Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 7, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $161.8400 (-0.34%) ($161.1300 - $162.9600) on Thu. Feb. 7, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.59% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $161.8400(-0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(33%)    LQD(32%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(25%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-2%)    XLY(1%)    XAR(1%)    SPY(2%)    XLK(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.295% (StdDev 0.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $161.96
5 Day Moving Average   $161.93(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $161.53(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $161.96(-0.07%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 0.56% (three month std-dev: 0.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130307

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2013	165.58	161.96	161.53	161.93	161.99	162.04	161.84(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	0	-17	-33	12.83	48%	-0.06	37.5	0.59%	0	-0.1	41	0
2	Feb_6_2013	165.68	161.9	161.48	161.8	162.03	162.25	162.39(0.27%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	24	10	39	-23	6.15	53%	-0.06	20.3	0.59%	0	0.5	48	0
3	Feb_5_2013	165.78	161.82	161.54	161.76	161.78	161.95	161.96(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	10	11	-30	8.98	53%	-0.05	11.3	0.64%	0	0.1	46	0
4	Feb_4_2013	165.87	161.7	161.68	161.57	161.85	161.81	162(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	19	0	31	-19	7.36	53%	-0.06	1.4	0.64%	0	0.3	53	0
5	Feb_1_2013	165.97	161.63	161.77	161.22	161.67	161.61	161.45(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	10	1	-29	12.9	47%	-0.07	-9.9	0.69%	0	-0.2	54	0

6	Jan_31_2013	166.08	161.62	161.95	161.06	161.27	161.88	161.2(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	30	16	-21	9.34	47%	-0.04	-12.5	0.69%	0	-0.4	47	0
7	Jan_30_2013	166.15	161.71	162.1	161.11	161.11	161.74	162.19(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	30	83	17	12.02	47%	-0.04	-1.4	0.69%	0	0.4	59	0
8	Jan_29_2013	166.21	161.7	162.13	161.31	160.92	160.66	160.99(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-20	-24	-11	7.37	45%	-0.04	9.2	0.69%	0	-0.6	54	0
9	Jan_28_2013	166.27	161.69	162.21	161.85	161.55	160.48	160.29(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-76	-50	-97	-14	8.5	45%	-0.05	25.3	0.69%	0	-1.1	58	0
10	Jan_25_2013	166.36	161.74	162.32	162.41	162.39	161.18	160.65(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-112	-50	-145	-12	9.04	45%	-0.03	36.5	0.69%	0	-0.9	53	0

11	Jan_24_2013	166.41	161.76	162.48	162.95	163.11	162.62	161.42(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-58	-20	-87	31	13.19	45%	-0.02	46.6	0.7%	0	-0.3	52	0
12	Jan_23_2013	166.44	161.73	162.42	163.19	163.4	162.62	163.21(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	10	13	68	6.7	45%	-0.01	37.8	0.69%	0	1.2	48	0
13	Jan_22_2013	166.45	161.58	162.16	163.06	163.16	163.6	163.67(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	20	47	71	8.59	45%	0	20.5	0.7%	0	1.8	56	0
14	Jan_18_2013	166.45	161.38	161.74	162.64	162.92	163.19	163.09(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	20	60	59	10.04	42%	0.01	-7.4	0.71%	0	1.6	60	0
15	Jan_17_2013	166.43	161.3	161.47	162.23	162.45	162.72	163.35(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	20	28	31	14.91	42%	0.02	-35.8	0.71%	0	1.9	57	0

16	Jan_16_2013	166.4	161.22	161.24	161.96	162.04	162.64	162.65(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	30	47	33	9.22	42%	0.01	-63.3	0.71%	0	1.5	57	0
17	Jan_15_2013	166.39	161.28	161.25	161.53	161.88	162.18	162.56(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	74	20	83	48	10.09	40%	0.01	-86.2	0.71%	0	1.4	57	0
18	Jan_14_2013	166.38	161.34	161.17	161.13	161.33	161.43	161.54(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	10	8	14	7.29	40%	0	-84.5	0.72%	0	0.2	56	0
19	Jan_11_2013	166.38	161.46	161.08	160.7	161.04	161.59	161.06(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	30	46	21	13.68	39%	-0.01	-84.1	0.72%	0	-0.3	57	0
20	Jan_10_2013	166.39	161.68	161.09	160.58	160.61	161.22	161.98(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	62	30	74	26	11.43	39%	0.01	-72.8	0.72%	0	0.2	50	0

21	Jan_9_2013	166.37	161.84	160.96	160.42	160.09	160.5	160.49(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	7	10	12	-10	8.34	36%	0.01	-61.5	0.71%	0	-0.8	43	0
22	Jan_8_2013	166.36	162.09	160.98	160.96	160.43	159.99	160.56(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-30	-14	-23	7.7	36%	0.02	-49.6	0.71%	0	-0.8	35	0
23	Jan_7_2013	166.32	162.32	160.97	161.25	161.17	159.67	159.43(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-102	-70	-112	-72	9.36	34%	0.02	-44.5	0.7%	0	-1.4	32	0
24	Jan_4_2013	166.29	162.58	161.03	161.47	161.7	160.86	160.44(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-130	-30	-140	-99	19.18	34%	0.02	-48	0.7%	0	-1	34	0
25	Jan_3_2013	166.25	162.77	161.16	161.62	161.9	162.67	161.2(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	40	22	-50	16.12	34%		-52.8	0.71%	0	-0.8	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.