Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $130.2300 (0.59%) ($129.8200 - $131.1500) on Wed. Jul. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $130.2300(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(78%)    GDX(76%)    SIL(73%)    BWX(49%)    LQD(36%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-27%)    UUP(-18%)    XLF(-5%)    IYT(-3%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $128.08(1.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $126.12(3.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.28(4.79%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.39% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.58%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.99%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -1.54%(42%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.02%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.16%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160806

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_6_2016	120.03	124.28	126.12	128.08	128.38	129.72	130.23(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	112	80	97	158	17.38	64%	0.13	90	1.13%	0	2	65	0
2	Jul_5_2016	119.87	123.7	125.18	127.1	127.29	128.5	129.47(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	103	70	95	128	19.03	66%	0.09	90	1.13%	0	2	66	0
3	Jul_1_2016	119.76	123.16	124.52	126.54	126.41	127.05	128.41(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	71	30	59	105	14.94	66%	0.08	93.7	1.13%	0	1.9	64	0
4	Jun_30_2016	119.66	122.68	124.03	126.06	126.41	126.09	126.47(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	0	32	94	15.98	61%	0.1	90.1	1.12%	0	1.3	63	0
5	Jun_29_2016	119.54	122.15	123.6	124.79	126.04	125.78	125.84(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	20	42	72	12.22	63%	0.11	72.5	1.13%	0	1.2	63	0

6	Jun_28_2016	119.41	121.66	123.36	123.8	124.63	126	125.32(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	100	29	55	16	63%	0.09	59.9	1.15%	0	1.2	64	0
7	Jun_27_2016	119.3	121.21	123.08	122.91	123.49	126.31	126.68(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	161	170	178	110	21.4	63%	0.13	48.4	1.14%	0	1.8	72	0
8	Jun_24_2016	119.15	120.65	122.64	122.21	122.18	123.27	126.01(4.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	129	60	141	93	35.78	63%	0.13	37	1.15%	0	1.8	71	0
9	Jun_23_2016	118.99	120.17	122.18	121.8	121.34	120.67	120.11(-0.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-34	-50	-53	25	10.7	53%	0.09	30.1	0.98%	0	-0	59	0
10	Jun_22_2016	118.88	120.03	122.18	122.26	122.11	121.1	120.9(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-43	-60	-75	53	7.86	53%	0.11	28.8	1.02%	0	0.3	73	0

11	Jun_21_2016	118.75	119.85	122.33	122.81	122.84	122.01	120.84(-1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-33	-50	-74	92	14.59	53%	0.11	26.7	1.02%	0	0.3	71	0
12	Jun_20_2016	118.62	119.77	122.18	123.2	123.3	123.12	123.21(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-10	-27	141	11.87	57%	0.14	26.8	0.99%	0	1.2	81	0
13	Jun_17_2016	118.45	119.58	121.77	123.08	123.31	123.68	123.95(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	63	30	24	178	15.57	57%	0.14	24	0.99%	0	1.6	86	0
14	Jun_16_2016	118.28	119.35	121.27	122.64	123.08	123.49	122.38(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	84	30	48	192	26.64	58%	0.13	18.8	0.98%	0	1.2	76	0
15	Jun_15_2016	118.13	119.21	120.63	122.42	122.53	122.95	123.68(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	74	30	40	175	15.05	60%	0.14	13.1	1.01%	0	1.8	80	0

16	Jun_14_2016	117.96	119.09	119.87	121.8	121.99	122.68	122.77(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	86	40	59	165	11.65	58%	0.14	9.2	1%	0	1.6	76	0
17	Jun_13_2016	117.79	119.01	119.2	121.01	121.42	122.11	122.64(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	94	50	80	136	12.59	58%	0.15	1.6	1.02%	0	1.6	60	0
18	Jun_10_2016	117.61	118.93	118.48	120.26	120.44	121.31	121.74(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	66	60	58	88	13.94	57%	0.14	-10.8	1.04%	0	1.3	55	0
19	Jun_9_2016	117.44	118.87	117.94	119.69	119.75	120.72	121.25(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	85	60	89	71	12.17	57%	0.14	-20.3	1.05%	0	1.1	53	0
20	Jun_8_2016	117.28	118.87	117.49	118.57	119.15	119.58	120.58(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	71	40	86	26	11.66	57%	0.15	-33.7	1.06%	0	0.8	49	0

21	Jun_7_2016	117.11	118.88	117.12	117.65	117.97	118.77	118.82(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	14	60	33	-42	4.6	55%	0.02	-49.5	1.04%	0	-0	31	0
22	Jun_6_2016	117.09	118.97	117.13	117.09	117.25	118.71	118.92(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	70	90	107	-40	9.89	55%	0.13	-61.1	1.04%	0	-0	34	0
23	Jun_3_2016	116.94	119.16	117.16	116.43	116.51	117.16	118.88(2.78%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	51	40	92	-72	14.61	57%	0.14	-65.7	1.05%	0	-0.1	35	0
24	Jun_2_2016	116.78	119.31	117.22	115.97	115.84	115.78	115.67(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-50	-10	-19	-142	4.59	53%	0.1	-68.1	1.01%	0	-1.5	18	0
25	Jun_1_2016	116.66	119.64	117.65	116.24	116.17	115.87	115.94(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-46	-20	-13	-144	8.4	53%		-62.7	1.01%	0	-1.5	17	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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