Trading Signals: GM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: GM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Jul. 14, 2023)

(General Motors Company)
GM latest price $28.4701 (0.2%) ($28.3805 - $28.7631) on Fri. May. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $28.4701(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GM advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GM advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(67%)    PEJ(65%)    SPY(63%)    XLF(63%)    VT(62%)
Factors Impacting GM price   GM will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-3%)    GLD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.02(1.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.9(2.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.64(3%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $51.246b

General Motors Co. engages in the designing, manufacturing, and selling of cars, trucks and automobile parts. It also provides automotive financing services through General Motors Financial Company, Inc. The firm operates through the following segments: GM North America, GM International, and GM Financial. It sells vehicles under the Chevrolet, Cadillac, Baojun, Buick, GMC, Holden, Jiefang, Wuling, Maven, and OnStar brands. The company was founded by William C. Durant on September 16, 1908 and is headquartered in Detroit, MI.

$. GM price fluctuates within 2.13% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.64%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.16%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.14%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.95%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2014	27.92	27.64	27.9	28.02	28.08	28.46	28.47(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	42	100	27	86	11.4	52%	0.07	-7	1.45%	0	1.4	86	0
2	May_1_2014	27.9	27.65	27.82	27.82	27.82	28.11	28.41(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	70	25	76	19.57	52%	0.04	-10.1	1.47%	0	1.2	63	0
3	Apr_30_2014	27.89	27.64	27.74	27.7	27.59	27.69	28.07(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	10	4	63	14.04	52%	0.04	-11.8	1.48%	0	0.7	57	0
4	Apr_29_2014	27.88	27.63	27.65	27.69	27.7	27.53	27.67(0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-40	-2	48	12.09	52%	-0.04	-13.8	1.48%	0	0.1	45	0
5	Apr_28_2014	27.89	27.65	27.54	27.72	27.8	27.48	27.49(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-70	-16	29	20.18	52%	-0.04	-16.2	1.5%	0	-0.3	47	0

6	Apr_25_2014	27.9	27.68	27.41	27.76	27.88	27.86	27.45(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	10	-11	4	16.03	52%	-0.07	-16.5	1.52%	0	-0.4	42	0
7	Apr_24_2014	27.92	27.68	27.37	27.8	27.93	28.12	27.82(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	8	60	12	-6	33.35	52%	0	-19	1.53%	0	0.2	40	0
8	Apr_23_2014	27.92	27.68	27.37	27.77	27.77	27.89	28(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	30	15	-21	16.07	52%	0	-24.2	1.56%	0	0.4	46	0
9	Apr_22_2014	27.92	27.72	27.32	27.6	27.64	27.74	27.87(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	30	20	-30	12.29	52%	0	-35	1.59%	0	0.2	49	0
10	Apr_21_2014	27.92	27.75	27.3	27.33	27.4	27.64	27.66(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	70	24	-52	9.91	52%	-0.04	-42.7	1.61%	0	-0.1	47	0

11	Apr_17_2014	27.93	27.79	27.35	26.99	27.09	27.55	27.66(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	130	22	-76	12.35	52%	-0.04	0	1.65%	0	-0.2	45	0
12	Apr_16_2014	27.94	27.84	27.45	26.88	26.79	27.16	27.66(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	90	18	-77	18.14	52%	-0.04	0	1.68%	0	-0.3	47	0
13	Apr_15_2014	27.95	27.87	27.51	26.83	26.76	26.64	27.16(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-25	-40	-5	-86	23.45	48%	-0.14	0	1.67%	0	-1	45	0
14	Apr_14_2014	27.99	27.95	27.6	27.02	26.93	26.42	26.5(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-140	-33	-90	18.76	42%	-0.29	0	1.6%	0	-2.1	38	0
15	Apr_11_2014	28.07	28.04	27.76	27.27	27.3	26.88	26(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-58	-100	-48	-87	45.77	36%	-0.35	0	1.55%	0	-3.2	29	0

16	Apr_10_2014	28.17	28.04	28	27.74	27.69	27.45	27.11(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-32	-70	-37	-15	34.3	46%	-0.21	0	1.32%	0	63	37	0
17	Apr_9_2014	28.23	28.04	28.11	28.09	28.01	27.73	27.37(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-21	-80	-24	-10	33.17	46%	-0.18	0	1.35%	0	76	37	0
18	Apr_8_2014	28.28	28.04	28.11	28.29	28.28	27.93	28.11(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-90	-15	-6	20.62	56%	-0.07	0	1.23%	0	93.7	47	0
19	Apr_7_2014	28.3	28.04	28.17	28.26	28.37	28.3	27.77(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-15	-10	-18	-7	24.35	51%	-0.11	0	1.23%	0	89.6	40	0
20	Apr_4_2014	28.33	28.04	28.26	28.31	28.42	28.63	28.34(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	60	12	5	20.37	62%	0	0	1.16%	0	101.2	52	0

21	Apr_3_2014	28.33	28.04	28.27	28.3	28.27	28.45	28.85(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	20	40	23	9	20.58	76%	0.14	0	1.08%	0	99.5	50	0
22	Apr_2_2014	28.29	28.04	28.27	28.15	28.18	28.22	28.4(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	10	15	6	41.86	70%	0.04	0	1.04%	0	105.2	50	0
23	Apr_1_2014	28.28	28.04	28.24	28.04	28.13	28.09	27.96(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-0	-5	-2	46.57	59%	-0.11	0	0.97%	0	103.6	50	0
24	Mar_31_2014	28.31	28.04	28.31	28.07	28.11	28.15	28.02(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	10	-11	-4	24.29	59%	-0.11	0	1.02%	0	103.8	50	0
25	Mar_28_2014	28.34	28.04	28.33	28.19	28.17	28.17	28.27(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-0	2	1	19.18	59%		0	1.04%	0	108.7	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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