Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 3, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Mon. Jun. 3, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $136.5100 (1.93%) ($134.4300 - $136.9800) on Mon. Jun. 3, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $136.5100(1.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(34%)    TIP(34%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(26%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-2%)    XLY(1%)    XAR(1%)    XLK(2%)    SPY(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $135.09(1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $134.42(1.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $136.11(0.29%)
To recent high   -12.6%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_3_2013	149.42	136.11	134.42	135.09	135.4	135.28	136.51(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	0	-2	1	9.18	37%	-0.17	-49.4	1.65%	0	0.1	45	NAN
2	May_31_2013	149.68	136.36	133.89	134.54	134.96	135.79	133.92(-2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	50	11	-23	9.73	34%	-0.19	-49.2	1.64%	0	-0.7	38	NAN
3	May_30_2013	149.96	136.75	133.9	134.68	134.74	135.53	136.7(1.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	43	40	63	-17	8.61	36%	-0.17	-46.8	1.63%	0	-0	40	NAN
4	May_29_2013	150.21	136.95	133.65	133.73	134.13	134.13	134.83(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	10	13	-71	8.77	36%	-0.18	-49.5	1.63%	0	-0.6	33	NAN
5	May_28_2013	150.48	137.33	133.89	133.34	133.91	133.95	133.49(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	10	-3	-91	12.47	35%	-0.24	-44.3	1.63%	0	-1	36	NAN

6	May_24_2013	150.84	137.77	134.35	133.66	133.57	134.14	133.76(-0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	30	18	-90	5.52	37%	-0.19	-38.2	1.61%	0	-1	33	NAN
7	May_23_2013	151.12	138.14	134.89	133.12	133.33	133.87	134.61(2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	30	37	-97	10.27	37%	-0.19	-36.7	1.62%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
8	May_22_2013	151.41	138.49	135.46	133.02	132.81	133	131.94(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-29	10	1	-118	25.98	34%	-0.13	-30	1.61%	0	-1.8	28	NAN
9	May_21_2013	151.61	138.85	136.49	133.56	132.86	132.79	132.88(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-20	-18	-116	14.54	35%	-0.2	-21.7	1.61%	0	-1.7	32	NAN
10	May_20_2013	151.91	139.1	137.25	134.54	133.63	132.61	135.12(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-60	-70	-40	-118	21.59	35%	-0.18	-9.2	1.61%	0	-1.2	32	NAN

11	May_17_2013	152.18	139.27	137.93	135.21	134.91	132.94	131.07(-2.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-110	-110	-101	-138	20.35	29%	-0.2	5.7	1.56%	0	-2.6	21	NAN
12	May_16_2013	152.49	139.56	139.08	136.91	136.49	134.65	134.09(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-110	-100	-108	-114	12.76	31%	-0.18	9.9	1.56%	0	-1.9	32	NAN
13	May_15_2013	152.76	139.63	139.9	138.26	137.74	136.87	134.63(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-87	-60	-87	-85	19.07	30%	-0.12	-2.8	1.57%	0	-1.7	31	NAN
14	May_14_2013	152.95	139.6	140.6	139.82	139.15	138.32	137.81(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-60	-33	-35	9.9	32%	-0.16	-14.3	1.56%	0	-0.6	52	NAN
15	May_13_2013	153.19	139.4	141.11	140.34	140.15	138.61	138.43(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	-80	-59	-23	6.72	32%	-0.15	-34.8	1.56%	0	-0.3	58	NAN

16	May_10_2013	153.42	139.09	141.52	141.08	140.57	139.98	139.6(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-60	-40	-77	-8	14.66	31%	-0.14	-52.8	1.53%	0	0.1	57	NAN
17	May_9_2013	153.63	139.28	141.68	141.58	141.43	141.69	140.81(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	10	12	50	8.27	31%	-0.14	-49.4	1.55%	0	0.3	67	NAN
18	May_8_2013	153.84	139.72	141.77	141.8	141.61	141.16	142.46(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-30	3	69	11.16	31%	-0.14	-42.5	1.55%	0	0.5	74	NAN
19	May_7_2013	154.05	140.06	141.39	141.53	141.58	141.17	140.38(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-20	-35	66	13.63	31%	-0.16	-39.1	1.54%	0	0.1	74	NAN
20	May_6_2013	154.3	140.63	141.1	142.01	141.69	142.06	142.15(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	26	10	1	102	7.73	31%	-0.15	-33.6	1.53%	0	0.2	80	NAN

21	May_3_2013	154.53	141.06	140.69	142.04	141.74	141.99	142.09(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	51	10	23	133	11.67	31%	-0.15	-33.3	1.51%	0	0.2	82	NAN
22	May_2_2013	154.76	141.53	140.06	141.8	141.79	141.32	141.92(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-20	-4	98	11.5	31%	-0.16	-34.5	1.52%	0	0.1	45	NAN
23	May_1_2013	155.01	141.91	139.33	141.74	141.7	141.5	141.11(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-10	-21	48	13.94	31%	-0.16	-37	1.53%	0	-0.1	35	NAN
24	Apr_30_2013	155.26	142.35	138.54	141.2	141.76	142.25	142.77(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	40	43	20	11.29	32%	-0.15	-40.2	1.52%	0	0.1	37	NAN
25	Apr_29_2013	155.5	142.78	137.55	140.02	140.7	141.91	142.3(0.99%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	31	70	56	-46	11.01	32%		-44.1	1.52%	0	-0.1	34	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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