Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Jun. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $123.9500 (1.28%) ($122.6900 - $124.1000) on Sat. Jun. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $123.9500(1.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $123.08(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $121.77(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $119.58(3.65%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.29% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.59%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.74%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.66%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.63%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_17_2016	118.45	119.58	121.77	123.08	123.31	123.68	123.95(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	63	30	24	178	15.57	57%	0.14	24	0.99%	0	1.6	86	0
2	Jun_16_2016	118.28	119.35	121.27	122.64	123.08	123.49	122.38(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	84	30	48	192	26.64	58%	0.13	18.8	0.98%	0	1.2	76	0
3	Jun_15_2016	118.13	119.21	120.63	122.42	122.53	122.95	123.68(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	74	30	40	175	15.05	60%	0.14	13.1	1.01%	0	1.8	80	0
4	Jun_14_2016	117.96	119.09	119.87	121.8	121.99	122.68	122.77(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	86	40	59	165	11.65	58%	0.14	9.2	1%	0	1.6	76	0
5	Jun_13_2016	117.79	119.01	119.2	121.01	121.42	122.11	122.64(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	94	50	80	136	12.59	58%	0.15	1.6	1.02%	0	1.6	60	0

6	Jun_10_2016	117.61	118.93	118.48	120.26	120.44	121.31	121.74(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	66	60	58	88	13.94	57%	0.14	-10.8	1.04%	0	1.3	55	0
7	Jun_9_2016	117.44	118.87	117.94	119.69	119.75	120.72	121.25(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	85	60	89	71	12.17	57%	0.14	-20.3	1.05%	0	1.1	53	0
8	Jun_8_2016	117.28	118.87	117.49	118.57	119.15	119.58	120.58(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	71	40	86	26	11.66	57%	0.15	-33.7	1.06%	0	0.8	49	0
9	Jun_7_2016	117.11	118.88	117.12	117.65	117.97	118.77	118.82(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	14	60	33	-42	4.6	55%	0.02	-49.5	1.04%	0	-0	31	0
10	Jun_6_2016	117.09	118.97	117.13	117.09	117.25	118.71	118.92(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	70	90	107	-40	9.89	55%	0.13	-61.1	1.04%	0	-0	34	0

11	Jun_3_2016	116.94	119.16	117.16	116.43	116.51	117.16	118.88(2.78%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	51	40	92	-72	14.61	57%	0.14	-65.7	1.05%	0	-0.1	35	0
12	Jun_2_2016	116.78	119.31	117.22	115.97	115.84	115.78	115.67(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-50	-10	-19	-142	4.59	53%	0.1	-68.1	1.01%	0	-1.5	18	0
13	Jun_1_2016	116.66	119.64	117.65	116.24	116.17	115.87	115.94(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-46	-20	-13	-144	8.4	53%	0.1	-62.7	1.01%	0	-1.5	17	0
14	May_31_2016	116.54	120	118.26	116.51	116.4	115.91	116.06(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-75	-30	-51	-147	8.19	53%	0.19	-54.4	1.02%	0	-1.7	28	0
15	May_27_2016	116.32	120.36	118.82	117.17	116.85	116.46	115.62(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-76	-30	-58	-128	8.69	55%	0.09	-38.6	1.03%	0	-2.1	28	0

16	May_26_2016	116.22	120.78	119.45	117.99	117.67	116.89	116.58(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-65	-50	-49	-111	5.89	55%	0.1	-20.6	1.03%	0	-2.1	23	0
17	May_25_2016	116.1	121.04	119.92	118.65	118.38	117.24	116.98(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-94	-70	-87	-113	10.5	55%	0.12	-8.1	1.04%	0	-2.3	31	0
18	May_24_2016	115.96	121.17	120.45	119.27	119.05	118.44	117.3(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-92	-40	-89	-100	12.77	55%	0.13	2.2	1.04%	0	-2.4	32	0
19	May_23_2016	115.81	121.28	120.86	120.25	119.81	119.51	119.37(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-30	-36	-63	8.63	60%	0.03	17.3	1.01%	0	-1.2	34	0
20	May_20_2016	115.77	121.25	121.01	120.74	120.51	119.66	119.71(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-60	-45	-65	10.38	57%	0.16	26.5	1.04%	0	-0.9	34	0

21	May_19_2016	115.59	121.19	121.35	121.14	121.11	120.11	119.87(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-75	-60	-77	-70	14.34	57%	0.16	32.6	1.05%	0	-0.8	33	0
22	May_18_2016	115.4	121.18	121.58	121.4	121.58	121.37	120.1(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	-10	-47	-48	13.38	60%	0.16	43.3	1.06%	0	-0.6	47	0
23	May_17_2016	115.21	121.14	121.8	121.8	121.8	122.11	122.22(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	20	19	1	8.62	63%	0.17	50	1.07%	0	0.6	64	0
24	May_16_2016	115.01	121.01	121.86	121.55	121.78	121.8	121.8(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	10	28	16	7.1	58%	0.07	43	1.07%	0	0.4	64	0
25	May_13_2016	114.93	120.82	121.99	121.32	121.41	121.49	121.71(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-7	10	-14	13	7.67	58%		32.7	1.14%	0	0.5	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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