Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. Jun. 13, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $122.9200 (0.61%) ($122.7200 - $123.1600) on Mon. Feb. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $122.9200(0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(77%)    LQD(34%)    TIP(34%)    GDXJ(33%)    TLT(26%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-23%)    SIL(-2%)    PEJ(-2%)    UNG(-1%)    SLV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $121.72(0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $121.35(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $120.96(1.62%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 0.86% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.84%(63%) Average negative next day return: -0.23%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.45%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.41%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.7%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.17%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140310

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2014	122.46	120.96	121.35	121.72	121.82	122.31	122.92(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	57	30	60	47	7.94	40%	-0.04	64	1.06%	0	1.9	62	NAN
2	Feb_7_2014	122.51	120.82	121.14	121.4	121.27	121.47	122.17(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	10	18	22	6.68	38%	-0.08	66.7	1.07%	0	1.4	54	NAN
3	Feb_6_2014	122.61	120.64	121.13	120.99	121.1	121.32	121.24(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	20	23	24	4.75	38%	-0.09	53.6	1.07%	0	0.6	56	NAN
4	Feb_5_2014	122.72	120.49	121.17	120.69	120.86	121.07	121.29(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	20	16	23	6.8	38%	-0.05	48.9	1.07%	0	0.7	57	NAN
5	Feb_4_2014	122.78	120.37	120.98	120.93	120.46	120.89	120.99(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	10	1	21	7.03	38%	-0.04	67	1.07%	0	0.5	55	NAN

6	Feb_3_2014	122.83	120.29	120.87	120.92	120.8	120.66	121.32(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10	30	27	9.27	38%	-0.06	76.3	1.07%	0	0.9	51	NAN
7	Jan_31_2014	122.9	120.19	120.82	120.85	120.79	120.04	120.09(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-40	-57	-6	7.98	36%	-0.07	85.6	1.06%	0	-0.1	50	NAN
8	Jan_30_2014	122.98	120.1	120.81	121.29	121.06	120.95	119.77(-2.2%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-34	-10	-50	13	8.75	36%	-0.1	98.1	1.08%	0	-0.3	56	NAN
9	Jan_29_2014	123.1	119.94	120.82	121.69	121.64	121.55	122.47(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	-10	33	66	12.26	39%	-0.08	107.5	1.04%	0	2	67	NAN
10	Jan_28_2014	123.2	119.59	120.82	121.04	121.48	121.18	120.95(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-10	37	5.16	36%	-0.11	82.5	1.03%	0	1	59	NAN

11	Jan_27_2014	123.33	119.41	120.55	120.79	121.08	121.72	120.96(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	40	11	46	7.53	36%	-0.11	72.5	1.03%	0	0.9	56	NAN
12	Jan_24_2014	123.47	119.2	120.48	120.78	120.63	121.77	122.29(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	82	60	83	80	8.54	38%	-0.08	69.7	1.03%	0	1.8	62	NAN
13	Jan_23_2014	123.57	118.89	120.09	120.28	120.26	120.44	121.79(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	65	10	65	63	11.04	38%	-0.11	58.3	1.03%	0	1.8	65	NAN
14	Jan_22_2014	123.7	118.57	119.72	119.85	120.26	119.49	119.19(-0.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-18	-20	-32	24	4.9	37%	-0.15	42.7	0.99%	0	0.4	65	NAN
15	Jan_21_2014	123.88	118.42	119.7	119.99	119.85	120.08	119.7(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	10	-16	49	6.77	37%	-0.12	33.6	1.02%	0	0.8	70	NAN

16	Jan_17_2014	124.03	118.19	119.68	120.26	119.85	120.21	120.93(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	0	32	88	7.93	46%	-0.13	26.1	1.01%	0	1.5	64	NAN
17	Jan_16_2014	124.19	118.01	119.5	120.12	120.04	119.62	119.79(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-30	-9	76	3.95	46%	-0.14	15.9	1.08%	0	1	63	NAN
18	Jan_15_2014	124.36	117.94	119.34	119.86	120.09	119.87	119.66(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10	-15	77	5.48	46%	-0.14	4.6	1.08%	0	1	65	NAN
19	Jan_14_2014	124.54	117.92	119.01	119.55	119.81	120.47	119.89(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	50	26	89	7.51	46%	-0.13	-0.7	1.08%	0	1.1	68	NAN
20	Jan_13_2014	124.7	117.87	118.58	119.34	119.24	120.32	121.02(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	80	60	73	102	5.88	46%	-0.11	-2	1.08%	0	1.8	70	NAN

21	Jan_10_2014	124.84	117.87	118.18	119.03	118.73	119.16	120.26(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	65	20	54	98	7.99	41%	-0.1	-7.2	1.09%	0	1.6	72	NAN
22	Jan_9_2014	124.97	117.71	117.81	118.84	118.53	118.17	118.46(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-30	-10	65	3.97	38%	-0.11	-8.6	1.08%	0	0.5	52	NAN
23	Jan_8_2014	125.11	117.86	117.58	118.75	118.71	118.31	118.12(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-20	-21	48	7.43	38%	-0.12	0.7	1.09%	0	0.2	47	NAN
24	Jan_7_2014	125.26	117.92	117.34	118.35	118.73	118.89	118.82(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	20	21	38	6.44	38%	-0.1	0	1.09%	0	0.5	45	NAN
25	Jan_6_2014	125.39	117.9	117.05	117.66	117.98	119.11	119.5(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	80	55	20	10.11	38%		-15.2	1.09%	0	0.8	48	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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