Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $121.7900 (0.17%) ($120.6100 - $121.8300) on Thu. Feb. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $121.7900(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(78%)    GDX(76%)    SIL(73%)    BWX(48%)    LQD(35%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-27%)    UUP(-22%)    XLF(-8%)    PEJ(-1%)    XRT(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $122.06(-0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $122.56(-0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $121.65(0.12%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.16% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2015	116.85	121.65	122.56	122.06	121.62	121.45	121.79(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-20	-2	-28	6.88	59%	0.03	59.7	1.33%	0	0.1	54	0
2	Feb_4_2015	116.81	121.41	122.88	121.85	121.87	121.43	121.58(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-20	-16	-14	5.39	59%	0.03	55.1	1.36%	0	0.1	62	0
3	Feb_3_2015	116.78	121.2	123.15	122.22	121.8	121.79	121.05(-1.12%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-28	-10	-39	4	8.26	59%	0.02	62.1	1.36%	0	-0.1	60	0
4	Feb_2_2015	116.76	120.97	123.48	122.89	122.35	122.31	122.42(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-20	7	55	8.89	59%	0.04	66.4	1.35%	0	0.5	63	0
5	Jan_30_2015	116.71	120.58	123.52	123	122.78	121.82	123.45(2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-60	-26	62	14.56	55%	0.03	64.1	1.38%	0	0.8	69	0

6	Jan_29_2015	116.67	120.1	123.29	123.16	122.96	122.38	120.76(-2.16%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-41	-40	-76	64	12	52%	0	66.9	1.36%	0	0.2	67	0
7	Jan_28_2015	116.67	119.84	123.1	124.05	123.66	123.74	123.42(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-0	-3	122	8.47	54%	0.03	72.6	1.34%	0	0.9	74	0
8	Jan_27_2015	116.64	119.37	122.61	124.22	124.05	123.54	124.4(1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	30	-30	-4	132	9.58	54%	0.03	72.4	1.34%	0	1.3	74	0
9	Jan_26_2015	116.6	118.88	122.05	124.18	124.18	123.59	122.99(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-30	-41	131	6.77	54%	0.01	72.3	1.33%	0	1.1	75	0
10	Jan_23_2015	116.59	118.37	121.51	124.08	124.41	124.57	124.23(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	20	11	165	6.27	53%	0.02	71.3	1.33%	0	1.5	83	0

11	Jan_22_2015	116.57	117.79	120.7	123.42	123.95	124.77	125.23(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	92	60	61	185	10.52	53%	0.03	67	1.32%	0	2	88	0
12	Jan_21_2015	116.53	117.14	119.8	121.97	122.91	124.26	124.23(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	113	100	92	174	11.08	53%	0.02	58	1.32%	0	2.1	77	0
13	Jan_20_2015	116.51	116.64	119.06	120.76	121.42	123.13	124.2(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	121	110	105	168	14.97	54%	0.01	48.7	1.32%	0	2.4	79	0
14	Jan_16_2015	116.5	116.14	118.18	119.63	120.06	121.56	122.52(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	120	100	109	152	14.43	52%	-0.02	41.6	1.31%	0	2.4	71	0
15	Jan_15_2015	116.52	115.7	117.32	118.58	118.99	119.71	120.94(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	91	50	80	125	17.69	51%	-0.02	29.8	1.3%	0	2.4	73	0

16	Jan_14_2015	116.54	115.38	116.58	117.58	118.01	118.56	117.97(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	40	29	90	7.73	48%	-0.05	13.2	1.26%	0	1.4	68	0
17	Jan_13_2015	116.6	115.19	116.3	117.27	117.43	118.28	118.16(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	62	50	48	102	7.69	49%	-0.04	5.3	1.26%	0	1.7	70	0
18	Jan_12_2015	116.65	115.12	115.85	117.06	116.92	117.46	118.56(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	62	30	50	96	8.32	49%	-0.03	10.2	1.26%	0	2.2	60	0
19	Jan_9_2015	116.69	115.04	115.45	116.51	116.58	116.59	117.26(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	0	27	75	7.96	49%	-0.05	6.3	1.25%	0	1.5	56	0
20	Jan_8_2015	116.75	115.05	115.01	115.87	116.19	116.38	115.94(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	20	16	51	7.03	50%	-0.08	-0.8	1.24%	0	0.6	55	0

21	Jan_7_2015	116.84	115.14	114.7	115.4	115.47	116.57	116.43(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	70	40	42	6.43	50%	-0.07	-0.7	1.25%	0	0.8	54	0
22	Jan_6_2015	116.92	115.1	114.31	115.16	114.9	115.99	117.12(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	73	60	82	47	11.24	52%	-0.07	-6.5	1.25%	0	1.1	58	0
23	Jan_5_2015	117	115.1	114.03	114.47	114.57	114.38	115.8(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10	33	1	8.18	52%	-0.09	-12.2	1.25%	0	0.5	43	0
24	Jan_2_2015	117.1	114.95	113.93	114.27	114.25	113.81	114.08(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-30	-42	-43	7.11	48%	-0.19	-13.5	1.26%	0	-0.5	37	0
25	Dec_31_2014	117.32	115.06	113.95	114.01	114.59	114.76	113.58(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	30	14	-42	7.62	48%		-15.2	1.25%	0	-0.9	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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