Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $115.3900 (-1.48%) ($115.1800 - $116.4000) on Mon. Dec. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $115.3900(-1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(77%)    GDXJ(34%)    LQD(34%)    TIP(34%)    TLT(26%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-23%)    PEJ(-3%)    UNG(-0%)    DIA(0%)    XLY(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $113.53(-1.61%)
Resistance Level   $117.93
5 Day Moving Average   $116.18(-0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $116.71(-1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117.93(-2.15%)
To recent high   -11.6%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.29%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.06%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 0.87%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.17%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.14%(11%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.48%(89%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_30_2013	125.92	117.93	116.71	116.18	116.48	116.5	115.39(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	10	-25	-93	6.71	33%	-0.1	-52.9	1.14%	0	-1.4	38	NAN
2	Dec_27_2013	126.04	118.2	117.1	116.29	116.45	117.06	117.12(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	40	43	-62	4.21	35%	-0.08	-50.6	1.13%	0	-0.6	46	NAN
3	Dec_26_2013	126.14	118.31	117.2	115.83	116.08	116.47	116.74(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	30	36	-77	3.87	35%	-0.04	-58.9	1.13%	0	-0.8	46	NAN
4	Dec_24_2013	126.19	118.47	117.59	116.01	115.68	115.83	116.1(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	0	-18	-93	3.35	35%	-0.08	-65.6	1.13%	0	-1.3	39	NAN
5	Dec_23_2013	126.29	118.69	118.14	116.52	116.3	115.7	115.57(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-40	-26	-70	6.24	35%	-0.09	-66	1.13%	0	-1.8	46	NAN

6	Dec_20_2013	126.4	118.92	118.57	117.34	117.13	115.52	115.94(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-91	-100	-98	-71	14.7	32%	-0.09	-70.8	1.13%	0	-1.8	48	NAN
7	Dec_19_2013	126.51	119.13	118.87	118.03	118.12	116.91	114.82(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-101	-70	-112	-67	15.98	32%	-0.1	-78.4	1.17%	0	-2.9	37	NAN
8	Dec_18_2013	126.64	119.42	119.27	118.72	119.07	118.73	117.61(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-10	-35	-25	16.27	43%	-0.09	-100	1.14%	0	-1.6	46	NAN
9	Dec_17_2013	126.75	119.68	119.52	119.37	119.05	119.32	118.65(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	10	-25	-5	8.59	43%	-0.07	-73.6	1.27%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
10	Dec_16_2013	126.84	119.88	119.48	119.37	119.62	119.4	119.69(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-20	11	14	8.19	43%	-0.08	-56.8	1.26%	0	-0.1	48	NAN

11	Dec_13_2013	126.94	120.09	119.28	120.01	120.18	118.78	119.38(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-80	-41	-15	6.48	43%	-0.07	-47.9	1.27%	0	-0.4	49	NAN
12	Dec_12_2013	127.03	120.32	119.4	120.01	120.25	119.83	118.29(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	-10	-71	-27	8.81	39%	-0.07	-49.4	1.26%	0	-1.1	46	NAN
13	Dec_11_2013	127.12	120.54	119.53	119.85	120.31	121.58	120.86(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	90	55	21	9.93	42%	-0.07	-60	1.29%	0	0.2	52	NAN
14	Dec_10_2013	127.21	120.61	119.4	119.67	119.57	120.67	121.82(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	72	60	89	19	9.16	40%	-0.05	-71.2	1.29%	0	0.6	44	NAN
15	Dec_9_2013	127.28	120.69	119.4	118.9	118.91	119.03	119.72(0.99%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	20	10	36	-28	5.51	37%	-0.05	-84.3	1.28%	0	-0.5	38	NAN

16	Dec_6_2013	127.34	120.91	119.23	118.47	118.51	118.48	118.55(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-0	-17	-75	7.91	39%	-0.04	-91.7	1.27%	0	-1.1	29	NAN
17	Dec_5_2013	127.39	121.28	119.37	118.9	118.44	118.8	118.3(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	10	-7	-77	10.25	38%	-0.04	-83.2	1.29%	0	-1.3	28	NAN
18	Dec_4_2013	127.44	121.71	119.56	119.13	119.06	118.54	119.96(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-30	15	-74	9.11	39%	-0.04	-79.2	1.29%	0	-0.7	39	NAN
19	Dec_3_2013	127.49	122.03	119.82	119.1	119.22	118.08	117.96(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-87	-60	-78	-112	7	36%	-0.05	-80.8	1.28%	0	-1.5	33	NAN
20	Dec_2_2013	127.56	122.47	120.31	119.6	119.76	119.58	117.58(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-10	-46	-93	10.3	36%	-0.05	-82.5	1.29%	0	-1.8	28	NAN

21	Nov_29_2013	127.62	122.94	120.98	120.07	120.15	120.37	120.7(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	10	23	-58	2.36	39%	0.02	-87.9	1.26%	0	-0.9	33	NAN
22	Nov_27_2013	127.59	123.29	121.31	119.92	119.98	119.94	119.46(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-21	-0	-1	-80	6.14	39%	-0.01	-82.3	1.24%	0	-1.3	21	NAN
23	Nov_26_2013	127.6	123.78	121.66	120.05	119.95	119.93	119.82(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-39	-0	-18	-100	9.05	39%	0	-78.4	1.25%	0	-1.3	20	NAN
24	Nov_25_2013	127.6	124.27	121.94	120.68	120.22	120.02	120.46(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-20	-23	-105	7.27	39%	0.02	-70.5	1.25%	0	-1.2	25	NAN
25	Nov_22_2013	127.58	124.77	122.28	121.17	121	119.97	119.92(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-65	-60	-48	-115	6.78	42%		-61.1	1.27%	0	-1.5	22	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.