Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 11, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. Jun. 12, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $120.8600 (-0.79%) ($120.7600 - $121.8100) on Wed. Dec. 11, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $120.8600(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(35%)    LQD(34%)    TLT(26%)    BNDX(24%)    IGOV(24%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-2%)    XLY(1%)    XLK(2%)    XAR(2%)    SPY(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $119.85(0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $119.53(1.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $120.54(0.27%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2013	127.12	120.54	119.53	119.85	120.31	121.58	120.86(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	90	55	21	9.93	42%	-0.07	-60	1.29%	0	0.2	52	0
2	Dec_10_2013	127.21	120.61	119.4	119.67	119.57	120.67	121.82(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	72	60	89	19	9.16	40%	-0.05	-71.2	1.29%	0	0.6	44	0
3	Dec_9_2013	127.28	120.69	119.4	118.9	118.91	119.03	119.72(0.99%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	20	10	36	-28	5.51	37%	-0.05	-84.3	1.28%	0	-0.5	38	0
4	Dec_6_2013	127.34	120.91	119.23	118.47	118.51	118.48	118.55(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-0	-17	-75	7.91	39%	-0.04	-91.7	1.27%	0	-1.1	29	0
5	Dec_5_2013	127.39	121.28	119.37	118.9	118.44	118.8	118.3(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	10	-7	-77	10.25	38%	-0.04	-83.2	1.29%	0	-1.3	28	0

6	Dec_4_2013	127.44	121.71	119.56	119.13	119.06	118.54	119.96(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-30	15	-74	9.11	39%	-0.04	-79.2	1.29%	0	-0.7	39	0
7	Dec_3_2013	127.49	122.03	119.82	119.1	119.22	118.08	117.96(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-87	-60	-78	-112	7	36%	-0.05	-80.8	1.28%	0	-1.5	33	0
8	Dec_2_2013	127.56	122.47	120.31	119.6	119.76	119.58	117.58(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-10	-46	-93	10.3	36%	-0.05	-82.5	1.29%	0	-1.8	28	0
9	Nov_29_2013	127.62	122.94	120.98	120.07	120.15	120.37	120.7(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	10	23	-58	2.36	39%	0.02	-87.9	1.26%	0	-0.9	33	0
10	Nov_27_2013	127.59	123.29	121.31	119.92	119.98	119.94	119.46(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-21	-0	-1	-80	6.14	39%	-0.01	-82.3	1.24%	0	-1.3	21	0

11	Nov_26_2013	127.6	123.78	121.66	120.05	119.95	119.93	119.82(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-39	-0	-18	-100	9.05	39%	0	-78.4	1.25%	0	-1.3	20	0
12	Nov_25_2013	127.6	124.27	121.94	120.68	120.22	120.02	120.46(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-20	-23	-105	7.27	39%	0.02	-70.5	1.25%	0	-1.2	25	0
13	Nov_22_2013	127.58	124.77	122.28	121.17	121	119.97	119.92(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-65	-60	-48	-115	6.78	42%	-0.05	-61.1	1.27%	0	-1.5	22	0
14	Nov_21_2013	127.65	125.3	122.73	122.05	121.79	120.43	119.94(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-107	-80	-100	-128	7.56	42%	-0.01	-51	1.27%	0	-1.7	22	0
15	Nov_20_2013	127.66	125.8	123.35	122.91	122.9	122.02	120.12(-2.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-80	-50	-71	-105	14.28	42%	0	-43.6	1.27%	0	-1.9	20	0

16	Nov_19_2013	127.66	126.25	124.06	123.46	123.71	123.16	122.95(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-30	-22	-85	3.67	45%	0.02	-34.3	1.24%	0	-1.2	21	0
17	Nov_18_2013	127.64	126.58	124.41	123.36	123.66	123.77	122.9(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-40	10	-20	-98	6.24	45%	0.03	-27.7	1.24%	0	-1.4	20	0
18	Nov_15_2013	127.6	126.8	124.8	123.55	123.57	124.26	124.32(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	40	31	-89	4.66	48%	0.06	-20.1	1.24%	0	-1	21	0
19	Nov_14_2013	127.52	126.94	125.05	123.54	123.46	123.55	124.27(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	0	22	-103	7.67	48%	0.05	-12.8	1.27%	0	-1.1	21	0
20	Nov_13_2013	127.46	127.12	125.38	123.92	123.45	122.88	122.85(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	-40	-50	-133	5.97	48%	-0.01	-2.6	1.27%	0	-1.8	17	0

21	Nov_12_2013	127.47	127.2	126.05	124.79	124.3	123.37	122.45(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-76	-60	-61	-119	7.71	50%	-0.01	2.7	1.27%	0	-2	25	0
22	Nov_11_2013	127.48	127.31	126.79	125.61	125.37	124.03	123.87(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-79	-80	-70	-106	3.28	50%	-0.01	5.4	1.28%	0	-1.5	26	0
23	Nov_8_2013	127.49	127.3	127.46	126.2	126.03	125.23	124.28(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-83	-50	-81	-88	8.43	53%	0	3.1	1.28%	0	-1.2	43	0
24	Nov_7_2013	127.49	127.26	128.08	126.74	126.75	126.7	126.16(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-0	-12	-38	7.7	55%	-0.03	2.1	1.3%	0	-0.5	50	0
25	Nov_6_2013	127.53	127.18	128.47	127.05	126.88	126.84	127.2(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10	-9	-24	3.54	55%		0.5	1.29%	0	0	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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