Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $161.4500 (0.16%) ($160.8700 - $162.7700) on Fri. Feb. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $161.4500(0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(33%)    LQD(32%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(25%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-2%)    XLY(1%)    XAR(1%)    SPY(2%)    XLK(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $161.63
5 Day Moving Average   $161.22(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $161.77(-0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $161.63(-0.11%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 0.71% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2013	165.97	161.63	161.77	161.22	161.67	161.61	161.45(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	10	1	-29	12.9	47%	-0.07	-9.9	0.69%	0	-0.2	54	0
2	Jan_31_2013	166.08	161.62	161.95	161.06	161.27	161.88	161.2(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	30	16	-21	9.34	47%	-0.04	-12.5	0.69%	0	-0.4	47	0
3	Jan_30_2013	166.15	161.71	162.1	161.11	161.11	161.74	162.19(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	30	83	17	12.02	47%	-0.04	-1.4	0.69%	0	0.4	59	0
4	Jan_29_2013	166.21	161.7	162.13	161.31	160.92	160.66	160.99(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-20	-24	-11	7.37	45%	-0.04	9.2	0.69%	0	-0.6	54	0
5	Jan_28_2013	166.27	161.69	162.21	161.85	161.55	160.48	160.29(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-76	-50	-97	-14	8.5	45%	-0.05	25.3	0.69%	0	-1.1	58	0

6	Jan_25_2013	166.36	161.74	162.32	162.41	162.39	161.18	160.65(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-112	-50	-145	-12	9.04	45%	-0.03	36.5	0.69%	0	-0.9	53	0
7	Jan_24_2013	166.41	161.76	162.48	162.95	163.11	162.62	161.42(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-58	-20	-87	31	13.19	45%	-0.02	46.6	0.7%	0	-0.3	52	0
8	Jan_23_2013	166.44	161.73	162.42	163.19	163.4	162.62	163.21(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	10	13	68	6.7	45%	-0.01	37.8	0.69%	0	1.2	48	0
9	Jan_22_2013	166.45	161.58	162.16	163.06	163.16	163.6	163.67(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	20	47	71	8.59	45%	0	20.5	0.7%	0	1.8	56	0
10	Jan_18_2013	166.45	161.38	161.74	162.64	162.92	163.19	163.09(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	20	60	59	10.04	42%	0.01	-7.4	0.71%	0	1.6	60	0

11	Jan_17_2013	166.43	161.3	161.47	162.23	162.45	162.72	163.35(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	20	28	31	14.91	42%	0.02	-35.8	0.71%	0	1.9	57	0
12	Jan_16_2013	166.4	161.22	161.24	161.96	162.04	162.64	162.65(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	30	47	33	9.22	42%	0.01	-63.3	0.71%	0	1.5	57	0
13	Jan_15_2013	166.39	161.28	161.25	161.53	161.88	162.18	162.56(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	74	20	83	48	10.09	40%	0.01	-86.2	0.71%	0	1.4	57	0
14	Jan_14_2013	166.38	161.34	161.17	161.13	161.33	161.43	161.54(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	10	8	14	7.29	40%	0	-84.5	0.72%	0	0.2	56	0
15	Jan_11_2013	166.38	161.46	161.08	160.7	161.04	161.59	161.06(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	30	46	21	13.68	39%	-0.01	-84.1	0.72%	0	-0.3	57	0

16	Jan_10_2013	166.39	161.68	161.09	160.58	160.61	161.22	161.98(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	62	30	74	26	11.43	39%	0.01	-72.8	0.72%	0	0.2	50	0
17	Jan_9_2013	166.37	161.84	160.96	160.42	160.09	160.5	160.49(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	7	10	12	-10	8.34	36%	0.01	-61.5	0.71%	0	-0.8	43	0
18	Jan_8_2013	166.36	162.09	160.98	160.96	160.43	159.99	160.56(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-30	-14	-23	7.7	36%	0.02	-49.6	0.71%	0	-0.8	35	0
19	Jan_7_2013	166.32	162.32	160.97	161.25	161.17	159.67	159.43(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-102	-70	-112	-72	9.36	34%	0.02	-44.5	0.7%	0	-1.4	32	0
20	Jan_4_2013	166.29	162.58	161.03	161.47	161.7	160.86	160.44(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-130	-30	-140	-99	19.18	34%	0.02	-48	0.7%	0	-1	34	0

21	Jan_3_2013	166.25	162.77	161.16	161.62	161.9	162.67	161.2(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	40	22	-50	16.12	34%	0.04	-52.8	0.71%	0	-0.8	31	0
22	Jan_2_2013	166.19	162.93	161.23	161.53	161.61	162.55	163.17(0.71%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	97	40	137	-25	10.44	36%	0.11	-64.5	0.7%	0	0.1	36	0
23	Dec_31_2012	166	163.06	161.3	161.02	161	161.13	162.02(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	16	10	49	-85	11.79	34%	0.03	-76	0.69%	0	-0.5	30	0
24	Dec_28_2012	165.95	163.25	161.48	160.69	160.78	160.67	160.54(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-0	-7	-126	6.85	30%	0.02	-85.1	0.68%	0	-1.2	26	0
25	Dec_27_2012	165.92	163.58	161.85	160.52	160.67	160.88	161.16(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-25	10	9	-128	8.94	36%		-87.5	0.68%	0	-1.1	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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