Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 4, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $117.4500 (0.44%) ($116.2500 - $117.4800) on Wed. Feb. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $117.4500(0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(78%)    GDX(75%)    SIL(73%)    BWX(47%)    LQD(36%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-25%)    UUP(-16%)    XLF(-3%)    IYT(-2%)    IPO(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.21(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.16(0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.97(1.28%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.23% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.71%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.4%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -0.42%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.19%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.91%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2017	116.01	115.97	117.16	117.21	116.96	116.99	117.45(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	19	-0	-6	93	7.09	48%	-0.08	49.6	0.75%	0	1	76	INF
2	Feb_14_2017	116.1	115.84	116.95	117.36	117.2	116.88	116.93(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-20	-17	102	6.93	46%	-0.09	60	0.75%	0	0.8	65	INF
3	Feb_13_2017	116.21	115.78	116.82	117.47	117.47	116.93	116.8(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-14	-30	-51	96	7.35	46%	-0.09	72.7	0.76%	0	0.7	57	INF
4	Feb_10_2017	116.32	115.65	116.57	117.65	117.66	117.53	117.6(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10	-24	98	9.07	39%	-0.09	84.4	0.81%	0	1.4	58	INF
5	Feb_9_2017	116.43	115.46	116.17	117.35	117.69	118.01	117.29(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	53	30	36	102	8.18	39%	-0.09	85	0.83%	0	1.3	60	INF

6	Feb_8_2017	116.53	115.27	115.78	117.06	117.22	117.8	118.19(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	67	40	58	95	9.63	39%	-0.06	89.9	0.82%	0	2.1	66	INF
7	Feb_7_2017	116.6	115.02	115.38	116.47	116.7	117.37	117.46(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	77	50	76	79	8.62	36%	-0.07	95.4	0.82%	0	2	63	INF
8	Feb_6_2017	116.68	114.77	115.13	116.08	116.06	116.65	117.7(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	66	40	68	58	8.55	36%	-0.07	102.9	0.85%	0	2.4	57	INF
9	Feb_3_2017	116.76	114.47	114.9	115.34	115.59	116.03	116.13(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	30	64	41	9.46	33%	-0.09	95.1	0.83%	0	1.4	59	INF
10	Feb_2_2017	116.86	114.3	114.78	114.81	115.06	115.47	115.84(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	30	56	26	7.19	35%	-0.09	98	0.83%	0	1.3	60	INF

11	Feb_1_2017	116.96	114.06	114.66	114.29	114.34	115.16	115.2(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	50	49	12	6.93	35%	-0.09	83.8	0.83%	0	0.9	60	INF
12	Jan_31_2017	117.07	113.83	114.66	114.12	113.93	114.66	115.55(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	67	40	80	28	10.42	35%	-0.09	79.5	0.84%	0	1.1	63	INF
13	Jan_30_2017	117.18	113.55	114.62	114.06	113.6	113.53	113.97(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-20	-3	11	7.69	31%	-0.12	86.9	0.82%	0	0.3	60	INF
14	Jan_27_2017	117.32	113.38	114.66	114.43	114.01	113.2	113.49(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-40	-60	-59	16	6.71	31%	-0.12	87.6	0.82%	0	0.1	63	INF
15	Jan_26_2017	117.46	113.17	114.72	114.74	114.63	113.68	113.26(-0.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-62	-60	-91	24	5.39	31%	-0.14	89.7	0.82%	0	0	56	INF

16	Jan_25_2017	117.62	112.95	114.78	115.04	115.06	114.81	114.32(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-23	-10	-53	68	6.7	35%	-0.12	84	0.81%	0	0.6	69	INF
17	Jan_24_2017	117.76	112.65	114.68	115.15	115.15	115.57	115.27(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	30	15	116	5.8	36%	-0.03	79	0.82%	0	1.1	76	INF
18	Jan_23_2017	117.79	112.28	114.43	115.27	115.1	115.31	115.79(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	70	10	42	154	6.37	36%	-0.09	82	0.81%	0	1.5	82	INF
19	Jan_20_2017	117.9	111.88	114.04	114.95	115.13	114.72	115.05(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	39	-20	5	139	12.26	36%	-0.09	73.8	0.81%	0	1.3	74	INF
20	Jan_19_2017	118.01	111.52	113.79	114.72	114.85	114.89	114.77(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	10	-33	142	6.44	36%	-0.08	64.3	0.81%	0	1.3	77	INF

21	Jan_18_2017	118.11	111.2	113.42	114.47	114.8	115.54	114.87(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	101	50	71	191	6.5	36%	-0.09	57	0.81%	0	1.4	79	INF
22	Jan_17_2017	118.22	110.86	112.99	114.12	114.28	114.82	115.85(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	116	40	86	205	9.14	37%	-0.16	50	0.81%	0	2	86	INF
23	Jan_13_2017	118.41	110.42	112.36	113.49	113.59	114.07	114.21(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	79	30	44	185	7.26	33%	-0.1	39.3	0.79%	0	1.7	84	INF
24	Jan_12_2017	118.53	110.14	111.96	113	113.27	113.74	113.91(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	101	40	69	195	8.46	33%	-0.11	28.6	0.79%	0	1.7	81	INF
25	Jan_11_2017	118.66	109.94	111.46	112.73	112.67	113.11	113.5(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	76	30	39	186	9.92	33%		25.7	0.78%	0	1.8	81	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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