Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 29, 2017

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $124.4200 (-0.22%) ($124.0500 - $125.8700) on Tue. Aug. 29, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.58% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $124.4200(-0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(78%)    GDX(75%)    SIL(73%)    BWX(46%)    LQD(35%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-24%)    UUP(-14%)    XLF(-1%)    VIXM(-1%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.29% (StdDev 0.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $123.36(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $122.89(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $121.96(2.02%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 0.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.23%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.99%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 0.91%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -1.54%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 1.35%(69%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.78%(31%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170929

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_29_2017	119.75	121.96	122.89	123.36	123.47	124.53	124.42(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	150	60	156	130	9.86	55%	0.04	57.1	0.58%	0	1.8	66	INF
2	Aug_28_2017	119.7	121.76	122.54	122.92	122.85	123.24	124.69(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	101	20	103	96	11.58	55%	0.04	59.2	0.59%	0	2.3	72	INF
3	Aug_25_2017	119.65	121.55	122.25	122.53	122.42	122.41	122.74(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-0	-5	58	12.4	54%	0.03	65.9	0.56%	0	1.1	69	INF
4	Aug_24_2017	119.61	121.45	122.24	122.45	122.48	122.46	122.29(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-0	-4	80	4.19	54%	0.02	68.9	0.56%	0	0.8	66	INF
5	Aug_23_2017	119.59	121.32	122.23	122.49	122.59	122.43	122.67(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10	2	99	5.04	54%	0.03	75.8	0.56%	0	1.2	61	INF

6	Aug_22_2017	119.55	121.18	122.1	122.33	122.52	122.5	122.21(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	0	-2	98	6.49	54%	0.02	76	0.57%	0	0.9	60	INF
7	Aug_21_2017	119.53	121.03	121.88	122.08	122.27	122.75	122.76(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	30	47	101	5.55	54%	0.04	74.2	0.57%	0	1.5	61	INF
8	Aug_18_2017	119.48	120.85	121.57	121.91	121.81	122.55	122.3(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	80	40	74	96	13.65	51%	0.03	80	0.57%	0	1.3	59	INF
9	Aug_17_2017	119.44	120.7	121.31	122.01	121.6	121.8	122.49(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	68	0	61	88	8.18	56%	0.03	89	0.58%	0	1.5	60	INF
10	Aug_16_2017	119.41	120.49	121.12	121.95	121.65	121.08	121.87(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-13	-40	-34	51	8.27	56%	0.03	96.1	0.61%	0	1.1	63	INF

11	Aug_15_2017	119.38	120.3	120.97	121.84	121.87	121.4	120.98(-0.77%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-38	-30	-64	39	6.73	54%	0.01	99	0.61%	0	0.5	58	INF
12	Aug_14_2017	119.37	120.17	120.93	121.62	121.94	122.21	121.92(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	20	31	82	6.04	56%	0.03	94.8	0.6%	0	1.3	70	INF
13	Aug_11_2017	119.34	119.94	120.81	121.14	121.39	122.33	122.79(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	109	60	110	105	8.02	58%	0.03	87	0.59%	0	1.9	73	INF
14	Aug_10_2017	119.3	119.64	120.57	120.51	120.66	121.68	122.21(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	134	60	145	102	9.82	58%	0.03	77.3	0.59%	0	1.7	71	INF
15	Aug_9_2017	119.26	119.32	120.32	120.18	120.04	120.45	121.31(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	80	20	82	73	9.19	57%	0.03	69.2	0.59%	0	1.3	73	INF

16	Aug_8_2017	119.23	119.06	120.17	120	119.88	119.64	119.86(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	-20	-14	42	7.23	53%	0.02	62	0.58%	0	0.5	68	INF
17	Aug_7_2017	119.21	118.86	120.17	120.16	120.08	119.63	119.51(-0.12%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-39	-30	-64	38	3.01	53%	0.03	59.5	0.58%	0	0.4	66	INF
18	Aug_4_2017	119.18	118.67	120.09	120.41	120.37	120.12	119.65(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-22	-20	-53	72	8.64	50%	0.03	53.8	0.58%	0	0.5	73	INF
19	Aug_3_2017	119.15	118.47	120.06	120.62	120.59	120.54	120.59(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	30	-0	-2	124	4.28	48%	0.03	49.7	0.58%	0	1.1	85	INF
20	Aug_2_2017	119.11	118.26	119.83	120.46	120.58	120.62	120.4(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	10	9	136	5.95	48%	0.05	43	0.61%	0	1.1	88	INF

21	Aug_1_2017	119.05	118.06	119.61	120.35	120.4	120.65	120.65(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	67	20	35	161	7.37	46%	0.05	36.5	0.61%	0	1.4	87	INF
22	Jul_31_2017	118.99	117.82	119.36	120.01	120.05	120.54	120.75(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	89	30	60	176	3.94	46%	0.06	27.3	0.61%	0	1.7	89	INF
23	Jul_28_2017	118.92	117.67	119.02	119.72	119.65	120.14	120.69(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	97	30	68	182	7.39	46%	0.05	20.9	0.62%	0	1.9	89	INF
24	Jul_27_2017	118.86	117.53	118.62	119.43	119.38	119.56	119.79(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	82	10	50	176	6.39	44%	0.04	15.9	0.62%	0	1.5	88	INF
25	Jul_26_2017	118.81	117.46	118.24	119.12	119.2	119.15	119.88(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	-0	20	148	8.53	44%		11.6	0.62%	0	1.7	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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