Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $129.2100 (0.17%) ($128.5700 - $129.5300) on Tue. Feb. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $129.2100(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(78%)    GDX(77%)    SIL(73%)    LQD(34%)    TIP(34%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-22%)    XLF(-9%)    PEJ(-2%)    UNG(-1%)    DIA(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $127.93(1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $126.94(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.27(3.98%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.46% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 42 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(45%) Sample size 42 Average positive next three day return: 1.44%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.19%(45%) Sample size 42 Average positive next weekly return: 1.91%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.94%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2014	122.35	124.27	126.94	127.93	128.11	128.86	129.21(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	83	50	55	165	5.79	53%	0.02	61.4	1.04%	0	1.6	89	NAN
2	Feb_24_2014	122.33	123.84	126.32	127.57	127.56	128.16	128.99(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	82	30	54	165	12.12	53%	0.02	62.2	1.04%	0	1.8	86	NAN
3	Feb_21_2014	122.31	123.48	125.65	127.2	127.23	127.36	127.58(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	10	30	160	7.31	51%	0.01	69.2	1.03%	0	1.6	86	NAN
4	Feb_20_2014	122.3	123.18	125.03	126.78	127.1	126.96	127.6(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	51	-0	17	154	10.58	47%	0	73.6	1.03%	0	1.8	87	NAN
5	Feb_19_2014	122.3	122.75	124.4	126.15	126.6	127.1	126.27(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	40	15	130	9.39	45%	0.02	68.9	1.07%	0	1.5	64	NAN

6	Feb_18_2014	122.28	122.42	123.88	125.77	126.02	127.24	127.4(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	108	70	92	155	7.69	45%	-0.06	64.7	1.06%	0	2.2	73	NAN
7	Feb_14_2014	122.35	122.07	123.26	124.87	125.16	126.09	127.15(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	115	60	106	141	11.18	45%	-0.01	63.8	1.06%	0	2.6	73	NAN
8	Feb_13_2014	122.36	121.68	122.53	123.87	124.12	124.8	125.49(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	71	40	64	91	9.26	43%	-0.03	64	1.06%	0	2.3	61	NAN
9	Feb_12_2014	122.4	121.38	121.95	123.02	123.27	124.22	124.43(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	69	60	70	64	6.65	43%	-0.02	62.2	1.06%	0	2.1	60	NAN
10	Feb_11_2014	122.43	121.14	121.72	122.4	122.45	123.43	124.36(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	77	60	80	66	11.56	43%	-0.02	60.4	1.07%	0	2.5	68	NAN

11	Feb_10_2014	122.46	120.96	121.35	121.72	121.82	122.31	122.92(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	57	30	60	47	7.94	40%	-0.04	64	1.06%	0	1.9	62	NAN
12	Feb_7_2014	122.51	120.82	121.14	121.4	121.27	121.47	122.17(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	10	18	22	6.68	38%	-0.08	66.7	1.07%	0	1.4	54	NAN
13	Feb_6_2014	122.61	120.64	121.13	120.99	121.1	121.32	121.24(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	20	23	24	4.75	38%	-0.09	53.6	1.07%	0	0.6	56	NAN
14	Feb_5_2014	122.72	120.49	121.17	120.69	120.86	121.07	121.29(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	20	16	23	6.8	38%	-0.05	48.9	1.07%	0	0.7	57	NAN
15	Feb_4_2014	122.78	120.37	120.98	120.93	120.46	120.89	120.99(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	10	1	21	7.03	38%	-0.04	67	1.07%	0	0.5	55	NAN

16	Feb_3_2014	122.83	120.29	120.87	120.92	120.8	120.66	121.32(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10	30	27	9.27	38%	-0.06	76.3	1.07%	0	0.9	51	NAN
17	Jan_31_2014	122.9	120.19	120.82	120.85	120.79	120.04	120.09(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-40	-57	-6	7.98	36%	-0.07	85.6	1.06%	0	-0.1	50	NAN
18	Jan_30_2014	122.98	120.1	120.81	121.29	121.06	120.95	119.77(-2.2%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-34	-10	-50	13	8.75	36%	-0.1	98.1	1.08%	0	-0.3	56	NAN
19	Jan_29_2014	123.1	119.94	120.82	121.69	121.64	121.55	122.47(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	-10	33	66	12.26	39%	-0.08	107.5	1.04%	0	2	67	NAN
20	Jan_28_2014	123.2	119.59	120.82	121.04	121.48	121.18	120.95(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-10	37	5.16	36%	-0.11	82.5	1.03%	0	1	59	NAN

21	Jan_27_2014	123.33	119.41	120.55	120.79	121.08	121.72	120.96(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	40	11	46	7.53	36%	-0.11	72.5	1.03%	0	0.9	56	NAN
22	Jan_24_2014	123.47	119.2	120.48	120.78	120.63	121.77	122.29(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	82	60	83	80	8.54	38%	-0.08	69.7	1.03%	0	1.8	62	NAN
23	Jan_23_2014	123.57	118.89	120.09	120.28	120.26	120.44	121.79(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	65	10	65	63	11.04	38%	-0.11	58.3	1.03%	0	1.8	65	NAN
24	Jan_22_2014	123.7	118.57	119.72	119.85	120.26	119.49	119.19(-0.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-18	-20	-32	24	4.9	37%	-0.15	42.7	0.99%	0	0.4	65	NAN
25	Jan_21_2014	123.88	118.42	119.7	119.99	119.85	120.08	119.7(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	10	-16	49	6.77	37%		33.6	1.02%	0	0.8	70	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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