Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $110.2900 (1.31%) ($109.1600 - $110.5300) on Thu. Dec. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $110.2900(1.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(78%)    GDX(75%)    SIL(73%)    BWX(47%)    LQD(36%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-26%)    UUP(-16%)    XLF(-3%)    IYT(-2%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $108.65(1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.32(1.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $109.59(0.64%)
To recent high   -12.5%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.39%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.58%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.52%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.21%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.78%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.64%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_29_2016	120.08	109.59	108.32	108.65	108.72	109.21	110.29(1.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	44	30	67	-24	7.56	20%	-0.16	-63.1	0.84%	0	0.4	41	0
2	Dec_28_2016	120.27	109.65	108.14	108.16	108.2	108.57	108.86(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	30	30	-77	5.09	15%	-0.16	-79.2	0.82%	0	-0.5	32	0
3	Dec_27_2016	120.46	109.86	108.27	107.94	108.05	108.24	108.56(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	20	32	-92	3.69	15%	-0.22	-82	0.82%	0	-0.7	33	0
4	Dec_23_2016	120.72	110.11	108.47	107.95	107.83	107.84	107.93(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	-0	-8	-116	5.01	15%	-0.19	-78.7	0.81%	0	-1.1	29	0
5	Dec_22_2016	120.95	110.34	108.71	107.97	107.99	107.87	107.59(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-31	-10	0	-124	4.94	15%	-0.18	-88.8	0.81%	0	-1.4	24	0

6	Dec_21_2016	121.17	110.63	109.09	107.92	108.08	107.83	107.85(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	-10	-18	-135	5.19	21%	-0.19	-98.9	0.81%	0	-1.4	30	0
7	Dec_20_2016	121.4	111	109.48	108.12	107.96	108.12	107.79(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-67	10	-44	-135	7.32	21%	-0.17	-94.2	0.84%	0	-1.5	29	0
8	Dec_19_2016	121.61	111.39	109.85	108.65	108.51	108.33	108.59(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	-20	5	-111	5.34	21%	-0.17	-86.2	0.83%	0	-1.3	26	0
9	Dec_16_2016	121.82	111.71	110.14	109.1	108.97	107.81	108.05(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-102	-80	-87	-147	10.6	21%	-0.16	-84.7	0.83%	0	-1.7	21	0
10	Dec_15_2016	122.02	112.12	110.56	109.57	109.63	108.68	107.34(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-142	-60	-137	-157	14.43	21%	-0.16	-86.3	0.82%	0	-2.2	27	0

11	Dec_14_2016	122.22	112.59	111.01	110.41	110.44	110.14	108.83(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-70	-20	-57	-107	12.93	22%	-0.15	-90.4	0.81%	0	-1.8	28	0
12	Dec_13_2016	122.4	113.01	111.32	111.01	110.89	110.58	110.45(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-20	-29	-99	7.96	23%	-0.12	-92	0.8%	0	-1.2	25	0
13	Dec_12_2016	122.55	113.29	111.59	111.21	111.29	110.73	110.82(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-30	-42	-111	6.16	23%	-0.13	-103.2	0.8%	0	-1.2	26	0
14	Dec_9_2016	122.71	113.6	111.88	111.35	111.51	111.21	110.4(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-70	-10	-53	-121	10.51	23%	-0.14	-114.1	0.8%	0	-1.5	27	0
15	Dec_8_2016	122.88	114.06	112.11	111.35	111.64	111.86	111.57(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	10	-1	-111	5.98	25%	-0.11	-109.5	0.79%	0	-1	26	0

16	Dec_7_2016	123.02	114.53	112.28	111.7	111.74	111.82	111.83(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	10	32	-120	4.9	25%	-0.12	-97.6	0.8%	0	-1	25	0
17	Dec_6_2016	123.17	115	112.62	111.68	111.55	111.43	111.43(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-61	-10	-29	-158	5.53	31%	-0.13	-90.7	0.79%	0	-1.1	22	0
18	Dec_5_2016	123.33	115.53	113.02	112.05	111.7	111.66	111.54(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-10	-27	-143	10.19	31%	-0.12	-82.6	0.83%	0	-1.2	30	0
19	Dec_2_2016	123.48	116.15	113.38	112.5	112.15	111.68	112.14(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-40	-18	-137	7.42	31%	-0.13	-68.8	0.83%	0	-1.1	28	0
20	Dec_1_2016	123.64	116.74	113.77	112.59	112.49	111.75	111.54(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-100	-50	-74	-177	10.24	31%	-0.14	-60.8	0.84%	0	-1.3	20	0

21	Nov_30_2016	123.81	117.34	114.3	112.94	112.9	112.62	111.75(-1.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-95	-20	-63	-189	10.93	31%	-0.12	-55.6	0.84%	0	-1.4	17	0
22	Nov_29_2016	123.96	117.89	114.84	113.69	113.21	113.23	113.27(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-68	-10	-30	-180	7.44	33%	-0.14	-50.6	0.83%	0	-1.2	19	0
23	Nov_28_2016	124.13	118.34	115.13	114.16	113.83	113.23	113.8(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-69	-50	-26	-198	5.66	33%	-0.13	-47.7	0.83%	0	-1.2	18	0
24	Nov_25_2016	124.29	118.74	115.46	114.43	114.38	113.19	112.61(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-154	-70	-115	-270	5.35	29%	-0.18	-46.6	0.82%	0	-1.7	10	0
25	Nov_23_2016	124.52	119.18	116.17	115.14	114.98	114.46	113.25(-1.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-151	-40	-110	-272	20.98	27%		-45.9	0.82%	0	-1.8	11	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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