Trading Signals: GM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: GM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Jul. 14, 2023)

(General Motors Company)
GM latest price $30.8501 (0.37%) ($30.5381 - $31.0061) on Tue. Jul. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $30.8501(0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GM advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GM advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(67%)    PEJ(65%)    SPY(63%)    XLF(63%)    VT(62%)
Factors Impacting GM price   GM will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.88(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.52(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.13(2.39%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   18.7%
Market Cap   $55.53b

General Motors Co. engages in the designing, manufacturing, and selling of cars, trucks and automobile parts. It also provides automotive financing services through General Motors Financial Company, Inc. The firm operates through the following segments: GM North America, GM International, and GM Financial. It sells vehicles under the Chevrolet, Cadillac, Baojun, Buick, GMC, Holden, Jiefang, Wuling, Maven, and OnStar brands. The company was founded by William C. Durant on September 16, 1908 and is headquartered in Detroit, MI.

$. GM price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.6%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.24%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.07%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.56%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.98%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.43%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2014	28.58	30.13	30.52	30.88	30.92	30.82	30.85(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-20	6	80	11.79	62%	0.11	63.7	1.33%	0	1.3	65	INF
2	Jul_7_2014	28.55	30.08	30.45	30.67	30.81	30.99	30.74(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	50	11	73	11.13	58%	0.11	70	1.33%	0	1.3	67	INF
3	Jul_3_2014	28.52	30.04	30.35	30.54	30.57	31.02	30.98(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	38	110	26	74	6.74	57%	0.11	83.4	1.37%	0	1.9	75	INF
4	Jul_2_2014	28.49	29.96	30.23	30.4	30.34	30.63	30.98(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	40	60	28	74	17.67	59%	0.11	102.8	1.38%	0	2.4	76	INF
5	Jul_1_2014	28.46	29.89	30.11	30.29	30.15	30.12	30.86(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	-20	11	61	23.41	59%	0.11	111.6	1.39%	0	2.2	64	INF

6	Jun_30_2014	28.43	29.79	30	30.13	30.12	30.04	29.8(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-20	-10	43	20.88	55%	0.07	103.7	1.32%	0	0	49	INF
7	Jun_27_2014	28.41	29.72	29.99	30.19	30.17	30.19	30.06(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	0	4	50	25.43	55%	0.11	97.9	1.31%	0	0.6	51	INF
8	Jun_26_2014	28.38	29.63	29.91	30.12	30.12	30.2	30.29(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	20	8	37	11.47	55%	0.07	90.6	1.31%	0	1	53	INF
9	Jun_25_2014	28.36	29.53	29.8	30.03	30.03	30.16	30.45(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	30	13	27	12.2	53%	0.11	88.2	1.32%	0	1.3	64	INF
10	Jun_24_2014	28.33	29.41	29.72	29.9	29.94	30.03	30.03(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	30	9	13	15.03	51%	0.11	84.9	1.33%	0	0.8	54	INF

11	Jun_23_2014	28.3	29.3	29.7	29.87	29.86	29.89	30.1(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	10	8	26	11.59	51%	0.07	86.5	1.33%	0	1.1	69	INF
12	Jun_20_2014	28.28	29.17	29.68	29.77	29.77	29.86	29.73(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	20	9	40	14.02	52%	0.11	74	1.32%	0	0.7	70	INF
13	Jun_19_2014	28.25	29.05	29.7	29.67	29.66	29.82	29.86(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	40	16	61	11.28	52%	0.07	61.5	1.33%	0	0.9	74	INF
14	Jun_18_2014	28.23	28.92	29.67	29.53	29.49	29.69	29.8(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	40	11	69	16.35	54%	0.07	48.4	1.33%	0	0.9	74	INF
15	Jun_17_2014	28.21	28.78	29.66	29.5	29.39	29.5	29.85(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	20	7	88	13.21	54%	0.11	38	1.34%	0	1	72	INF

16	Jun_16_2014	28.18	28.66	29.55	29.51	29.41	29.5	29.6(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-40	-6	100	12.6	54%	0.07	33.6	1.35%	0	0.9	75	INF
17	Jun_13_2014	28.16	28.56	29.44	29.58	29.53	29.29	29.25(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-60	-21	118	12.05	54%	0.07	35.4	1.35%	0	0.7	75	INF
18	Jun_12_2014	28.14	28.49	29.34	29.73	29.74	29.54	29.16(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	27	-50	-14	151	16.82	54%	0.07	38.4	1.36%	0	0.7	76	INF
19	Jun_11_2014	28.12	28.45	29.25	29.81	29.83	29.77	29.65(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	39	-10	-7	176	8.87	56%	0.07	40.9	1.36%	0	1.2	83	INF
20	Jun_10_2014	28.1	28.39	29.1	29.82	29.86	29.93	29.88(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	65	20	16	210	8.46	56%	0.11	44.9	1.36%	0	1.5	89	INF

21	Jun_9_2014	28.07	28.31	28.88	29.59	29.73	29.89	29.96(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	50	27	201	10.28	56%	0.11	41.7	1.38%	0	1.8	81	INF
22	Jun_6_2014	28.04	28.19	28.62	29.27	29.4	29.79	30(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	69	110	34	175	17.64	56%	0.14	32	1.39%	0	2.2	73	INF
23	Jun_5_2014	28	28.1	28.34	28.9	29.01	29.58	29.53(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	70	150	46	141	25.09	54%	0.11	22.9	1.38%	0	2	65	INF
24	Jun_4_2014	27.97	28.04	28.11	28.6	28.56	29.01	29.73(3.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	58	110	44	99	33.25	54%	0.11	15.8	1.39%	0	2.6	59	INF
25	Jun_3_2014	27.94	27.96	27.82	28.29	28.24	28.43	28.71(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	40	28	44	17.8	50%		8.1	1.32%	0	1.4	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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