Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 8, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $119.5100 (1.2%) ($118.9300 - $119.6600) on Mon. Jul. 8, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $119.5100(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(35%)    LQD(34%)    TLT(27%)    IGOV(26%)    BNDX(24%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-2%)    XLY(1%)    XAR(1%)    XLK(2%)    SPY(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $111.64(-6.59%)
Resistance Level   $125.37
5 Day Moving Average   $119.9(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $119.97(-0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $125.37(-4.67%)
To recent high   -22.1%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 5.2% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.14%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.53%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.69%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.29%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.25%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.24%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2013	141.02	125.37	119.97	119.9	119.67	118.54	119.51(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-70	-25	-116	8.65	27%	-0.26	-57.7	1.95%	0	-0.9	27	NAN
2	Jul_5_2013	141.39	126.06	120.48	119.82	119.99	119.36	118.09(-2.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-59	-30	-31	-142	11.59	29%	-0.42	-58.8	1.94%	0	-1.2	24	NAN
3	Jul_3_2013	141.98	126.98	121.03	119.39	119.82	120.8	120.74(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	70	22	-152	6.75	30%	-0.28	-60.1	1.92%	0	-0.9	27	NAN
4	Jul_2_2013	142.38	127.71	121.93	118.9	118.97	120.63	120.05(-0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	100	47	-158	10.55	29%	-0.29	-62.3	1.92%	0	-1.1	25	NAN
5	Jul_1_2013	142.79	128.48	123.06	119.59	118.57	118.84	121.13(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10	23	-162	15.95	29%	-0.29	-59.7	1.93%	0	-1.1	29	NAN

6	Jun_28_2013	143.2	129.25	124.25	120.15	119.29	117.32	119.11(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-96	-140	-63	-194	32.99	29%	-0.31	-58.1	1.91%	0	-1.6	23	NAN
7	Jun_27_2013	143.64	130.03	125.75	121.33	121.03	118.29	115.94(-1.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-144	-170	-123	-205	30	25%	-0.33	-57.1	1.87%	0	-2.3	16	NAN
8	Jun_26_2013	144.11	131.12	127.58	122.87	122.91	121.25	118.28(-4.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-130	-90	-111	-188	24.75	26%	-0.31	-56.1	1.86%	0	-2.5	16	NAN
9	Jun_25_2013	144.56	132	129.23	125.33	124.31	123.77	123.47(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-90	-50	-71	-148	9.37	29%	-0.27	-51.4	1.8%	0	-2	23	NAN
10	Jun_24_2013	144.95	132.55	130.24	127.06	126.36	124.56	123.93(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-77	-120	-60	-126	12.75	29%	-0.26	-46.9	1.8%	0	-2.2	25	NAN

11	Jun_21_2013	145.33	133.09	131.29	129.03	128.43	124.85	125.05(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-143	-210	-144	-140	16.6	29%	-0.25	-35.5	1.8%	0	-2.4	24	NAN
12	Jun_20_2013	145.7	133.61	132.17	130.9	130.61	128.15	123.6(-5.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-155	-140	-165	-126	28.87	29%	-0.27	-24	1.79%	0	-3.7	30	NAN
13	Jun_19_2013	146.09	134.09	133.53	132.93	133.01	132.01	130.59(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-48	-50	-46	-54	13.02	32%	-0.21	-14.2	1.68%	0	-2.3	35	NAN
14	Jun_18_2013	146.4	134.23	134.04	133.66	133.47	133.07	132.13(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-37	-30	-37	-38	7.38	34%	-0.2	-17.3	1.68%	0	-1.6	44	NAN
15	Jun_17_2013	146.69	134.39	134.36	133.89	133.82	134.02	133.77(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	10	9	-13	4.08	34%	-0.19	-26.1	1.68%	0	-0.5	52	NAN

16	Jun_14_2013	146.97	134.27	134.62	133.92	133.57	133.87	134.43(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	10	12	-5	4.28	34%	-0.18	-47.7	1.68%	0	0.1	53	NAN
17	Jun_13_2013	147.24	134.26	134.58	133.69	133.42	133.62	133.74(-0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	0	4	-14	7.16	34%	-0.2	-73.8	1.67%	0	-0.4	48	NAN
18	Jun_12_2013	147.54	134.3	134.86	134.25	133.49	133.27	134.25(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-30	-12	-1	6.55	35%	-0.2	-88.7	1.67%	0	-0	57	NAN
19	Jun_11_2013	147.84	134.46	134.93	134.5	134.1	133.23	133.25(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-22	-50	-30	1	7.2	35%	-0.1	-81.7	1.67%	0	-0.7	52	NAN
20	Jun_10_2013	147.99	134.71	134.99	134.9	134.79	133.71	133.94(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-60	-48	-4	6.14	35%	-0.2	-76.9	1.68%	0	-0.4	48	NAN

21	Jun_7_2013	148.29	134.97	135	135.41	135.14	134.96	133.28(-2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-24	-20	-37	15	11.06	35%	-0.21	-65.8	1.67%	0	-0.8	56	NAN
22	Jun_6_2013	148.6	135.33	135.15	135.54	135.61	135.86	136.53(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	10	22	43	9.85	37%	-0.18	-58.8	1.65%	0	0.5	54	NAN
23	Jun_5_2013	148.87	135.58	134.71	135.58	135.3	135.32	135.52(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	-10	-5	27	7.44	37%	-0.19	-47.6	1.65%	0	-0	52	NAN
24	Jun_4_2013	149.15	135.8	134.45	135.44	135.57	135.36	135.23(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10	9	19	5.51	37%	-0.18	-50.2	1.65%	0	-0.2	45	NAN
25	Jun_3_2013	149.42	136.11	134.42	135.09	135.4	135.28	136.51(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	0	-2	1	9.18	37%		-49.4	1.65%	0	0.1	45	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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