.4	1.11%	0	1.4	79	0

11	Jul_21_2016	720.06	708.15	725.64	734.08	735.06	739.28	738.63(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	217	40	218	214	1.03	42%	0.03	47.2	1.29%	0	1.4	81	0
12	Jul_20_2016	719.86	705.96	721.44	730.55	730.92	736.32	741.19(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	310	50	329	254	1.29	42%	0.03	40.8	1.3%	0	1.8	85	0
13	Jul_19_2016	719.63	703.54	717.08	725.7	726.24	730.83	736.96(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	274	50	287	234	1.23	40%	0.06	31.8	1.29%	0	1.8	85	0
14	Jul_18_2016	719.23	701.22	712.8	722.44	723.03	725.52	733.78(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	206	30	206	207	1.3	40%	0.04	23.1	1.31%	0	2	87	0
15	Jul_15_2016	718.94	698.97	709.2	718.7	720.83	721.64	719.85(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	128	20	112	175	1.28	37%	0.02	10.5	1.29%	0	1.4	77	0

16	Jul_14_2016	718.8	698.31	706.46	715.86	718.11	720.53	720.95(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	148	30	140	172	0.95	37%	0.03	-0.5	1.3%	0	1.6	57	0
17	Jul_13_2016	718.58	697.96	702.8	710.74	713.39	720.01	716.98(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	298	80	323	221	0.94	37%	0.03	-14.1	1.29%	0	1.4	57	0
18	Jul_12_2016	718.36	697.81	699.15	706.9	707.04	715.69	720.64(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	441	90	499	268	1.34	37%	0.02	-21.5	1.3%	0	1.6	59	0
19	Jul_11_2016	718.22	697.81	693.94	701.67	700.78	706.77	715.09(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	375	60	431	208	1.11	37%	0.02	-31.8	1.3%	0	1.3	59	0
20	Jul_8_2016	718.07	697.45	689.87	698.49	696.38	698.39	705.63(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	156	10	179	86	1.58	34%	0.01	-38.6	1.29%	0	0.6	56	0

21	Jul_7_2016	717.99	698.39	689.17	695.79	694.93	694.8	695.36(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	52	-10	61	23	1.3	31%	-0.02	-40.4	1.28%	0	-0.2	42	0
22	Jul_6_2016	718.12	699.91	689.21	693.54	693.29	694.36	697.77(0.47%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	31	10	43	-6	1.41	31%	0.01	-43.3	1.28%	0	-0.1	39	0
23	Jul_5_2016	718.05	700.79	688.86	689.99	690.63	695.07	694.49(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	170	50	215	36	1.46	31%	0.02	-53.7	1.29%	0	-0.4	38	0
24	Jul_1_2016	717.93	701.85	688.66	684.74	686.63	692.22	699.21(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	325	70	407	77	1.34	31%	0.02	-65.3	1.28%	0	-0.2	39	0
25	Jun_30_2016	717.76	702.93	687.76	679.95	679.79	686.19	692.1(1.17%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	189	70	258	-19	1.6	31%		-70.4	1.27%	0	-0.6	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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