Trading Signals: GM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: GM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Jul. 14, 2023)

(General Motors Company)
GM latest price $30.2447 (1%) ($29.9105 - $30.4536) on Thu. Jan. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $30.2447(1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GM advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GM advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(68%)    IVE(67%)    PEJ(66%)    XLF(64%)    SPY(63%)
Factors Impacting GM price   GM will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.42(2.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.1(3.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.98(8.09%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23%
Market Cap   $54.44b

General Motors Co. engages in the designing, manufacturing, and selling of cars, trucks and automobile parts. It also provides automotive financing services through General Motors Financial Company, Inc. The firm operates through the following segments: GM North America, GM International, and GM Financial. It sells vehicles under the Chevrolet, Cadillac, Baojun, Buick, GMC, Holden, Jiefang, Wuling, Maven, and OnStar brands. The company was founded by William C. Durant on September 16, 1908 and is headquartered in Detroit, MI.

$. GM price fluctuates within 4.9% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.41%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.06%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.43%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -4.98%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.97%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.94%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_8_2015	27.07	27.98	29.1	29.42	29.44	29.93	30.24(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	64	120	33	158	15.21	61%	0.07	37.1	1.64%	0	1.6	88	INF
2	Jan_7_2015	27.05	27.82	28.87	29.2	29.19	29.31	29.94(2.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	55	30	17	169	19.32	54%	0.04	34.5	1.64%	0	1.6	89	INF
3	Jan_6_2015	27.04	27.68	28.65	29.08	29.11	28.95	29.12(1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	39	-40	-3	166	17.75	52%	0.04	35.2	1.77%	0	1.2	83	INF
4	Jan_5_2015	27.03	27.62	28.49	29.04	29.15	29.08	28.68(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	46	-10	-0	182	16.22	52%	0.04	37.9	1.77%	0	0.9	73	INF
5	Jan_2_2015	27.02	27.55	28.29	28.94	29.07	29.28	29.11(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	60	16	182	9.76	55%	0.04	39.7	1.77%	0	1.4	69	INF

6	Dec_31_2014	27.01	27.48	27.99	28.7	28.79	29.22	29.17(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	110	25	165	12.28	56%	0.04	42.3	1.78%	0	1.7	71	INF
7	Dec_30_2014	27	27.38	27.65	28.48	28.44	28.86	29.32(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	57	100	31	134	14.97	56%	0.07	44	1.79%	0	2.1	62	INF
8	Dec_29_2014	26.98	27.27	27.3	28.16	28.18	28.37	28.91(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	50	26	98	16.65	54%	0.04	43.4	1.79%	0	2	61	INF
9	Dec_26_2014	26.97	27.2	27.04	27.87	27.9	28.03	28.18(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	40	20	56	6.67	52%	0.04	43.5	1.8%	0	1.3	48	INF
10	Dec_24_2014	26.96	27.11	26.89	27.53	27.62	27.98	27.93(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	100	28	31	4.5	51%	0	32.3	1.81%	0	1.1	53	INF

11	Dec_23_2014	26.96	27.05	26.76	27.15	27.23	27.77	28.04(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	31	150	42	-3	8.47	51%	0.04	17.8	1.82%	0	1.4	49	INF
12	Dec_22_2014	26.95	26.98	26.68	26.68	26.7	27.26	27.76(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	20	150	39	-38	13.24	50%	0	-1.6	1.82%	0	1.2	50	INF
13	Dec_19_2014	26.95	26.92	26.61	26.31	26.22	26.69	27.41(3.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	3	120	27	-69	18.99	50%	0	-15.4	1.82%	0	0.8	50	INF
14	Dec_18_2014	26.95	26.92	26.65	26.1	26.02	26.13	26.53(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	20	7	-90	14.11	47%	-0.07	-22.3	1.77%	0	-0.5	40	INF
15	Dec_17_2014	26.97	26.88	26.74	26.17	26.07	25.75	26.03(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-100	-16	-88	13.28	45%	-0.07	-14.7	1.75%	0	-1.3	48	INF

16	Dec_16_2014	26.99	26.93	26.92	26.31	26.34	25.92	25.67(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-110	-35	-74	24.29	45%	-0.11	-4	1.74%	0	-2.1	45	INF
17	Dec_15_2014	27.02	26.99	27.11	26.66	26.69	26.39	25.9(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-30	-80	-27	-38	16.08	45%	-0.11	22	1.74%	0	-2	47	INF
18	Dec_12_2014	27.05	26.99	27.27	26.94	26.93	26.76	26.38(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-50	-26	-10	11.24	47%	-0.11	40.2	1.73%	0	-1.3	51	INF
19	Dec_11_2014	27.08	27.02	27.4	27.28	27.2	26.99	26.89(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-60	-12	33	13.28	48%	-0.15	60.9	1.72%	0	-0.2	55	INF
20	Dec_10_2014	27.12	26.98	27.39	27.39	27.42	27.11	26.71(-2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-7	-80	-21	36	11.58	48%	-0.15	67.3	1.73%	0	-0.5	53	INF

21	Dec_9_2014	27.16	26.95	27.4	27.61	27.57	27.41	27.41(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-40	-14	58	11.15	51%	-0.15	77.6	1.7%	0	0.8	59	INF
22	Dec_8_2014	27.2	26.87	27.33	27.61	27.72	27.74	27.3(-2.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	17	10	1	66	16.13	48%	-0.11	74.8	1.7%	0	0.7	58	INF
23	Dec_5_2014	27.23	26.81	27.27	27.64	27.69	27.73	28.1(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	20	7	73	17.73	50%	-0.07	76.2	1.7%	0	2	73	INF
24	Dec_4_2014	27.25	26.7	27.11	27.55	27.59	27.7	27.4(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	30	11	76	11.69	48%	-0.15	79.2	1.67%	0	1.2	69	INF
25	Dec_3_2014	27.29	26.61	27.04	27.38	27.5	27.64	27.86(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	34	50	20	77	11.65	48%		68.7	1.66%	0	2	79	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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