Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 2, 2018

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $125.1500 (1.21%) ($124.3900 - $125.1800) on Tue. Jan. 2, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   96
Latest Price   $125.1500(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(78%)    GDX(75%)    SIL(73%)    BWX(46%)    LQD(35%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-23%)    UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-2%)    XLF(-1%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $123.13(1.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $121.76(2.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $120.51(3.85%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.73%(36%) Average negative next day return: -0.54%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 0.96%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -1.53%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.57%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.6%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2018	122.27	120.51	121.76	123.13	123.37	124.29	125.15(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	190	60	162	272	11.76	49%	0.02	20.9	0.55%	0	2.4	96	0
2	Dec_29_2017	122.25	120.3	121.15	122.29	122.58	123.26	123.65(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	160	50	136	232	7.85	45%	0.02	8.5	0.54%	0	2.2	87	0
3	Dec_28_2017	122.23	120.15	120.67	121.62	121.85	122.45	122.85(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	126	40	104	193	5.73	42%	0.01	-8.8	0.54%	0	2	86	0
4	Dec_27_2017	122.22	120.08	120.29	121.08	121.21	121.89	122.23(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	117	40	102	160	6.23	40%	0.02	-19.6	0.54%	0	1.7	62	0
5	Dec_26_2017	122.19	120.09	119.87	120.6	120.7	121.25	121.77(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	108	30	105	118	8.22	37%	0.04	-24.1	0.55%	0	1.3	57	0

6	Dec_22_2017	122.14	120.12	119.49	120.19	120.21	120.52	120.94(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	20	58	53	5.79	38%	0	-30.3	0.57%	0	0.6	44	0
7	Dec_21_2017	122.14	120.17	119.24	119.84	119.94	120.14	120.31(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	10	42	4	4.82	37%	0	-33.9	0.57%	0	0.1	37	0
8	Dec_20_2017	122.14	120.27	119.05	119.56	119.7	119.9	120.14(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	17	20	34	-34	5.73	35%	-0.01	-33.6	0.57%	0	-0.1	40	0
9	Dec_19_2017	122.15	120.34	119.02	119.37	119.44	119.73	119.82(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	19	20	44	-55	4.02	35%	-0.01	-36.8	0.58%	0	-0.3	33	0
10	Dec_18_2017	122.16	120.41	119.05	119.03	119.17	119.5	119.73(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	28	20	65	-83	5.45	33%	-0.01	-42.9	0.58%	0	-0.4	28	0

11	Dec_15_2017	122.17	120.56	119.16	118.69	118.7	119.14	119.18(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	30	43	-121	7.53	33%	0	-42.4	0.59%	0	-0.8	24	0
12	Dec_14_2017	122.17	120.67	119.38	118.55	118.43	118.84	118.93(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	20	56	-130	6.99	33%	-0.01	-48.5	0.59%	0	-1.1	27	0
13	Dec_13_2017	122.18	120.8	119.59	118.46	118.33	118.27	119.17(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-29	-10	16	-164	10.09	32%	0	-52.3	0.59%	0	-1	27	0
14	Dec_12_2017	122.18	120.93	119.85	118.64	118.34	118.02	118.15(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-104	-30	-73	-195	8.02	29%	-0.01	-50	0.58%	0	-1.8	31	0
15	Dec_11_2017	122.19	121.1	120.31	119.07	118.9	118.39	118.01(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-90	-30	-66	-161	4.52	27%	-0.01	-48.3	0.59%	0	-2.2	32	0

16	Dec_8_2017	122.2	121.28	120.8	119.71	119.41	118.65	118.48(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-120	-50	-110	-148	5.23	27%	0	-41.4	0.61%	0	-2.3	27	0
17	Dec_7_2017	122.2	121.47	121.2	120.33	120.04	119.41	118.49(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-112	-40	-111	-115	12.9	31%	0	-27.4	0.61%	0	-2.9	39	0
18	Dec_6_2017	122.2	121.65	121.63	120.85	120.72	120.18	120.07(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-66	-30	-66	-67	6.64	33%	0.02	-16.1	0.6%	0	-2.1	45	0
19	Dec_5_2017	122.18	121.71	121.8	121.25	121	120.67	120.32(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-77	-30	-84	-57	10.04	36%	0.02	1.8	0.61%	0	-2.1	45	0
20	Dec_4_2017	122.15	121.79	121.92	121.74	121.46	121.26	121.18(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-20	-35	-15	6.94	37%	0.04	31.3	0.62%	0	-1	51	0

21	Dec_1_2017	122.1	121.77	122.09	122.07	121.91	121.32	121.59(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-36	-40	-50	6	13.08	37%	0.05	42.3	0.62%	0	-0.3	54	0
22	Nov_30_2017	122.04	121.75	122.08	122.22	122.31	121.65	121.1(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-68	-40	-88	-9	7.94	41%	0.04	52.8	0.63%	0	-1	45	0
23	Nov_29_2017	121.99	121.76	122.13	122.53	122.59	122.49	122.04(-0.63%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-24	-0	-40	24	6.14	42%	0.05	66	0.63%	0	0.4	53	0
24	Nov_28_2017	121.93	121.7	122.09	122.42	122.7	122.96	122.81(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	20	44	56	5.6	47%	0.07	53.6	0.62%	0	1.6	60	0
25	Nov_27_2017	121.85	121.61	121.94	122.12	122.39	122.7	122.83(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	20	33	36	4.96	47%		40.4	0.66%	0	1.9	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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