Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jun. 4, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $121.7900 (2.18%) ($120.9700 - $122.0200) on Thu. Jan. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $121.7900(2.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(77%)    GDXJ(34%)    LQD(34%)    TIP(34%)    TLT(26%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-23%)    PEJ(-3%)    UNG(-0%)    DIA(0%)    XLY(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $120.28(1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $120.09(1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $118.89(2.44%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(47%) Average negative next day return: -0.62%(53%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 0.97%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -0.96%(53%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 1.3%(59%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.36%(41%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2014	123.57	118.89	120.09	120.28	120.26	120.44	121.79(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	65	10	65	63	11.04	38%	-0.11	58.3	1.03%	0	1.8	65	NAN
2	Jan_22_2014	123.7	118.57	119.72	119.85	120.26	119.49	119.19(-0.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-18	-20	-32	24	4.9	37%	-0.15	42.7	0.99%	0	0.4	65	NAN
3	Jan_21_2014	123.88	118.42	119.7	119.99	119.85	120.08	119.7(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	10	-16	49	6.77	37%	-0.12	33.6	1.02%	0	0.8	70	NAN
4	Jan_17_2014	124.03	118.19	119.68	120.26	119.85	120.21	120.93(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	0	32	88	7.93	46%	-0.13	26.1	1.01%	0	1.5	64	NAN
5	Jan_16_2014	124.19	118.01	119.5	120.12	120.04	119.62	119.79(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-30	-9	76	3.95	46%	-0.14	15.9	1.08%	0	1	63	NAN

6	Jan_15_2014	124.36	117.94	119.34	119.86	120.09	119.87	119.66(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10	-15	77	5.48	46%	-0.14	4.6	1.08%	0	1	65	NAN
7	Jan_14_2014	124.54	117.92	119.01	119.55	119.81	120.47	119.89(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	50	26	89	7.51	46%	-0.13	-0.7	1.08%	0	1.1	68	NAN
8	Jan_13_2014	124.7	117.87	118.58	119.34	119.24	120.32	121.02(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	80	60	73	102	5.88	46%	-0.11	-2	1.08%	0	1.8	70	NAN
9	Jan_10_2014	124.84	117.87	118.18	119.03	118.73	119.16	120.26(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	65	20	54	98	7.99	41%	-0.1	-7.2	1.09%	0	1.6	72	NAN
10	Jan_9_2014	124.97	117.71	117.81	118.84	118.53	118.17	118.46(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-30	-10	65	3.97	38%	-0.11	-8.6	1.08%	0	0.5	52	NAN

11	Jan_8_2014	125.11	117.86	117.58	118.75	118.71	118.31	118.12(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-20	-21	48	7.43	38%	-0.12	0.7	1.09%	0	0.2	47	NAN
12	Jan_7_2014	125.26	117.92	117.34	118.35	118.73	118.89	118.82(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	20	21	38	6.44	38%	-0.1	0	1.09%	0	0.5	45	NAN
13	Jan_6_2014	125.39	117.9	117.05	117.66	117.98	119.11	119.5(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	80	55	20	10.11	38%	-0.11	-15.2	1.09%	0	0.8	48	NAN
14	Jan_3_2014	125.53	117.83	116.57	117.18	117.14	118.57	119.29(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	78	80	100	10	5.88	38%	-0.1	-25.3	1.09%	0	0.8	52	NAN
15	Jan_2_2014	125.66	117.85	116.36	116.67	116.67	116.84	118(1.62%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	42	10	66	-32	7.57	40%	-0.1	-33.1	1.08%	0	0.1	39	NAN

16	Dec_31_2013	125.79	117.84	116.38	116.29	116.39	115.71	116.12(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-40	-37	-97	12.84	33%	-0.1	-44.1	1.09%	0	-0.9	31	NAN
17	Dec_30_2013	125.92	117.93	116.71	116.18	116.48	116.5	115.39(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	10	-25	-93	6.71	33%	-0.1	-52.9	1.14%	0	-1.4	38	NAN
18	Dec_27_2013	126.04	118.2	117.1	116.29	116.45	117.06	117.12(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	40	43	-62	4.21	35%	-0.08	-50.6	1.13%	0	-0.6	46	NAN
19	Dec_26_2013	126.14	118.31	117.2	115.83	116.08	116.47	116.74(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	30	36	-77	3.87	35%	-0.04	-58.9	1.13%	0	-0.8	46	NAN
20	Dec_24_2013	126.19	118.47	117.59	116.01	115.68	115.83	116.1(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	0	-18	-93	3.35	35%	-0.08	-65.6	1.13%	0	-1.3	39	NAN

21	Dec_23_2013	126.29	118.69	118.14	116.52	116.3	115.7	115.57(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-40	-26	-70	6.24	35%	-0.09	-66	1.13%	0	-1.8	46	NAN
22	Dec_20_2013	126.4	118.92	118.57	117.34	117.13	115.52	115.94(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-91	-100	-98	-71	14.7	32%	-0.09	-70.8	1.13%	0	-1.8	48	NAN
23	Dec_19_2013	126.51	119.13	118.87	118.03	118.12	116.91	114.82(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-101	-70	-112	-67	15.98	32%	-0.1	-78.4	1.17%	0	-2.9	37	NAN
24	Dec_18_2013	126.64	119.42	119.27	118.72	119.07	118.73	117.61(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-10	-35	-25	16.27	43%	-0.09	-100	1.14%	0	-1.6	46	NAN
25	Dec_17_2013	126.75	119.68	119.52	119.37	119.05	119.32	118.65(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	10	-25	-5	8.59	43%		-73.6	1.27%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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