Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 11, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $151.0500 (0.2%) ($150.6300 - $151.7100) on Thu. Apr. 11, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $151.0500(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(33%)    LQD(32%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(25%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-2%)    XLY(2%)    XAR(2%)    XLK(3%)    SPY(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $153.63
5 Day Moving Average   $152.02(-0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $152.22(-0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $153.63(-1.68%)
To recent high   -7.7%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.22% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.4%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.54%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.28%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130511

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_11_2013	159.07	153.63	152.22	152.02	151.96	151.36	151.05(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-83	-30	-72	-116	8.06	38%	-0.11	-20.5	0.74%	0	-1.4	32	NAN
2	Apr_10_2013	159.24	153.78	152.63	152.02	152.23	152.31	150.75(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	10	-1	-93	18.52	41%	-0.11	-22.6	0.74%	0	-1.7	35	NAN
3	Apr_9_2013	159.42	153.78	153.03	151.87	151.81	152.57	153.34(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	18	30	51	-83	7.05	44%	-0.09	-20	0.72%	0	-0.4	39	NAN
4	Apr_8_2013	159.57	153.96	153.2	151.68	151.39	152.14	152.16(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	24	30	61	-89	6.25	44%	-0.09	-21.7	0.71%	0	-1.1	38	NAN
5	Apr_5_2013	159.71	154	153.53	152.19	151.54	151.05	152.81(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-28	-40	-5	-95	14.49	44%	-0.09	-12.5	0.71%	0	-0.7	47	NAN

6	Apr_4_2013	159.85	154.01	153.86	152.52	152.17	150.65	150.29(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-164	-80	-171	-143	12.43	39%	-0.11	-7.6	0.68%	0	-2.3	39	NAN
7	Apr_3_2013	160.03	154.18	154.4	153.53	153.3	152.04	150.73(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-160	-60	-178	-107	15.74	36%	-0.11	6.7	0.68%	0	-2.5	40	NAN
8	Apr_2_2013	160.2	154.29	154.96	154.33	154.23	153.7	152.43(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-79	-30	-93	-38	9.4	41%	-0.1	12.8	0.69%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
9	Apr_1_2013	160.36	154.31	155.28	154.89	154.69	154.56	154.67(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-12	-10	-23	20	4.29	44%	-0.14	17.7	0.67%	0	0.3	61	NAN
10	Mar_28_2013	160.58	154.2	155.24	155.07	154.78	154.77	154.47(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-10	-22	34	6.85	47%	-0.07	19.5	0.68%	0	0.2	62	NAN

11	Mar_27_2013	160.7	154.13	155.18	155.42	155.05	154.82	155.36(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-20	-10	56	6.72	47%	-0.07	29.3	0.68%	0	1	68	NAN
12	Mar_26_2013	160.82	154.08	155.03	155.43	155.34	154.78	154.72(-0.33%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-28	-30	-51	43	7.39	47%	-0.06	38.4	0.68%	0	0.5	60	NAN
13	Mar_25_2013	160.91	154.14	154.98	155.7	155.54	155.29	155.24(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-24	-10	-53	62	6.82	47%	-0.04	47.7	0.68%	0	0.8	68	NAN
14	Mar_22_2013	160.98	154.09	154.78	155.73	155.72	155.89	155.55(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	10	15	96	4.75	47%	-0.07	44.7	0.68%	0	1.1	71	NAN
15	Mar_21_2013	161.09	153.96	154.5	155.42	155.69	155.79	156.25(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	63	10	50	103	4.99	47%	-0.07	20.2	0.68%	0	1.8	75	NAN

16	Mar_20_2013	161.2	153.77	154.14	154.9	155.2	155.54	155.37(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	20	24	77	8.22	44%	-0.04	-13.3	0.68%	0	1.3	65	NAN
17	Mar_19_2013	161.26	153.58	153.92	154.56	154.72	155.59	156.08(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	79	40	78	80	11.03	44%	-0.04	-50.6	0.7%	0	2	55	NAN
18	Mar_18_2013	161.32	153.58	153.54	154.18	154.29	154.85	155.38(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	86	30	96	57	9.3	41%	-0.07	-80.5	0.69%	0	1.6	41	NAN
19	Mar_15_2013	161.43	153.51	153.22	153.7	153.97	153.84	154(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-0	27	4	5.7	38%	-0.08	-111.4	0.7%	0	0.4	47	NAN
20	Mar_14_2013	161.56	153.7	153.06	153.45	153.64	153.73	153.68(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	10	-9	-22	11.42	38%	-0.07	-99	0.7%	0	-0	53	NAN

21	Mar_13_2013	161.68	153.94	152.98	153.25	153.33	154.1	153.66(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	40	40	53	-1	7.44	37%	-0.07	-91.5	0.7%	0	-0.1	55	NAN
22	Mar_12_2013	161.8	154.22	153.05	153.16	153.04	153.55	154.19(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	77	20	93	28	7.27	37%	-0.09	-82.9	0.71%	0	-0	62	NAN
23	Mar_11_2013	161.95	154.47	153.21	152.8	152.64	152.57	152.99(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10	6	-15	4.81	34%	-0.09	-82.4	0.7%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
24	Mar_8_2013	162.09	154.87	153.34	152.66	152.61	152.54	152.71(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-0	-13	-33	11.86	34%	-0.11	-74.2	0.7%	0	-0.7	39	NAN
25	Mar_7_2013	162.27	155.31	153.37	152.61	152.63	152.72	152.69(-0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	0	2	-57	6.59	34%		-67.9	0.7%	0	-0.8	33	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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