Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 21, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $125.0500 (1.17%) ($124.4600 - $125.5700) on Fri. Jun. 21, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $125.0500(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(34%)    TIP(34%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(26%)    BNDX(24%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-2%)    XLY(1%)    XAR(1%)    XLK(2%)    SPY(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $133.09
5 Day Moving Average   $129.03(-3.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $131.29(-4.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $133.09(-6.04%)
To recent high   -20%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.77%(100%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.59%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -4.74%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.4%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.39%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2013	145.33	133.09	131.29	129.03	128.43	124.85	125.05(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-143	-210	-144	-140	16.6	29%	-0.25	-35.5	1.8%	0	-2.4	24	0
2	Jun_20_2013	145.7	133.61	132.17	130.9	130.61	128.15	123.6(-5.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-155	-140	-165	-126	28.87	29%	-0.27	-24	1.79%	0	-3.7	30	0
3	Jun_19_2013	146.09	134.09	133.53	132.93	133.01	132.01	130.59(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-48	-50	-46	-54	13.02	32%	-0.21	-14.2	1.68%	0	-2.3	35	0
4	Jun_18_2013	146.4	134.23	134.04	133.66	133.47	133.07	132.13(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-37	-30	-37	-38	7.38	34%	-0.2	-17.3	1.68%	0	-1.6	44	0
5	Jun_17_2013	146.69	134.39	134.36	133.89	133.82	134.02	133.77(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	10	9	-13	4.08	34%	-0.19	-26.1	1.68%	0	-0.5	52	0

6	Jun_14_2013	146.97	134.27	134.62	133.92	133.57	133.87	134.43(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	10	12	-5	4.28	34%	-0.18	-47.7	1.68%	0	0.1	53	0
7	Jun_13_2013	147.24	134.26	134.58	133.69	133.42	133.62	133.74(-0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	0	4	-14	7.16	34%	-0.2	-73.8	1.67%	0	-0.4	48	0
8	Jun_12_2013	147.54	134.3	134.86	134.25	133.49	133.27	134.25(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-30	-12	-1	6.55	35%	-0.2	-88.7	1.67%	0	-0	57	0
9	Jun_11_2013	147.84	134.46	134.93	134.5	134.1	133.23	133.25(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-22	-50	-30	1	7.2	35%	-0.1	-81.7	1.67%	0	-0.7	52	0
10	Jun_10_2013	147.99	134.71	134.99	134.9	134.79	133.71	133.94(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-60	-48	-4	6.14	35%	-0.2	-76.9	1.68%	0	-0.4	48	0

11	Jun_7_2013	148.29	134.97	135	135.41	135.14	134.96	133.28(-2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-24	-20	-37	15	11.06	35%	-0.21	-65.8	1.67%	0	-0.8	56	0
12	Jun_6_2013	148.6	135.33	135.15	135.54	135.61	135.86	136.53(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	10	22	43	9.85	37%	-0.18	-58.8	1.65%	0	0.5	54	0
13	Jun_5_2013	148.87	135.58	134.71	135.58	135.3	135.32	135.52(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	-10	-5	27	7.44	37%	-0.19	-47.6	1.65%	0	-0	52	0
14	Jun_4_2013	149.15	135.8	134.45	135.44	135.57	135.36	135.23(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10	9	19	5.51	37%	-0.18	-50.2	1.65%	0	-0.2	45	0
15	Jun_3_2013	149.42	136.11	134.42	135.09	135.4	135.28	136.51(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	0	-2	1	9.18	37%	-0.17	-49.4	1.65%	0	0.1	45	0

16	May_31_2013	149.68	136.36	133.89	134.54	134.96	135.79	133.92(-2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	50	11	-23	9.73	34%	-0.19	-49.2	1.64%	0	-0.7	38	0
17	May_30_2013	149.96	136.75	133.9	134.68	134.74	135.53	136.7(1.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	43	40	63	-17	8.61	36%	-0.17	-46.8	1.63%	0	-0	40	0
18	May_29_2013	150.21	136.95	133.65	133.73	134.13	134.13	134.83(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	10	13	-71	8.77	36%	-0.18	-49.5	1.63%	0	-0.6	33	0
19	May_28_2013	150.48	137.33	133.89	133.34	133.91	133.95	133.49(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	10	-3	-91	12.47	35%	-0.24	-44.3	1.63%	0	-1	36	0
20	May_24_2013	150.84	137.77	134.35	133.66	133.57	134.14	133.76(-0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	30	18	-90	5.52	37%	-0.19	-38.2	1.61%	0	-1	33	0

21	May_23_2013	151.12	138.14	134.89	133.12	133.33	133.87	134.61(2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	30	37	-97	10.27	37%	-0.19	-36.7	1.62%	0	-0.9	35	0
22	May_22_2013	151.41	138.49	135.46	133.02	132.81	133	131.94(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-29	10	1	-118	25.98	34%	-0.13	-30	1.61%	0	-1.8	28	0
23	May_21_2013	151.61	138.85	136.49	133.56	132.86	132.79	132.88(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-20	-18	-116	14.54	35%	-0.2	-21.7	1.61%	0	-1.7	32	0
24	May_20_2013	151.91	139.1	137.25	134.54	133.63	132.61	135.12(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-60	-70	-40	-118	21.59	35%	-0.18	-9.2	1.61%	0	-1.2	32	0
25	May_17_2013	152.18	139.27	137.93	135.21	134.91	132.94	131.07(-2.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-110	-110	-101	-138	20.35	29%		5.7	1.56%	0	-2.6	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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