Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 3, 2013

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $161.2000 (-1.21%) ($160.8300 - $162.8800) on Thu. Jan. 3, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $161.2000(-1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(33%)    LQD(32%)    IGOV(26%)    TLT(25%)    PCY(23%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(-2%)    XAR(1%)    XLY(2%)    XLK(3%)    SPY(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

Resistance Level   $162.77
5 Day Moving Average   $161.62(-0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $161.16(0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $162.77(-0.96%)
To recent high   -7.1%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_3_2013	166.25	162.77	161.16	161.62	161.9	162.67	161.2(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	40	22	-50	16.12	34%	0.04	-52.8	0.71%	0	-0.8	31	0
2	Jan_2_2013	166.19	162.93	161.23	161.53	161.61	162.55	163.17(0.71%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	97	40	137	-25	10.44	36%	0.11	-64.5	0.7%	0	0.1	36	0
3	Dec_31_2012	166	163.06	161.3	161.02	161	161.13	162.02(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	16	10	49	-85	11.79	34%	0.03	-76	0.69%	0	-0.5	30	0
4	Dec_28_2012	165.95	163.25	161.48	160.69	160.78	160.67	160.54(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-0	-7	-126	6.85	30%	0.02	-85.1	0.68%	0	-1.2	26	0
5	Dec_27_2012	165.92	163.58	161.85	160.52	160.67	160.88	161.16(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-25	10	9	-128	8.94	36%	0.03	-87.5	0.68%	0	-1.1	33	0

6	Dec_26_2012	165.87	163.85	162.28	160.63	160.38	160.9	160.78(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	20	22	-109	4.97	36%	0.09	-89	0.71%	0	-1.4	34	0
7	Dec_24_2012	165.72	164.24	162.75	160.89	160.5	160.45	160.62(0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-23	-10	5	-106	3.7	36%	0.03	-75.2	0.7%	0	-1.4	32	0
8	Dec_21_2012	165.67	164.68	163.27	161.65	161.06	159.85	160.33(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-115	-60	-109	-134	13.45	36%	0.04	-60.6	0.7%	0	-1.7	25	0
9	Dec_20_2012	165.61	165.14	163.77	162.41	162.1	160.56	159.73(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-178	-70	-188	-149	25.15	36%	0.03	-50.3	0.7%	0	-2.3	22	0
10	Dec_19_2012	165.56	165.55	164.29	163.34	163.27	162.26	161.69(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-137	-40	-143	-119	13	38%	0.03	-45.6	0.69%	0	-1.9	23	0

11	Dec_18_2012	165.51	165.85	164.57	164.16	163.93	163.64	162.08(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-91	-20	-92	-87	24	38%	0.03	-37.7	0.69%	0	-2	29	0
12	Dec_17_2012	165.46	166.16	164.84	164.87	164.71	164.27	164.44(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-20	-14	-58	8.18	42%	0.04	-29.1	0.67%	0	-1	28	0
13	Dec_14_2012	165.39	166.24	165	165.14	164.99	164.22	164.13(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-93	-40	-92	-97	5.35	42%	0.05	-31	0.68%	0	-1.3	24	0
14	Dec_13_2012	165.31	166.35	165.19	165.35	165.43	165.15	164.37(-0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-64	-10	-54	-94	9.33	48%	0.05	-34.7	0.68%	0	-1.3	24	0
15	Dec_12_2012	165.22	166.5	165.46	165.38	165.61	165.77	165.77(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	10	29	-59	14.17	51%	0.08	-34.1	0.72%	0	-0.5	42	0

16	Dec_11_2012	165.09	166.57	165.53	165.05	165.14	165.71	165.65(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	30	37	-70	4.73	51%	0.08	-38.5	0.72%	0	-0.6	42	0
17	Dec_10_2012	164.96	166.66	165.8	164.8	164.78	165.46	165.8(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	43	30	76	-58	4.65	51%	0.07	-30.8	0.73%	0	-0.6	41	0
18	Dec_7_2012	164.84	166.76	166.13	164.87	164.37	164.58	165.17(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-0	17	-66	7.29	56%	0.07	-14.3	0.73%	0	-1.1	49	0
19	Dec_6_2012	164.72	166.9	166.55	165.04	164.7	164.1	164.5(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-30	-33	-64	7.3	56%	0.07	-5.6	0.78%	0	-1.6	46	0
20	Dec_5_2012	164.6	167.02	166.88	165.58	165.26	164.15	164.12(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-104	-50	-112	-81	10.65	56%	0.07	3.6	0.78%	0	-2.1	40	0

21	Dec_4_2012	164.49	167.15	167.23	166.07	166.05	165.3	164.42(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-90	-30	-99	-63	10.21	56%	0.07	16.4	0.78%	0	-2.2	41	0
22	Dec_3_2012	164.38	167.12	167.61	166.92	166.49	166.37	166.13(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-10	-64	-26	6.36	59%	0.07	23.2	0.77%	0	-0.7	45	0
23	Nov_30_2012	164.26	166.98	167.62	167.58	167.16	166.8	166.05(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-20	-27	-2	8.41	64%	0.09	23.8	0.82%	0	-0.6	43	0
24	Nov_29_2012	164.12	166.99	167.62	168.3	167.92	166.61	167.18(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-60	-72	-10	7.45	64%	0.09	37.6	0.81%	0	0.1	46	0
25	Nov_28_2012	163.98	166.97	167.66	168.37	168.34	167.51	166.55(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-95	-40	-119	-23	12.88	64%		38	0.82%	0	-0.3	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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