Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 22, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Mon. Jun. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $155.5500 (-0.45%) ($155.4200 - $155.9900) on Fri. Mar. 22, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $155.5500(-0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(33%)    LQD(32%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(25%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-2%)    XLY(1%)    XAR(2%)    XLK(3%)    SPY(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $155.73(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $154.78(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $154.09(0.95%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 0.85% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2013	160.98	154.09	154.78	155.73	155.72	155.89	155.55(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	10	15	96	4.75	47%	-0.07	44.7	0.68%	0	1.1	71	0
2	Mar_21_2013	161.09	153.96	154.5	155.42	155.69	155.79	156.25(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	63	10	50	103	4.99	47%	-0.07	20.2	0.68%	0	1.8	75	0
3	Mar_20_2013	161.2	153.77	154.14	154.9	155.2	155.54	155.37(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	20	24	77	8.22	44%	-0.04	-13.3	0.68%	0	1.3	65	0
4	Mar_19_2013	161.26	153.58	153.92	154.56	154.72	155.59	156.08(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	79	40	78	80	11.03	44%	-0.04	-50.6	0.7%	0	2	55	0
5	Mar_18_2013	161.32	153.58	153.54	154.18	154.29	154.85	155.38(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	86	30	96	57	9.3	41%	-0.07	-80.5	0.69%	0	1.6	41	0

6	Mar_15_2013	161.43	153.51	153.22	153.7	153.97	153.84	154(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-0	27	4	5.7	38%	-0.08	-111.4	0.7%	0	0.4	47	0
7	Mar_14_2013	161.56	153.7	153.06	153.45	153.64	153.73	153.68(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	10	-9	-22	11.42	38%	-0.07	-99	0.7%	0	-0	53	0
8	Mar_13_2013	161.68	153.94	152.98	153.25	153.33	154.1	153.66(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	40	40	53	-1	7.44	37%	-0.07	-91.5	0.7%	0	-0.1	55	0
9	Mar_12_2013	161.8	154.22	153.05	153.16	153.04	153.55	154.19(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	77	20	93	28	7.27	37%	-0.09	-82.9	0.71%	0	-0	62	0
10	Mar_11_2013	161.95	154.47	153.21	152.8	152.64	152.57	152.99(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10	6	-15	4.81	34%	-0.09	-82.4	0.7%	0	-0.6	42	0

11	Mar_8_2013	162.09	154.87	153.34	152.66	152.61	152.54	152.71(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-0	-13	-33	11.86	34%	-0.11	-74.2	0.7%	0	-0.7	39	0
12	Mar_7_2013	162.27	155.31	153.37	152.61	152.61	152.72	152.69(-0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	0	2	-57	6.59	34%	-0.11	-67.9	0.7%	0	-0.8	33	0
13	Mar_6_2013	162.45	155.77	153.38	152.67	152.63	152.68	153.23(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	0	-4	-91	10.86	34%	-0.1	-62.7	0.7%	0	-0.7	32	0
14	Mar_5_2013	162.62	156.19	153.23	152.94	152.83	152.54	152.38(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	-20	-41	-141	10.81	34%	-0.1	-57.6	0.7%	0	-1	28	0
15	Mar_4_2013	162.79	156.67	153.51	153.71	153.38	152.59	152.3(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-96	-40	-76	-156	6.64	33%	-0.12	-49.6	0.7%	0	-1.2	28	0

16	Mar_1_2013	162.98	157.13	153.85	154.11	154.09	153.12	152.44(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-112	-40	-89	-179	11.18	33%	-0.12	-46.9	0.7%	0	-1.2	25	0
17	Feb_28_2013	163.18	157.58	154.41	154.22	154.36	154.17	153(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-85	-10	-53	-181	14.87	31%	-0.12	-48.1	0.7%	0	-1.2	26	0
18	Feb_27_2013	163.37	158.04	154.99	154.14	154.15	155.06	154.57(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	18	40	73	-149	9.6	32%	-0.1	-50.7	0.71%	0	-1	27	0
19	Feb_26_2013	163.54	158.37	155.48	153.52	153.53	154.56	156.22(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	54	50	126	-162	18.18	34%	-0.1	-60.4	0.7%	0	-0.6	31	0
20	Feb_25_2013	163.71	158.58	155.78	153.34	152.87	153.24	154.34(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	10	31	-228	9.49	30%	-0.12	-66.4	0.68%	0	-1.2	23	0

21	Feb_22_2013	163.9	158.91	156.47	153.62	153.26	153.24	152.97(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-106	-40	-56	-254	10.09	31%	-0.13	-70.2	0.69%	0	-1.7	20	0
22	Feb_21_2013	164.12	159.35	157.35	154.7	154.08	152.51	152.62(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-221	-80	-201	-280	17.97	31%	-0.13	-70.1	0.69%	0	-2.1	20	0
23	Feb_20_2013	164.33	159.9	158.34	155.99	155.67	154	151.44(-2.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-235	-80	-227	-258	30.92	28%	-0.13	-65.3	0.68%	0	-3	12	0
24	Feb_19_2013	164.55	160.54	159.44	157.68	157.35	155.65	155.33(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-207	-80	-206	-209	11.81	37%	-0.16	-61.4	0.61%	0	-2.5	27	0
25	Feb_15_2013	164.81	160.95	160.13	158.55	158.37	157.33	155.76(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-196	-50	-205	-169	23.37	37%		-54.5	0.63%	0	-2.9	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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